DC in DC...The Washington Nationals Sign Former-O's Starter Daniel Cabrera.
Updated at 1:00 am 12/21...
"The Perpetual Project"...
Not even the great Leo Mazzone, who'd enjoyed so much success all those years with ATL's aces could harness the potential of 6'7'', 230 lb, 27-year-old right-hander Daniel Cabrera when the two crossed paths a few seasons back in Baltimore, but now Randy St. Claire, Washington's Pitching Coach extraordinaire, is going to get a shot at it, as MLB.com's Bill Ladson is reporting, in an article entitled, "Nats, Cabrera agree to one-year deal", that the Nationals have signed the free agent starter to a 1-year deal that will pay the 5-year MLB veteran (an undisclosed-as-of-now amount) to pitch in the nation's capital in 2009.
The second new pitcher added to the DC rotation, along with left-handed former Marlins' starter Scott Olsen, Cabrera, signed as an Amateur Free Agent with the Orioles back in 1999, has tantalized scouts and fans since his debut on May 13, 2004, enjoying, arguably, his best season in the Majors the first time through, putting together a (12-8) record in 27 starts and 28 overall appearances in 2004, in which he posted a 5.00 ERA with 76 K's in 147.2 IP.
Over his five MLB seasons, Cabrera's eleven games under .500 at 48-59 with a 5.05 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP, (though the Orioles themselves haven't finished above .500 since two years before they even signed Cabrera), but the Orioles apparently grew tired of waiting for the towering righty to get it together, with AP Sports writer David Ginsburg noting in a Yahoo! Sports.com article entitled, "Orioles cut ties with inconsistent Daniel Cabrera", that the pitcher, who's known for a fastball and curve, and had added a change-up to his repetoire last season, ultimately, "...never ended up mastering the strike zone and often turned one mistake into another, leading to a big inning."
Cabrera's high walk, wild pitch and HR totals will attest to his lack of control, but it's not as if he's unaware of his issues, telling ESPN.com's Enrique Rojas, for an article entitled, "Mazzone has tall task in Cabrera", from March of 2007, that the then-Orioles' pitching coach, Mr. Mazzone had:
"...discovered a slight movement toward first base that hurt my ability to locate pitches," said Cabrera. "Now we're working on the psychological aspect of things, in order to not fall back into that same mistake."
Two seasons, a (17-28) combined record, 49 HR's and 198 walks later, it would seem that Cabrera still hasn't quite figured out "the psychological aspect of things," but, Randy St. Claire will now attempt to succeed where others have failed.
Daniel Cabrera's baseball-reference.com stat page.
Daniel Cabrera vs The NL East *...
Cabrera vs Atlanta - 2 GS, (1-0), 1 CG, SO, 14.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 1 HR, 6 BB, 1.93 ERA, 0.93 WHIP.
Cabrera vs Philadelphia - 2 G, 1 GS, (0-1), 4.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 1 HR, 3 BB, 5 K's, 13.50 ERA, .2.36 WHIP.
Cabrera vs Florida - 1 GS, (0-1), 5.2 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 3 HR, 2 BB, 9 K's, 9.53 ERA, 1.76 WHIP.
Daniel Cabrera vs DC???
6/25/06 - Washington at Baltimore - L, 4.2 IP, 5 H, 6 ER, 5 BB, 3 K's.
6/12/07 - Washington at Baltimore - L, 4.2 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 K's, 3 HR's
6/27/08 - Baltimore at Washington (Nationals Park) - L, 6.1 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 4 K's.
(ed. note - " * = Daniel Cabrera's never faced NY's Mets.")
WINTER LEAGUE ROUNDUP...
Dominican Winter League...
A five-run third broke a 2-2 tie and lifted the Tigres del Licey to a 7-2 victory over Azucareros del Este, aka Los Toros del Este, who dropped their second-straight in this home and home weekend series with the Tigres. DC second baseman to be Anderson Hernandez was 1 for 3 with a walk, 1 K, and 2 runs scored, and he ends the day hitting .359. Ronnie Belliard, batting fifth and fielding third, knocked in a run, going 1 for 4 with a run scored and his 16th RBI. Belliard's hitting .338 after 17 games.
Venezuelan Winter League...
Jesus Flores was 1 for 1 with 2 RBI's last night to lift the Navegantes del Magallanes within one run at 6-5 in favor of the visitors Friday night, the Cardenales de Lara, who held on for the win at the Navegantes' home park, Estadio Jose Bernardo Perez. Saturday night, the Navegantes traveled to Estadio Luis Aparicio El Grande to take on the Aguilas del Zulia, and Flores, in another pinch hit appearance, according to milb.com's Game Recap, collected an RBI on a sac fly that turned into a DP when Edgardo Alfonso was thrown out on the basepaths. Flores is batting .237 with 5 doubles, 1 HR and 13 RBI's after 28 games.
