Nationals Daily Evolutions 10/13/10
In his Arizona Fall League debut Derek Norris singled and scored and blasted a homerun. --Robert Emrich at mlb.com
Norris also made the list of top 50 hitting prospects and Strasburg and Storen made the list of top 50 pitching prospects (lists from before 2010 season). --John Sickels from minorleagueball.com
I thought with the AFL beginning and Bryce Harper heading home that the instructional league was over, but Wang threw two shut-out innings for the Nationals in instructs. --Ben Goessling from masnsports.com
There was a tweet from Adam Kilgore last night in response to a question that the Nationals are certainly going to try and sign Cliff Lee. It is a good decision, and from the reports on Cliff Lee his only thought on where to play baseball is: $$$,$$$,$$$. Other Nationals beat reporters also think the Nationals should pursue Lee, but not Lilly. --Bill Ladson from mlb.com
Going back to yesterday and our fun little debate on managerial strategy the answer to this question is no, Jim Riggleman is not a good manager*. --William Yoder from the natsblog
*At the same time I think skills like bunting, sac flys, and general situational hitting are becoming the underated or underpaid skills of baseball. Just look at Daric Barton. I think about baseball a lot, I am a pretty obsessive person, and while watching the NFL the other week they mentioned a stat about league average yards per carry for a runningback. I think things like this are more obvious in the NFL, but not every team has a league average runningback so that stat becomes meaningless for them. If the league average runner averages 4.0 YPC and the team has a 3rd and 3 then running isn't always the best strategy. So, I started to wonder if every team has their own run expectency chart, because obviously the run expectency has to be different with a runner on second and no outs with Pujols, Holliday, and Rasmus batting vs. Willie Harris, Wil Nieves, and the Pitcher. In the first situation the manager should be fired if he even thinks about bunting the runner to third, but in the second it has to be done as long as it is a close game. This past season the average major leaguer had an OBP of .330 meaning that 67% of the time they made an out. Two thirds of the time something bad is going to happen with a hitter. At times it seems as if the more stat inclined are actually far more positive people than people like me that look at that 67% and are already counting the out as having happenned and are just wishing for a less bad type of out. I also purpose that less bad out become the new team for productive out, because there is no production involved in making an out except for the opposing pitcher.
I really expect some strong disagreement with some of what I just said, but disagreement and debate is what moves the world forward. If everyone agreed there would never be any reason to try and be better. Of course I would like to have a line-up of all above average hitters so that this debate would go away and the team wouldn't have to worry about advancing runners, and having to try and be creative to score runs.
I promise there are actual links after the jump.
It is a longshot at best for the Nationals to sign Lee, and with them expected to go hard after Lee I have my doubts if they will even try for Crawford at this point. Especially with his contract demands expected to be inthe hundreds of millions. I do have my doubts however on Crawford going to the Yankees or Red Sox. I think he ends up with either the Astros or Angels. --fannation.com
Rare Bryce Harper card sells for nowhere near the price of Stephen Strasburg card. --nationalsenquirer.com
Around the NL East
As expected Fredi Gonzalez will be the Braves next skipper. --Tom Fornelli at fannation.com
Living in Redskins country we hear this debate a lot, but is it time for Chief Wahoo and the Tomahawk Chop to go the way of the Syracuse Orangemen (information on orangemen and why it isn't the best mascot)? --Emma Span from bronxbanter.com
General Baseball
There was a major league game last night and the Texas Rangers are moving on the face the Yankees in the ALCS. I would much prefer a Rangers vs. Phillies World Series than a rematch of the '09 WS. --Tim Cowlishaw from dallasnews.com
Former Royal World Series hero and the Scott Spiezio of his time opens training facility in D.C. area. --Dan Steinberg in The D.C. Sports Bog
As Nationals fans we never really had this problem, but how are you watching the playoffs. As an observer or choosing teams to root for. --Craig Calcaterra from nbcsports.com
In my search for a new job I had to take an online test last night on business acumen. I was told I couldn't study for it, but that doesn't mean I didn't try. Come to find out the term pretty much means nothing, and while I was studying up on advanced business metrics I ended up having to take an essay test on customer service. What would really be nice is if I didn't have to aply for jobs at Innotech doing TPS reports, but someone would just offer me a job doing something I am passionate about. This new job sounds like a good opportunity, but I doubt I will ever get to make money using passion, but we can dream can't we?
8 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
There's almost never any excuse
for bunting a player to third with nobody out.
Rob
"People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." -- Rogers Hornsby
A run expectancy chart doesn't factor for a specific batter
That’s not what it’s there for. It’s to give you the odds in a general sense. It’s just one factor, along with hundreds of other factors. You can drive yourself crazy obsessing with numbers. But the one thing we uncontrovertably know is that making an out lowers your chance to score in nearly 100% of all situations.
I will never understand why so many people continue to think giving up outs is a good thing. You only get 27 of them for any given game. Wasting them is asking to lose. And Riggleman wastes more of them than any other manager in the game. The Nats bunted more than any other team in baseball in 2010.
Bunting, hit-and-runs and steals are exciting for fans, I get it. When runners are moving, there’s action on the field. But it’s much more sound strategy to be patient, and once you have runners on base, wait until someone drives them in, preferably with an extra-base hit. Is it fun to wait? No. But the possibility for payoff is MUCH greater than making outs on purpose, running onto outs, and giving outs away.
Why do you think home run hitters are much more expensive than slap hitters?
Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com
by Dave at District Sports Page on Oct 13, 2010 11:57 AM EDT reply actions
One thing
The Dodgers, Padres, Giants, Astros, and Mets all had more sacrifice hits than the Nats. That’s not the same as the number of bunts (for hits, or for failed sacrifices) the team executed of course, but I think we are talking about sacrifices here.
It’s interesting to note, by the way, that there’s a strong negative correlation between the number of sacrifices each NL team executed and the number of runs they scored this season. This isn’t proof that bunting costs runs (which I’m asserting) but it is proof of bad logic: “our team doesn’t have the big boppers to play for the big inning, so we HAVE TO play small ball. You can see that’s true, because we don’t score a lot of runs…”
Rob
"People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." -- Rogers Hornsby
Oh, and the Sickels lists...
Were a recap of last year’s lists, not new ones. that should be clearer in the description, cause i went to read thinking it was a new list.
Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com
by Dave at District Sports Page on Oct 13, 2010 12:03 PM EDT reply actions
Harper is going...
@washingnats: #Nats’ Harper going to Arizona Fall League http://bit.ly/awhBil
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Oct 13, 2010 12:32 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Well, my two teams are the Red Sox and the Nats...
So it is looking like World Series apocalypse for the second year in a row. I am rooting for Texas and San Fran obviously, although I really think only Texas has a chance to disrupt things. This Phillies team is ridiculous and will be winning the World Series with ease.
by The Herndon Kid on Oct 13, 2010 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions

by 

























