The 2009 Washington Nationals, The Federal Baseball.com W.A.R. Effort And Darren Aronofsky's "Pi"...
(ed. note - Join Today's Game Thread HERE.")
My mathematical education ends with Algebra II some 15 years ago or more (I just can't add the years :(...but my education ends after Algebra II in high school, and after the 200 or so times I've watched Darren Aronofsky's film, "Pi"...(ed. note "Have you ever heard of gematria? It's defined by dictionary.com as:
"...a cabbalistic system of interpretation of the Scriptures by substituting for a particular word another word whose letters give the same numerical sum."
...or as the character "Lenny Meyer" explains by example to mathematician "Maximillian Cohen" in Mr. Aronofsky's film:
"Each letter's a number. Like the Hebrew A, Alef is 1. B, Bet is 2. You understand? But look at this. The numbers are inter-related. Like take the Hebrew word for father, 'Ab' - Alef Bet... 1, 2 equals 3. Alright? Hebrew word for mother, 'em' - Alef Mem... 1, 40 equals 41. Sum of 3 and 41... 44. Alright? Now, Hebrew word for child, alright, mother... father... child, 'Yeled' - that's 10, 30, and 4... 44.)
Fascinating...but I bring up my fascination with numbers that I understand about as much as I understood the end of Mr. Aronofsky's film, because I've started to believe in the statistical side of things, when it comes to baseball at least, and oddly enough, it started during the last presidential election, when I became familiar with the work Nate Silver was doing at fivethirtyeight.com, and then remembered when I heard Mr. Silver talking baseball with Keith Olbermann one night that he was the same writer whose work I'd been trying to understand over at Baseball Prospectus.com for some time...
Knowing that I'd spend fruitless hours trying to interpret the statistics Mr. Silver and others were producing, I enlisted the help this winter of the estimable Doghouse, who had frequently contributed a series of posts he called "Tuesday Nats Stats", which I'd always enjoyed, and which spoke in this (to me) mystical language...and Doghouse has since fearlessly led you, the Federal Baseball.com reader through the Federal Baseball.com W.A.R. effort with the help of tools provided by Sky Kalkman at the SBN's site with "Statistics Gone Mad", Beyond The Box Score, and with the season almost upon us, I thought we should take one more look at what they and others have done, because I think they've determined pretty much what to expect from the Washington Nationals in the 2009 season...
The Federal Baseball.com W.A.R. Effort: By Doghouse...
Federal Baseball.com Goes To W.A.R.
W.A.R. And Remembrance: The 2008 Nats
Small W.A.R.s: Baserunning and Fielding
W.A.G. the Dog: Dunn Goes To W.A.R.
In AD 2009 W.A.R. was beginning.
Further Reading:
Steven at FJB...(who does a great job in this area, and whose work I always enjoy)...just published an article entitled, "Optimizing The Nationals Batting Order", which I actually found through a link in Sky Kalkman's article at Beyond The Box Score entitled, "Lineup Optimization Hub".
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Comments
Maths
Your path leading to baseball statistical analysis and projections is pretty much identical to mine.
by NotASenator on Mar 30, 2009 2:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
"I'm over here now, OH!" -Dice
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 2:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
"Where oh where are you tonight? Why did you leave me here all alone?"
It’s a country song. Respond if you know from where it cometh..
Darn I’m old
by Berndaddy on Mar 30, 2009 2:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ahhh much better...good idea to move...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 2:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Who's got the 2 E's?
Please not Guzman, please not Guzman…
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 2:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
9 K's through 5 for Armando...........
Beimel’s mugshot looks like he means business……
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 2:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Strasburg-like....... And we are Utah........
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Any chance we can get Armando back?
…Wilky and Sledge? Eh…not so much…
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Man not called Ryan better match Galarraga's numbers, so we don't have to think about it...
Weird who the important player in that trade turned out to be…….
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The link appears dead due to that space near the end....Yahoo won't mind...
Are you bored out of your mind with spring training yet? Have you abandoned it altogether and moved onto dreams of summer days and real baseball?
Don’t worry, you’re not alone.
In a story that sums up the dog days of the Grapefruit League in the worst best fashion imaginable, the Orioles’ radio announcing team of Joe Angel and Fred Manfra didn’t stick around the stadium for the final eight innings of Sunday’s 5-1 exhibition win over the Mets in Fort Lauderdale.