(ed. note - "Venezuelan Winter League Note: The Nationals were interested in Rockies' outfielder Carlos Gonzalez, who plays for Aguilas del Zulia, when they were discussing a trade with Colorado earlier this offseason, and MLB.com writer Thomas Harding has a feature article today about Gonzalez entitled, "Gonzalez red-hot in Venezuelan League", which at least shows that DC's got good taste...Gonzalez started in center Saturday, going 0 for 4 with a K, and he's now hitting .281 with 2 doubles, 2 HR's and 13 RBI's in 18 games.")
Puerto Rican Winter League...
Criollos de Caguas' right fielder Justin Maxwell was 0 for 4 with a walk and a run scored, and left fielder Garrett Guzman was 1 for 5 with a double, (his 8th) in an 8-4 Caguas' victory over Indios de Mayaguez Saturday. The two DC prospects have 30 games played so far this winter for the Criollos, with Guzman collecting 31 hits in 106 AB's for a .292 AVG, with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 2 HR's and 17 RBI's, and Maxwell's hit in 22 of 99 AB's for a .222 AVG, 6 doubles, 1 triple, 6 HR's and 21 RBI's.
Teixeira Update...as of 1:05 am EST 12/21/08...Mark Teixeira has not yet accepted or rejected the Washington Nationals' generous offer...
ESPN baseball reporter Peter Gammons suggests listening to "Revolution 9" from the Beatles' White Album backwards to gain insight into the ongoing negotiations between at least four MLB teams and Mark Teixeira in his most recent post entitled, "Trying to make sense of the Teixeira dealings".
While MLB.com writers Lyle Spencer and Bill Ladson team up for an article entitled, "Teixeira's decision could come soon", where the two writers indentify the Washington Nationals as, "...the club most likely to approach Boras' early target of 10 years and $200 million."
(ed. note - "I don't want to scare anyone, but the most recent articles say, 'family and geography' are going to play the biggest role in Tex's decision...?")
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28 comments
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Comments
DC is...not good
The player…not the District. He walks as many as he strikes out. There’s no chance in hell he figures out how to control his pitches now, at age 27-8. I hope he was cheap, and it’s a good thing he’s only around for one year. It’s also nice that Baltimore didn’t offer him arbitration so he won’t cost the Nats any draft picks. But it’s hard to imagine the team couldn’t find guys in the system who can put up a 1:1 BB:K ratio for no money.
by short on Dec 20, 2008 8:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I'd rather watch Shairon Martis or Collin Balester...or Jordan Zimmermann...but...
…for no draft picks…and to push the young starters…I can’t imagine he got more than $1-1.5M, so…if he’s good he stays. Assuming Cabrera’s here to start…
DC Starting Rotation So Far…
1. Scott Olsen (L) – ‘08 stats – (8-11, 4.25), 113 K’s, 69 BB, 1.30 WHIP
2. John Lannan (L) – ‘08 stats – (9-15, 3.91), 117 K’s, 72 BB, 1.34 WHIP
3. Daniel Cabrera ( R) – ‘08 stats – (8-10, 5.25), 95 K’s, 90 BB, 1.60 WHIP
4. ?
5. ?
Jordan Zimmermann, Collin Balester, Shairon Martis, Mike O’Connor, Ross Detwiler, Shawn Hill…DC might have one nasty Triple-A staff this year…
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 20, 2008 9:42 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Hey, don't knock Hill.
He’s got excellent control, peripherals are quality, and the slider is nasty. The downside, of course, is that he can’t stay healthy, but getting 120 innings from him might be the best we can expect. I don’t think he’s, say, John Patterson 2.0.
by Graysnail on Dec 21, 2008 11:27 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I liked Patterson too, when he was healthy...
…unfortunately you could use the same qualifier for Patterson, Hill, Johnson, DY…etc….
I’m a big Hill fan…it’s really depressing watching him struggle to stay healthy, cause in the small window of time between recovery and injury when he’s actually able to pitch to the best of his ability, he’s still impressive…
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 21, 2008 12:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Which is my point.
We can probably expect about 100-120 innings from Hill; anything less than that is a disappointment, anything more than that is a bonus. Unless he suffered another setback I’m not aware of.
by Graysnail on Dec 21, 2008 12:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
UPDATE...
MLB.com’s Bill Ladson’s starting the Tex talk up again…
“Teixeira’s decision could come soon.”
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 20, 2008 9:43 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
mmm hmm

" When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? " - John Meynard Keynes
by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Dec 20, 2008 9:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cabrera
Well, maybe he’ll do better since AL hitting is better than NL hitting. I’ve got nothin.
" When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? " - John Meynard Keynes
by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Dec 20, 2008 10:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
It's always been a control issue with him
He can put it together in spurts, though. What I’d be concerned about is if he can sustain the GB/FB ratios he’s been sporting the last few years – 1.5ish isn’t terrible, but lordy lord there’s always the control problems. If we assume he’ll have those, the least he can do is keep the LD% down.
by Graysnail on Dec 21, 2008 11:19 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If Tex does end up signing with Boston
I really am gonna hate them so much more.
" When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? " - John Meynard Keynes
by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Dec 20, 2008 10:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Looks like my off-the-cuff estimate of around $1.5M was low...
