The Bill James Handbook 2010 - Projections For The Washington Nationals' 2010 Infield.
Can Adam Dunn get back up to the 40 HR plateau? Will Ryan Zimmerman hit more than last-year's career high 33 HR's? If Cristian Guzman's going to be at short or second, what can DC fans expect from the soon-to-be 32-year-old infielder? With the help of the Hitter Projections contained in the soon-to-be-published twenty-ten edition of The Bill James Handbook 2010, I thought it might be interesting to take a look at what Nationals fans can expect from the Nationals' infield, which, barring the acquisition of another infielder, will most likely be composed of Ryan Zimmerman at third, Ian Desmond at short, Cristian Guzman at second and Adam Dunn at first base, though some argue that Desmond's not ready to play everday. (ed. note - "Bill James has Desmond playing in 145 games...Thanks to Mr. James and the book's publisher, Acta Sports, for making a preview of the Pitcher and Hitter Projections available.")
DC Infield Hitter Projections...After The Jump...
(ed. note - "Check out the Projections for the Nationals' 2010 Outfield HERE.")
The Bill James Handbook 2010 Hitter Projections For The Washington Nationals' Infield:
Ryan Zimmerman - 3B:
| Zimmerman, Ryan | G | AB | H | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| '09 Projections | 145 | 576 | 167 | 42 | 22 | 87 | .290 | .351 | .484 |
| '09 Stats | 157 | 610 | 178 | 37 | 33 | 106 | .292 | .364 | .525 |
| 2010 Projections | 149 | 593 | 171 | 42 | 28 | 98 | .286 | .358 | .511 |
Ian Desmond - SS:
| Desmond, Ian | G | AB | H | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| '09 Projections | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| '09 Stats | 21 | 82 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | .280 | .318 | .561 |
| 2010 Projections | 145 | 518 | 146 | 33 | 13 | 52 | .282 | .336 | .432 |
Cristian Guzman - 2B:
| Guzman, Cristian | G | AB | H | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| '09 Projections | 137 | 496 | 145 | 26 | 7 | 45 | .292 | .329 | .407 |
| '09 Stats | 135 | 531 | 151 | 24 | 6 | 52 | .284 | .306 | .390 |
| 2010 Projections | 136 | 550 | 155 | 26 | 7 | 49 | .282 | .313 | .365 |
Adam Dunn - 1B:
| Dunn, Adam | G | AB | H | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| '09 Projections | 159 | 562 | 137 | 30 | 42 | 103 | .246 | .386 | .527 |
| '09 Stats | 159 | 546 | 146 | 29 | 38 | 105 | .267 | .398 | .529 |
| 2010 Projections | 159 | 562 | 141 | 30 | 40 | 103 | .251 | .389 | .518 |
Jesus Flores - C:
| Flores, Jesus | G | AB | H | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| '09 Projections | 135 | 436 | 109 | 26 | 12 | 81 | .250 | .304 | .397 |
| '09 Stats | 29 | 93 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 15 | .301 | .371 | .505 |
| 2010 Projections | 116 | 431 | 114 | 22 | 13 | 75 | .265 | .323 | .415 |
• Notes on the #'s, ?'s Raised:
-- MLB.com's Bill Ladson wrote recently, in an article entitled, "Nats Inbox: What's in store for Storen", that, "...there is a question about [Ian Desmond's] defense. He made over 30 errors this past season," (34 total between Harrisburg, Syracuse and DC, I checked) and as a result, "...some members of the organization have some doubts," about whether Desmond is ready for an everyday role in the majors. If, as Mr. James predicts, Desmond's able to hit 33 doubles and 13 HR's with a .282 AVG, can the errors be overlooked? Or do the Nationals need to bring in a veteran infielder?
-- Aside from effect Adam Dunn had on the offense with his own contributions, can we agree that he clearly had an effect on the pitches Ryan Zimmerman saw this season? To what else would you attribute Zimmerman's increased offensive output? Is it just Zimmerman maturing and improving at the plate? When did you realize Dunn wouldn't hit 40 HR's? Will he get back there next year?
-- Are you ready for another 115-130 singles by Cristian Guzman? I know a lot of people are tired of his empty average and slow feet, but is there any way to move his $8M dollar contract?
-- 116 games for Jesus Flores? Let's hope so...Who'll be backing Flores up in 2010?
- Bill James' Projections:
• Wil Nieves:
- '09 Stats - 72 G, 58 for 224, .259 AVG, 6 2B, 1 HR, 26 RBI's, .313 OBP, .299 SLG.
