The Bill James Handbook 2010 - Projections For The Washington Nationals' Pitchers In 2010 + Fall Notes.

With the help of The Bill James Handbook 2010 (available 11/1/09) and Acta Sports.com, who made Mr. James' Hitter and Pitcher projections available before the book's publication, we're able to take a look at what the future might hold for the pitchers expected to throw for the Nationals next season. Will Garrett Mock start or work out of the pen? Will some of the older pitchers like Craig Stammen and J.D. Martin make the rotation this time around? What will John Lannan's role be as more and more prospects rise through the system? What should fans expect from the Nationals' bullpen arms like Sean Burnett, Mike MacDougal or Saul Rivera? After that, what one Chicago writer says about the Nationals' managerial search, and another night in the DWL with Ian Desmond...

After The JUMP...

The Bill James Handbook 2010 Hitter Projections For The Washington Nationals' Pitchers:

Collin Balester

Balester, Collin G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections --  --- -- -- ---- -- -  ---  ---
'09 Stats 7  7 30.1 20 10 1 4 6.82 0
2010 Projections 11 11 47.0 32 6 2 3 5.38 0

 

Jason Bergmann:

Bergmann, Jason G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 33  21 139.0 113  20 7 9 4.25  0
'09 Stats 56  0 48.0 40  7 2 4 4.50   0
2010 Projections 73  0 60.0 48  8 3 4 4.35  0

 

Sean Burnett:

Burnett, Sean G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 67  0 60.0 29  7 2 5 6.27  0
'09 Stats 71  0 57.2 43  6 2 3 3.12  1
2010 Projections 65  0 49.0 27  5 2 3 5.14  0

 

Tyler Clippard:

 

Clipper, Tyler G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections -- --- -- -- --- -- -  --- --
'09 Stats 41  0 60.1 67  9 4 2 2.69 0
2010 Projections 62  0 91.0 84 13 4 6 4.55 0

 

Livan Herandez?

Hernandez, Livan G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 27 27 150.0 84 19 8 9 4.90 0
'09 Stats 31 31 183.2 102 19 9 12 5.44 0
2010 Projections 31 31 188.0 103 23 8 13 4.98 0

 

Logan Kensing:

Kensing, Logan G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 43  0 46.0 45 6 2 3 4.33  0
'09 Stats 32  0 35.1 19 8 1 2 8.92 1
2010 Projections 36  0 41.0 38 8 2 3 4.81 0

 

John Lannan:


G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 29 29 177.0 103 18 9 11 4.08  0
'09 Stats 33 33 206.1  89 22 9 13 3.88  0
2010 Projections 32 32 199.0 101 21 11 11 4.03  0 

 

Mike MacDougal:

 

MacDougal, Mike G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections --  --- -- --  --- -- -  ---- ---
'09 Stats 52  0 50.0 31  3 1 1 3.60  20
2010 Projections 67  0 67.0 59 4 3 4 4.43  4

 

J.D. Martin:

 

J.D. Martin G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections -- --- -- --  --- -- -  ---  --
'09 Stats 15 15 77.0 37 14 5 4 4.44 0
2010 Projections 29 29 177.0 125 19 10 10 4.07 0

 

Shairon Martis:

 

Martis, Shairon G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections -- --- -- -- --- -- - --- --
'09 Stats 15 15 85.2 34 11 5 3 5.25 0
2010 Projections  7  7 43.0 26 26 2 3 5.23 0

 

Garrett Mock:

 

Mock, Garrett G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections -- --- -- -- --- -- -  --- --
'09 Stats 28 15 91.1 72 9 3 10 5.62 0
2010 Projections 31 25 143.0 122 14 8 10 4.91 o

 

Scott Olsen:

 

Olsen, Scott G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 32 32 199.0 153 29 10 12 4.58 0
'09 Stats 11 11 62.2  42 11  2  4 6.03 0
2010 Projections 22 22 121.0  91 18  5  8 4.98 0

 

Saul Rivera: 

 

Rivera, Saul G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 74  0 80 60  3 4 4 3.80 0
'09 Stats 30  0 38.1 21  7 1 3 6.10 0
2010 Projections 43.0  0 59.0 42  3 3 4 4.42 0

 

Craig Stammen:

 

Stammen, Craig G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections -- --- -- -- --- -- -  --- --
'09 Stats 19 19 105.2 48 14 4 7 5.11 0
2010 Projections 20 20 120.0 64 13 6 8 4.50 0

 

Ron Villone:

 

Villone, Ron G GS IP K HR W L ERA SV
'09 Projections 76  0 42.0 36  4 2 2 4.22 0
'09 Stats 63  0 48.2 33  6 5 6 4.25 1
2010 Projections 71  0 54.0 44  5 3 3 4.33 0

 

?'s Raised By The #'s:

• Is there any room on the pitching staff for Logan Kensing in 2010? What bullpen arms from last year are you bringing back? Which would you part with?

• Which pitchers will make the twenty-ten rotation? Craig Stammen? Collin Balester? J.D. Martin? Shairon Martis? Do you expect anything from Scott Olsen?

• Mike MacDougal's projections are cleary skewed by the fact that he hadn't saved a game since 2006 before '09's 20 saves? Will MacDougal hold the closer's role throughout the twenty-ten campaign? 

• A .500 season from John Lannan? Does that mean he'll finally receive some support this season? Is anyone guaranteed an 2010 rotation spot right now, outside of Lannan? 

• Is Livan Hernandez coming back to DC next season? 

2010 Skipper Search UPDATE: 

If you haven't already read this when it was linked to in the comments of a previous post or elsewhere around the internet, since it was basically the only "news" to come out of DC this weekend, check out Chicago Tribune writer Phil Rogers "On Baseball" column entitled, "Cuban pitcher Aroldis Chapman in great demand", wherein, Mr. uh, Rogers writes (without citing a source, anonymous or otherwise) that the time for Bobby Valentine to claim a major league managing job may have passed: 

"Bobby Valentine may be shut out on the job market. He was a finalist for the Indians job that went to Manny Acta, and it appears the Nationals are close to giving former Cubs manager Jim Riggleman the job he had on an interim basis last season."

Is the Washington Nationals' search for a full-time manager going to end with a promotion? 

Saturday Night In The DWL:

The Tigres del Licey and Gigantes del Cibao squared off on Saturday with Nationals' infielder Ian Desmond starting at second for Licey and going 1 for 2 with a walk and a sac fly RBI, but it was Desmond's throwing error in the ninth that allowed the Gigantes to rally to tie the game at 3-3 and eventually steal a walk-off win when Tigres' pitcher Oneli Perez gave up a sac fly to left that ended it. Desmond's first DWL error proves costly. The 24-year-old, who impressed after his September call-up to DC, is now hitting .214 (6 for 28) with 7 RBI's in 8 games. Notes: Atahualpa Severino got a backwards K from the first batter he faced in the eighth after replacing Yhancy Brazoban, but Severino was out after allowing a run-scoring single in the next AB, though the run was Brazoban's.

Final Score: Gigantes 4, Tigres 3. MLB.com Box Score. 

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