The duo had announced the game’s first inning when rain hit the park and started rendering the field unplayable. Angel and Manfra talked their way through about 40 minutes of the delay before letting the boys back home resume regular radio and then heading home. But about an hour later, the groundskeepers got the field under control and play resumed without anyone in Baltimore’s booth.
According to the Baltimore Sun, Angel and Manfra were told to call it an early day by their superiors at 105.7 The Fan. Predictably, some Orioles fans who didn’t have anything better to do with their weekend are upset, going as far to call the early dismissal “bush league.”
I generally toe the line when it comes to holding people accountable for the jobs they’re being paid for, but this story is just way too amusing to not issue a little leeway.
Plus, the tale’s funniest part is that people usually play hooky from work so they can get out to the ballpark, not away from it. Who’d have ever thought it could work like that?
UPDATE: Angel has written a letter to Orioles fans that explains their side of the story
by ROSCOEtheNATSfan on Mar 30, 2009 2:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
is there a do over button for this day? Unless the Nationals turn it around...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 2:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It's only 3-2....... Willie, Nick and Guz in the 6th? Knock the Little Cat out, guys! Now!
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And, they do nothing, but don't strikeout.....
Glover on in his ST finale……
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And Alberto for Guz, and Nieves for Jesus............Bard who?
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and Glover gets 'em, with a K and a BB...
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Glove don't fit...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nats Journal post on "The Misadventures Of Willie Harris"
It was not just the one error, and a funny update by Chico
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That was indeed funny, Poor Willy Harris...Wow that's an idea for a song right there!!!
(Da de da dum dum)
I went to catch foul ball
Told Dunn leave it be
Couldn’t get there in time
Now the jokes on me
Poor, poor, poor, Willy at 2nd base
by Berndaddy on Mar 30, 2009 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's pretty good! Too bad about the subject though.........
And, I was almost inspired by a post with Casto’s Last Stand in it……….
To re-pen “Growltiger’s Last Stand” from the best musical ever, “Cats” , but it was too long, not relevant enough, and you guys might think I like broadway showtunes or sumthin’…….
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And, Casto is in!!!
Bergmann retires the side in order…
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Zim, Dunn, and Dukes?
It’s getting late, early……
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Zim, Dunn, Dukes down in order...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Against some guy named Fernando Rodney(7.00 ERA), groundout, popout, K swinging....
Okay, I’m ready for real games. I have no idea if they’re trying, or trying out stuff, or are bored…..
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I really can't wait til games are at 7:00....my schedule is kinda built around it...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
At least after today's cuts we'll know what they're working with...
…who fills in for Cabrera if he’s hurt? Zim(n)?
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Berg-MANN with a scoreless frame...count him in the '09 pen!!
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Agreed... Just say NO to Julian........
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree cat daddy...we don't need him poisoning our young players' minds.
by ROSCOEtheNATSfan on Mar 30, 2009 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A veteran presence I can do without............ good for laughs, though.
And laughing at any bullpen he’s a member of……….
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Anyone who saw Tavarez in ATL knows he's done...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He not done until the "Fat Lady sings"
and she ain’t no J-Lo…
by Berndaddy on Mar 30, 2009 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And anyone who followed the Red Sox knows he can't be trusted.......
Please tell me it’s just Rizzo killin’ ST time
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mock in to hold 'em in the 9th......... K and a DP does it......
….after Nick K’s for the third time, and with two runners on…….
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The Tigers just got...
MOCK’d
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Alberto, Casto, and Dunn......... Heroes of the 9th?
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Why Adam Dunn of course...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well...no heroics. We hit for %$@& today.
by ROSCOEtheNATSfan on Mar 30, 2009 3:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A Zim homer, then nuttin'.........
…kinda like last year………… End this ST torment!!! By that guy’s hammer…….. Now!
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Adam Dunn with a powerful 2-out walk...
…but Dukes grounds out to end it…
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Ed Chigliak on Mar 30, 2009 3:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Fantasy
What does everyone think of this team…http://fanzak.com/fzrants/My_Fantasy_Baseball_Team
by duke9295 on Mar 30, 2009 4:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A new Strasburg story...
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/jon_heyman/03/30/strasburg.contract/index.html?eref=T1
Sounds like the last one. Nats need to pay our the rear for the “sure thing.”
by ROSCOEtheNATSfan on Mar 30, 2009 4:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ryan Wagner was reassigned to minor league camp. Sorry Ryan......
I am so not interested in a replay of amateur draft shenanigans from last year…….
Nats+Boras= Agony ’til August
by cat daddy3000 on Mar 30, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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