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Washington Nationals: In Or Out On Aroldis Chapman?

"Just give it up already!" "You know he's not going to sign with the Nationals!" "One of the big revenue teams is going to overpay to get him." Or as LA Angels' scouting director Eddie Bane tells ESPN.com's Mark Saxon in an article entitled, "Cuban prospect draws Angels' interest", while it may make sense for a big budget team like Arte Moreno's Angels to take a chance on the 21-year-old Cuban left-hander Aroldis Chapman, "I don't see a team like Oakland or Kansas City or someone like that getting him." The A's, Mr. Saxon reports, are working with a payroll around $42 million dollars, and Kansas City spent $70 million last season, while the Angels' are likely to come in around $113 million as they did in 2009. What about the Toronto Blue Jays?

Star-divide

Toronto opened the 2009 season with an $80.5 million dollar payroll. According to Mr. Saxon's colleague, ESPN.com's Jorge Arangure, Jr.'s article entitled, "Source: Blue Jays watch Chapman", a "source close to Chapman" who spoke to ESPN the Magazine told them that the Blue Jays, "...held a private workout for the touted Cuban pitcher Thursday morning in Florida, then met with his representatives." Mr. Chapman's representatives, the Hendricks brothers, Alan and Randy, were cited by Mr. Saxon as the reason the Angels might hold an upperhand in the negotiations, since they also represented LA first baseman Kendry Morales, himself a Cuban refugee, who has befriended Chapman, and, "...recently helped convince him to switch agents." 

So the $42 million dollar A's, the $80 M dollar Jays and the $113 million dollar Angels all have expressed interest in Aroldis Chapman, along with the Red Sox, who reportedly have had a $15 million dollar offer on the table for some time now, so why shouldn't the Washington Nationals, who opened the '09 campaign with a $60 million dollar payroll and were down to $40 million after the season, according to Washington Post writer Thomas Boswell's article entitled, "Rizzo's checklist for Nationals is halfway there", and could go as high as $70 million (if they follow his recommedations for free agent signings), which would still, "...only have ranked the Nats 24th of 30 (in team payroll) in '09," be involved in attempting to sign Aroldis Chapman?

What type of team are the Nationals? The Angels' scouting director says he doesn't believe, "..a team like Oakland or Kansas City," is going to sign Chapman, and though a $60-$70 million dollar payroll would put Washington right alongside Kansas City financially, (Oakland spent $62M last season), $60-$70M is still in the bottom third of the league in terms of team salaries. Nationals' team President Stan Kasten, when asked if he foresaw, "...a day that the Nationals payroll will be competitive with Atlanta (and) Philadelphia," or if Washington's payroll would, "...always be somewhere between Florida and the rest of the group," in the NL East, told his old DC GM Jim Bowden in an interview on XM MLB's Home Plate which is transcribed by Washington Post writer Dan Steinberg in a D.C. Sports Bog post entitled, "Jim Bowden interviews Stan Kasten", that, "...unlike a lot of cities that try to build from the ground up," the Washington Nationals are, "...not gonna be like a lot of those other cities who really have limitations on revenue..":

"I think we're a big revenue market ultimately. We're not maybe New York or L.A., but I think we're on that tier right below it, certainly enough to compete with anybody, and I do foresee the day that happens."

When the Nationals signed Esmailyn Gonzalez out of the Dominican Republic in 2006, they outbid teams like the Twins, Rangers, Red Sox, Braves and Yankees, and MLB.com's Bill Ladson quoted Stan Kasten in an article entitled, "Notes: Nationals sign Gonzalez", explaining why the signing (which would eventually embarrass the organization), was such an important moment for the relocated and rebuilding franchise:

"'This is an important signing,' Kasten said via telephone. 'We can now compete for the best talent in Latin America. We will have a presence there.'"