- 2010 Projections - 74 G, 47 for 187, .251 AVG, 8 2B, 2 HR, 17 RBI's, .293 OBP, .337 SLG.
• Josh Bard:
- '09 Stats - 90 G, 63 for 274, .230 AVG, 18 2B, 6 HR's, 31 RBI's, .293 OBP, .361 SLG.
- 2010 Projections - 84 G, 56 for 232, .241 AVG, 15 2B, 4 HR's, 27 RBI's, .313 OBP, .358 SLG.
-- With Flores back in the lineup, (batting sixth?), behind, Ryan Zimmerman, Adam Dunn, Josh Willingham and Elijah Dukes, three to six, Nyjer Morgan and Cristian Guzman one and two, and either Ian Desmond, (Guzman?) or another infielder in the eight spot, do the Nationals stand a chance in the NL East in 2010?
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You go, Ed.
The Nats just got mentioned by Joe Buck. Only team to shut the Yankees out in the Stadium this season. Will Clifford Lee get the second?
"What the Licey is not very offensive? One moment, please...". -Licey.com
“Ian Desmond and Wilkin Ramirez had homered and the Licey Tigers beat the Bulls 5-2.”
“The victory went to Sammy Gervacio (1-0) to launch an entry in the relief role and Onelio Perez got the rescue with an episode without accepting runs.” (ed. 2 of 8 pitchers used)
Desmond went 2-4, 3 RBIs with the 2-run homer, a K and now batting .227
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
Where are you, Elijah Dukes?
Willy Aybar finally joined the Licey Tigers.
“Emilio Bonifacio will play for Licey from November 7 as we talked,” said Ravelo.
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 28, 2009 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions
Where in the world is Elijah Dukes?
I’m currently searching around the winter leagues for any other DC prospects playing this winter…
Hey Roscoe, where’d you find the link that had prospects listed by organization?
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Oct 28, 2009 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions
Organizational Statistics: Winter Leagues
http://mlb.mlb.com/milb/stats/org.jsp?id=was
Winter Leagues: Statistics
http://mlb.mlb.com/milb/stats/
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 28, 2009 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions
I want to see him get in the lineup and help Licey's last-in-league team batting.
How they’re hanging around first place is…….well, it’s their pitching…
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 29, 2009 12:19 AM EDT up reply actions
Dukes is leaving the states to go down there Nov. 1
Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com
by Dave at District Sports Page on Oct 29, 2009 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Nice. Thanks for the info...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Oct 29, 2009 4:25 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Great news, Dave!!!......thanks for that...
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 29, 2009 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions
Thanks, cd3K.
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Oct 29, 2009 12:26 AM EDT up reply actions
No problem......it's the only place to keep up with some guy named Andrew Kown
The Nats’ sole representative in the Liga Mexicana del Pacifico for the Yaquis de Obregon…..
Go Yaqs!!!
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 29, 2009 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions
I forgot about Ricardo Nanita too, he was one of my favorites from last winner...
Got beat by Desmond today though…
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Oct 29, 2009 12:39 AM EDT up reply actions
I'm more entertained by the translations, actually.......
“a rescue with an episode without accepting runs.”
That closer leads the league in RWEWOARs……
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 29, 2009 12:44 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, but Nanita's RWEWOAR of +2.5 is nowhere near as valuable as...
Desmonds +4.7 RWEWOAR…and the stat makes clear the importance of players like Desmond…
(shh, folks will think we created a new stat)….
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Oct 29, 2009 1:35 AM EDT up reply actions
all I can say is...
lol
Padilla walked into the Nats' clubhouse for the first time and said, "My God. I'm in heaven."
MOAR WOARS!!!!
and Rescues!!!
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 29, 2009 8:59 AM EDT up reply actions
I assume that by now Guzman has accepted the second base position?
I haven’t heard anything, but maybe that’s a good thing?
Desmond's not exactly lighting up the DWL with his bat, so too early to tell if he can displace anyone yet...
I don’t think Guz will ever “accept” playing anywhere but SS, so if he doesn’t launch a peppery entry at 2B, he may have to make his space where Bluegrass used to sit.
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."
"Freakish things are happening."
by cat daddy3000 on Oct 29, 2009 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Desmond can improve - Guzman not so much
Desmond can improve his defense (THOUSAND FUNGO DRILL!) but Guzman is on the decline side of his career and isn’t going to get better at the plate. Bring up Orr and Bynum to play second, and get rid of Guzman, even if we have to eat part of his salary. He was great with the Twins, but that was a long time ago. :(

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