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Around SBN: Bill Stewart Dead From Apparent Heart Attack

Washington Nationals' President Stan Kasten Sees Next Wave On Horizon...

I skipped through the rest of the recordings I made of Jim Duquette and Seth Everett of Sirius/XM's Power Alley broadcasting live from Space Coast Stadium, the Washington Nationals' Spring home, and found one final interview of interest from Monday's show...this one with Nats' team President Stan Kasten, who talked to the Sirius/XM hosts about the changes DC GM Mike Rizzo made this winter, the team's plans for Stephen Strasburg and Adam Dunn and...yes, even the possibility of Strasburg starting against the Boston Red Sox in the Spring's final exhibition game on April 3rd in Nationals Park, in Washington, DC. Here's what Mr. Kasten had to say:

Jim Duquette: "Stan, I know it's gotta be nice to get out of the Washington area all the snow that we got there, but, how long are you here in camp and what have you seen so far."

Stan Kasten: "Well I just got back again yesterday, and we feel like things are coming together, we know that we had things to accomplish this offseason, I think we did accomplish a lot of those things and as we put this team together we're waiting for the next wave to get here, because no matter what we break camp with here in a couple weeks, we do know right around the corner is the next wave to add to our rotation with [Stephen] Strasburg coming and Jordan Zimmermann getting back and Ross Detwiler getting healthy and Chien-Ming Wang getting healthy, we think it's going to be an important transitional year for us." 

Star-divide

Jim Duquette: "I asked a question of Mike Rizzo, from a development standpoint, he and I are almost in the same exact agreement from our player development background, they both had, [Drew] Storen and Strasburg had things from a development standpoint to learn at the minor leagues before you bring them back, there's also a financial issue that you...eh...touch on a little bit, I know that wasn't as major a factor, but from your standpoint, you know that both...certainly Strasburg would bring fans into the ballpark, so how does that play a role, or does it play a role from your standpoint?"

Stan Kasten: "No, it really doesn't, cause his upside is so great that we just want to do everything we can to make sure we're doing the right thing, and if we err on the side of conservatism, we're happy to do that because his impact will be great for us down the road. We're certainly not going to bring him up there just to sell some tickets...He might pitch in that exhibition game that we have up there, but you know it's still Spring Training and sometimes you do that with guys, but we think that taking his time, getting him some experience in the minor leagues will be the right thing for him, it looks like he's going to join us soon enough though...Do we think he could do it right now if he had to? Yeah, I'm sure he could but you know, there's no need for him to do that when we can take our time and develop him under, I think, a little better circumstances."

Jim Duquette: "Managing expectations? I asked both both Mike Rizzo and Jim Riggleman this, and certainly from your perspective I'd like to ask you this as well, the expectation now has gone for your organization beyond the development and seeing improvement among individuals, to now you want to see wins on the field, so in your mind, other than you know not losing 100 games, which is alright, you guys aren't going to lose 100 games, what in your mind is a successful year in terms of wins and losses."

Stan Kasten: "Well that's hard to say, because we look at our schedule, the first six weeks are really tough for a team that's not yet put together. On the other hand, I feel really good about the second-half of the season, cause as I said, that's going to be a very different team with a very different rotation, when you have [John] Lannan, [Jason] Marquis, Garrett Mock, [Craig] Stammen, [J.D.] Martin, whoever does make our Opening Day rotation and then add to it Strasburg, and bring back Zimmerman, and bring back Detwiler, and bring back Chien-Ming Wang, it's a whole different team and all of a sudden that's not just a good rotation, that's a big-time rotation, and when you have a rotation anything is possible and until you have it nothing is possible, so that's what we have to look forward to, the second half of the season is when I see us really being able to compete with anyone and that's what I'm looking for."

Jim Duquette: "With Adam Dunn, I asked Mike [Rizzo] this, and nothing really new to report, there was discussions with him on an extension of his contract ten days ago, with his agent Brian Peters, but from your perspective, how important is a guy like Adam Dunn not only for the present, but for the future when you do have that wave of young guys coming up?"

Stan Kasten: "Well, you know, he's a cleanup hitter, and they're not easy to get, there are not many guys who are going to give you 40 HR's and 100 walks and 100 RBI's, and Adam's presence in the lineup impacts the two guys in front of him and impacts the two guys behind him cause he's on base so much. He's also a great guy in the clubhouse, so he really is a good fit here, he really wants to be in Washington and we want him to be here. We still have to make it work economically, you know how those things go. I don't feel any pressure to have to do something by Opening Day, I really don't think he does either, so if the fit is right, we'll get it done at the right time, I can't tell you when that will be or how much it will be, but he's a good fit here and we think he's a big part of our future."

Jim Duquette: "Obviously with your days from the Braves, you saw some really good talent coming up and you saw how they built around the rotation, are you starting to see any similarities to the early, early years of the Braves? Maybe '90, maybe not '91 yet, but '89-90, and where you guys are with the rotation?