The Nationals selected Stephen Strasburg with the No. 1 overall pick this season, and signed the pitcher, widely-regarded as the best prospect to come along in years, to the largest contract ever given to a draft pick. If Aroldis Chapman were eligible for the 2010 Draft, he'd probably be one of the highest-rated prospects available, since, anecdotally at least, he's been called the best pitcher outside of Major League Baseball for some time now, (with all due respect to Yu Darvish), so why shouldn't the Nationals be players here? Imagine what a boost to the organization adding three No.1-overall-pick-type players in a year-and-a-half can do to help in the rebuilding that's been going on since they first stepped onto the international scene by signing "Smiley" Gonzalez in 2006?

Poll
Which Team Will Get Aroldis Chapman?
Los Angeles Angels.
40 votes
Toronto Blue Jays.
19 votes
Florida Marlins.
12 votes
New York Yankees.
38 votes
Washington Nationals.
78 votes
Oakland Athletics.
2 votes
New York Mets.
10 votes

199 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 8 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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It's not that I dont think we can bid with the big guys...

It’s that we shouldnt bid on this occasion. To me (and sadly I probably exhibit someone who read Moneyball recently) he is overpriced and projects as yet another guy who throws 100mph with 2 pitches. His only benefit is that he is young. Strasburg was different in a way (in terms of credibility, and cost effectiveness).

I think we should be looking elsewhere and spending our money elsewhere this season trying to plug more gaps in the team than a swiss cheese. That said, I wouldnt die if we did sign the kid – just that I am not as convinced that he is going to be a major league starter. Certainly, not for the the expected cost…if we go him cheap.

"I love, love, love John Lackey." -- Graysnail.

by Mezza on Jan 1, 2010 7:54 PM EST reply actions  

But Mr. Moneyball Himself, Billy Beane and the Athletics are interested in Aroldis? Shouldn't that be all the proof you need?

I trust Rizzo that if he liked what he saw and thinks it’s worth it, he’ll make an offer, whether or not Chapman’s interested in DC…

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Jan 1, 2010 10:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I would love to see this happen.

The Nats have a lot of money coming off the books, and though they’ve been busy already, Chapman represents a possible piece in the long-term plan. Unless he doesn’t pan out, like Mezza said, but Rizzo seems to think he’s at least got a lot of upside potential.

Moneyball was a good read, but I was really looking forward to the movie :(

by John Quinn on Jan 2, 2010 12:20 AM EST up reply actions  

I did think that...

I agree – in Rizzo I trust…and if he thinks he is worth it than great…but im wary of hype from pitchers like this guy. Stras was different as he was well scouted and under the microscope… the cuban guys a little less so. Im hoping we get him but I would be wary of paying big bucks for a 2 pitch guy that really should be in the minors for a couple of seasons…

"I love, love, love John Lackey." -- Graysnail.

by Mezza on Jan 2, 2010 6:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Once again ye DESPERATE & DELUDED

21 yr old LHP Phenoms from Cuba…DO NOT sign anything offered to him from the WORST team in baseball. …WRITE about a Cuban pitcher the NATS can sign- Good ol’ LIVAN………

by The Mamba on Jan 1, 2010 11:43 PM EST reply actions  

Good point — do you guys think Livan will be back next year? I’m surprised to have heard nothing, but I guess that’s how Rizzo operates. I think he can afford to keep Livan waiting as an absolute last ditch effort, because not many other teams will be interested, so I guess whether he comes back has to do with how the rest of the offseason goes.

by John Quinn on Jan 2, 2010 12:22 AM EST up reply actions  

I think that Livan or Smoltz...maybe late in the offseason

I think that Rizzo doesnt need to make a move on those type of guys till the end of the offseason… i mean is there any competition on Livan? Either he sogns with the Nats on the deal as a 5th starter or what? personally, I think Smoltz would make a great 5th starter for the Nats next season…if anything to give some more experience to the guys and give the young guys all the chance they need to improve. Chapman wont give us that (he should be with the Chiefs).

"I love, love, love John Lackey." -- Graysnail.

by Mezza on Jan 2, 2010 6:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Sign the guy

What else can anyone say but sign the guy? SIGN HIM!

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to all the Nats (and other MLB) fans! Washington’s resolution for this decade is simple: 1 NL East Division Title, 2 Wild Card Berths, and a Giant MFing WS RING!

by Andrew Davidson on Jan 2, 2010 10:58 AM EST reply actions  

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