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Washington Nationals: Spring Training 2010: Elijah Dukes Arrives...

Elijah Dukes signs autographs for fans on Sunday afternoon following workouts with the team. Dukes reportedly put on a HR hitting clinic in a mini-derby with Zim and Dunn Saturday afternoon. (photo courtesy @NatsTownNews)

Elijah Dukes signs autographs for fans on Sunday afternoon following workouts with the team. Dukes reportedly put on a HR hitting clinic in a mini-derby with Zim and Dunn Saturday afternoon. (photo courtesy @NatsTownNews)

In case you're not obsessively following all the Twittering coming out of Spring Training, let MASNSports.com's Ben Goessling (@masnNATS) set the scene for you as he did for those of us who were following the news out of Viera, Florida on Saturday afternoon:

"I think an impromptu game of Home Run Derby has just broken out here. [Elijah] Dukes, [Ryan] Zimmerman and [Adam] Dunn all hitting some rockets."

Mr. Goessling followed up on the mini-derby later Saturday afternoon in an article entitled, "Saturday workout observations", where he wrote that, "If there was a contest going,":

"...and it seemed from players' reactions that there was -- Dukes might have stole the show by blasting four homers over the left-field fence in the span of five minutes. But Zimmerman had the most impressive shot, launching a ball over the 30-foot batter's eye in center field."

Star-divide

Elijah Dukes is in Viera, Florida, in case you missed the announcements on Friday which noted that he was in fact the last player to arrive, (outside of Josh Willingham whose attending to family issues). Elijah Dukes knows this is the biggest Spring and the biggest season by far in his career coming up in 2010, he told MLB.com's Bill Ladson as much in an interview in late Decemeber entitled, "Dukes' expectations raised for 2010", where he explained that knowing he'll be arbitration-eligible after this season, he understands what a breakout year at this point could mean: 

"Dukes: It's always important to have a big year every year, but it's really most important to get this big year right now. This can basically change the whole lifestyle of my mother [Phyllis]. Putting up a big year can change her life a little faster than expected. It would be a good thing for me and kind of relieve the everyday stress off her, which she has gone through for the last 49 years."

Between Double-A Harrisburg, Triple-A Syracuse and Washington, D.C. last season, Dukes played a combined 129 games, the most he's played as a pro, and he hit for a combined .254 AVG with 28 doubles total, 4 triples, 11 HR's and 68 RBI's, with a .382 OBP and .500 SLG in 22 games at Triple-A and a .337 OBP with a .393 SLG as a National. It was in the second-half of 2009 that Dukes once again got people in DC excited about his potential. In 50 games and 171 at bats, the 25-year-old outfielder hit .257 with a .366 OBP, .368 SLG, 7 doubles, 3 triples and 28 RBI's, walking 28 times and striking out in 27 AB's as opposed to Dukes' 18 BB and 47 K's in the first 57 games of the season in DC. 

Nationals' Skipper Jim Riggleman credited Dukes and the Nats' Hitting Coach with the improvement everyone saw in Dukes following his recall from a stint in Syracuse last season in an article by MASNSports.com's Ben Goessling back in mid-January entitled, "A Q&A with Jim Riggleman", wherein the Nats' Field Manager responded to Mr. Goessling's question about whether or not Dukes can finally put together a full productive season by stating: 

"I don't think there's any reason he can't, but again, that's all talk at this point. (Hitting coach) Rick Eckstein continued to work with him and make progress at the plate. He did some pretty good things. Any player who's his age, they're working toward the prime of their career, age-wise. He's going to be hitting his stride."