Baltimore Sun Reporting DC will pay Cabrera $2.6M…
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 20, 2008 11:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's not too bad
$2.6 million won’t break the bank, but you can probably find someone with a similar level of talent for less, that’s all. This one won’t make or break the team.
by short on Dec 20, 2008 11:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It'll be spun as small investment with big upside...
…which is not really too much of a spin.
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 20, 2008 11:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, the big upside is a spin.
But the investment really isn’t anything. Using Tangotiger’s rough-edged guessing game D-Cab should’ve gotten about $4MM, so getting him for 2.6 isn’t bad. I mean, he’s maybe 1.0 WAR, so at the end of the day, whatever.
by Graysnail on Dec 21, 2008 11:25 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Followup:
Fangraphs has him at 0.8 WAR and an expected signing of $3.6MM to $3.9MM (which I didn’t look up before I posted, believe it or not), so …believe it or not, it’s not a bad deal.
by Graysnail on Dec 21, 2008 11:28 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
O.K. GRAY SKULL...
…Where do you get these stats? I’ve got to get educated.
WAR?
GB/FB?
LD%
Looks like the NYSE.
" When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? " - John Meynard Keynes
by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Dec 21, 2008 2:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You can get 'em from a few places.
fangraphs.com has GB/FB/LD (ground ball / fly ball / line drive) ratios and percentages. WAR (wins above replacement) is available from a few places, or you can use calculations. I’d go HERE for a discussion on what WAR is for starters. In essence, the GB/FB/LD numbers are a measure of where batted balls go once they’re hit, and can be applied to both batters and pitchers. Wins Above Replacement is a little trickier to define, but the idea is that you can pick up any yahoo in AAA to give you a performance; WAR is a measure of how much better the guy you did pick up was.
by Graysnail on Dec 21, 2008 4:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
whoa...
the learning curve just gotta bit steeper.
" When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? " - John Meynard Keynes
by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Dec 21, 2008 8:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's the shizzle
Thanks for pointing everyone towards the light, Graysnail.
ERA and W/L are teh suk.
WAR, K/IP, BB/IP, GB/FB/LD are teh shizzle.
by short on Dec 22, 2008 8:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's what the FANPOST section is for...
…he says without a hint of sarcasm…
There’s a reason I was a literature/writing major…so, any and all statistical analysis is welcome and appreciated
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 22, 2008 10:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No sense in writing about it in a vacuum.
We’ll see if I become otherwise inspired, though.
by Graysnail on Dec 23, 2008 12:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
nice move I think
all he has to do is beat perez’s stats from last year and it will be a nice addition for the club. Cabrera needs to forget about trying to be an Ace and just get quality starts. Still, if they outbid the Mets for his services you know it is going to be over $2M deal, which makes me wonder if they would be willing to give Redding similar deal for one more year. Regardless of second half slide the Nats complain about, I think he is better option than a few of the young guys. 10 wins on last year’s team is pretty impressive.
I like Cabrera’s chances in NL East. Think about who he had to work on his mechanics against the last few years—BoSox and Yankees. St. Claire has his work cut out for him still though.
by VA SLIM on Dec 21, 2008 12:36 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Randy St. Claire...aka...
The Hardest Working Man in Baseball…
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 21, 2008 1:07 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the Mats
if we give $200 M to one player without further additions, we will soon be known as the ‘mats’, as in the doormats of the league. you heard it here first, copyrighted.
He’s a good player, not the hope of a city for the next 8 years good!
by VA SLIM on Dec 21, 2008 1:34 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
New York Post article...
…by Bill Madden entitled, “Mark Teixeira saga drags on as Scott Boras looks for that ‘One Dumb Owner’”, wonders if DC might not fill the role…
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 21, 2008 1:37 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
This move looks way better for Boston
That $20 million per year makes a lot more sense for Boston than for DC. Tex can be looked at as the “missing piece” to a championship squad in beantown…but for DC he’s just one more piece of the puzzle. A puzzle that would be much more difficult to construct after dedicating all that money and draft picks to one position.
Hopefully Boston will see it that way and save Bowden from himself. Here in Seattle we’ve finally got management that understands how to build a team (at least it seems so so far). Bowden has failed to impress since he gave up Mike Cameron, Brett Tomko and two minor leaguers for Ken Griffey, Jr. Granted, Cameron is a player a lot of GM’s undervalue, and Griffey had just had another monster season. But that’s a lot of value Cincinnatti gave up for effectively one year of Griffey…a free agent after the season. Cameron should STILL be the M’s starting CF. And the M’s were actually asking for Pokey freakin’ Reese before “settling” for Cameron. It’s hard to say which GM looked stupider after all that.
by short on Dec 21, 2008 4:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey!! Leave Pokey Reese alone...
…uh, he played in at Triple-A Columbus in DC’s system last year…no really, he did.
I liked Bowden’s trade for Olsen and Willingham, mostly because of Olsen…I liked acquiring Soriano next-to-nothing…Armando Galarraga was nasty with Detroit last season…Texas traded him too…so there’s one bad decision both Texas and DC made…
"Nothin' wrong with my leg, I'm just B-boy limpin'" - MCA
by Ed Chigliak on Dec 22, 2008 10:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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