Bill James in projecting a .263/.359/.439 line for Dukes in 2010, with the Nationals' right fielder collecting 19 doubles, 12 HR's and 50 RBI's in 107 games and 346 at bats. In 81 games in 2008, the then-24-year-old Dukes hit 16 doubles and 13 HR's, driving in 44 while hitting .264/.386/.478. If Bill James is right, DC GM Mike Rizzo's going to have a tough decision to make next season, but what if Dukes is able to put together the sort of season that his 81-game-'08 stats project to with 32 doubles, 26 HR's and 88 RBI's over a full 150-162 games. That's the Dukes scouts have seen since the Tampa Bay Rays selected the 6'1'', 250lb outfielder out of high school back in 2002. That's the Dukes the former DC GM traded for back in 2007. A season like that might make Mr. Rizzo's decision even more difficult. 

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Comments

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I think Dukes is key to this season

He has to make real serious strides offensively and defensively (or be replaced by Jmax) for this team to have much chance at a .500 record or better. I must confess he destroyed my confidence in him last season, but I really hope he does well.

"What you know is often the enemy of what you can learn" Bill James

by PhDBrian on Feb 28, 2010 3:32 PM EST reply actions  

I Agree

I really like Dukes being on this team, but yes, he has to play to his capability this season. I believe he will. Question…..What would a successful season be for Elijah?

by sullyzz on Feb 28, 2010 4:24 PM EST up reply actions  

As usual, I hope, hope, HOPE this is a big year for Dukes.

I would love to see more patience at bat and improved base-running from him.
I think the presence of Nyjer Morgan all season will help Dukes’ defense improve.

Plus, I think/hope Dukes will play looser (read: better) with Mr. Riggles as skipper because they have a very good relationship…unlike the bulging dewlap of scorn Manny directed Dukes’ way.

by MissB on Feb 28, 2010 4:42 PM EST reply actions  

I once read that taking extra bases was not a teachable skill

That baserunning in general was mostly not teachable (instinct). I hope that article was wrong because Dukes ia really bad at both.

"What you know is often the enemy of what you can learn" Bill James

by PhDBrian on Feb 28, 2010 11:43 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it can be taught.

Coaches need to help him reign in his natural aggressiveness, his confidence in his god given speed, and perhaps his desire to be a hero; all of which gets him into trouble on the bases.
It starts with demanding that he watch and listen to his coaches.
I would hope they would just stop giving him the steal sign so much.
He needs to watch for his coaches giving the stop or go before he takes an extra base and generally to err on the side of caution.
Even with that his speed can be a positive for the team.
Maybe he’s learned in the same way one learns not to pick up a hot skillet.

2009
Nats fan to usher: "Hey isn’t it a bit early for the Nationals to erect a statue of Manny Acta?"
Usher: "Uh sir, that’s not a statue, that actually is Manny Acta."

by PerryMason on Mar 1, 2010 9:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Good EEEEEEEEvening

I refuse to let myself get worked up by this. April 5th and beyond is what counts. Can’t wait for the home opener. I’ll be there.

Next!

  • Hi Ed :-)

This season I will expect the worst but I will be prepared for 'worser'.

by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Feb 28, 2010 7:06 PM EST reply actions  

And here I was, over at Fangraphs because of PhDBrian, reading about Zombie Pudge...

  And look who returned from the dead……..

" I was just poking the universe to get things started..." -E. Chigliak, Winter 2009
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."

by cat daddy3000 on Feb 28, 2010 8:02 PM EST up reply actions  

It is...Alive!

This season I will expect the worst but I will be prepared for 'worser'.

by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Mar 1, 2010 7:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Zombie Pudge scares me a little with his "a little too into this" staring sometimes...

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 1, 2010 8:16 PM EST up reply actions  

(whispers)

“Louuuuuuuuuuuuu”…

I’ll be there on Opening Day…that’s all I can promise anyone.

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Feb 28, 2010 8:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Shocking revelation.....Nats' GM signs self!!!

" I was just poking the universe to get things started..." -E. Chigliak, Winter 2009
Mezza: ''Are we there yet?'' ...Roscoe: "In baseball hell? Yes we are."

by cat daddy3000 on Feb 28, 2010 8:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Rizzo gave himself a raise?

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Feb 28, 2010 9:05 PM EST up reply actions  

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