Stan Kasten: "Well, I know this, I know we lost 106 games one year, and then two years later we lost the World Series in Game 7. You know, so once the rotation falls into place, like I said, anything is possible. And it really looks now, you can see through the clouds a real big time rotation forming here. If that happens, Jim, anything is possible, this offense is good enough to really contend if you have a top rotation, so that's what we're working on, and you know when I say you can't buy a rotation, you can maybe buy a pitcher at a time, you can't buy a rotation, you can develop'em, well that's what we've done, and again cause we see big futures from Strasburg and Zimmermann and Detwiler on top of the kids we already have here, so to that extent you see comparisons not just to the Braves, but any team that makes a quick turn, they did it on the strength of a good young rotation, and that's what's going to happen here."

Jim Duquette: "Your GM, Mike Rizzo was very busy this offseason, your assessment of him, he's still new on the job, relatively new on the job, but now that he has it full time how would you assess the job that Mike Rizzo's done?"

Stan Kasten: "Well I think he's done great, he obviously spent a lot of time as a scout, but preparing to become a GM, his orientation is, as you know, the scouting side, I lean toward that myself, but we've made a very conscious effort to add the sabermetric element to everything we do with a whole cadre of people that do nothing but that, so I think we have a good balance in our front office, but we lean toward the scouting side, and that's why we brought in as many of the experienced veteran wise old owls that we can, I think that's where we made the biggest leap in this offseason and that's where the dividends are going to come from."

Jim Duquette: "Last question, and we're here with Stan Kasten, the President of the Nationals...Jim Riggleman, obviously his first full spring with you guys after taking over in the middle of the season, not his first major league Spring Training as a manager, why Jim Riggleman, why is he the right guy for where you guys are in the part in your organization as you're building this club?

Stan Kasten: "Well he had a home field advantage, because he was with us last year, we thought he did a good job under really adverse circumstances, and he's a detail guy, he's a baseball guy, I don't think we ever get beat between the white lines during the game in terms of strategy or things like that, but that's not the biggest part of the game, I think demanding the respect of the guys, getting them to play hard, having respect for the game and for him, he's big on those things, we thought he deserved a chance to come to Spring Training and start with the team from scratch and so far I think it's working out great."

• ?'s For The DC Faithful:

• Do you agree with Stan Kasten's assessment that, "...you can see through the clouds a real big time rotation forming here."

• With every scout in baseball saying Adam Dunn is ready to start his semi-retirement as a DH in the AL, do you think it's a good idea to extend the Nationals' big middle-of-the-order bat?

• Do you think the Nationals ever really planned on bringing in a new skipper? Or was it Jim Riggleman all along with Washington doing their due diligence before making it official?

• Will the Nationals start Strasburg in the final exhibition game this Spring against the Red Sox? Should they?

• Will Jim Riggleman be the Nationals' manager when they turn things around?

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I absolutely agree with Stan Kasten....

Prior to the move of the Expos to DC, I was a lifelong fan and follower of the Atlanta Braves, and I am very much familiar with Stan’s style. As a Braves fan, I suffered through the really tough years of the 1970’s, enjoyed a brief stint of success in the early 80’s, and followed closely when Stan was building what eventually became a dynasty. I see a very close similarity between the “Young Guys” (which is a spin-off from the southern phrase “Young’uns”) of the Branves and the young pitchers of the Nats. I, for one, was not a fan of bringing in a bunch of washed-up veteran pitchers here, for a load of money, and take away the much needed experience of what will become our 2nd year pitchers. Thank God we didn’t (except for Marquis), and hopefully the others won’t make the team. When you look at historical stats, the early Braves pitchers had mediocre, or just bad years their first and/or second season. Back then, Smoltz, Glavine and Avery were just kids, and no one ever imagined they would become the HOF level pitchers that they eventually became (Avery, due to injuries, never made it as far….but was considered the best of the three back then). It is difficult to predict the future of a rookie….but I feel much better about the futures of Strasburg, Zimmermann, Stammen, Detwiler, and Lannan, than I did back then of Glavine, Smoltz and Avery (remember, Mad-Dog Maddux didn’t come until a couple years later, and was not a part of the first two Braves World Series…he was originally a Chicago Cub). It took Stan 3 years to figure out the successful make-up of the GM/Manager team of Scheurholtz/Cox, and the same 3 year period to put together the team of Rizzo/Riggleman. Time will only tell….but I am patient, and am thoroughly enjoying watching the progress of the “process”.

by sullyzz on Mar 24, 2010 8:18 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm thoroughly enjoying watching the progress too...

After watching the Expos dismantled it’s a lot easier to enjoy even a slow flawed rebuild…

And I’m said to admit that Avery was my favorite Braves’ starter back then, I really can pick’em. My brother’s a lifelong Braves fan, so I saw what happened there…can it happen again? If the Nats are in the World Series on two seasons or are even the WC race I’ll be shocked/thrilled…

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 24, 2010 9:31 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

2012

They will be a serious top 5 NL team

by HobbsNY9 on Mar 24, 2010 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Question 2....Adam Dunn

Adam has never had the opportunity to to go Sprint Training, knowing that his primary position would be 1B. Regardless of Fangraphs, or any other geek-stat site available, NO ONE truly knows how well or how bad he will play at 1B this season….it is all opinionated. If the Nats extend him, and he is as terrible as most have predicted, he can still be traded to an AL team as a DH. If he is not extended, and plays as decent at 1B as Howard or Prince (or just acceptable) he will become a very hot commodity free agent, and we will probably lose him to a team willing pay a fortune for his services, leaving the Nats fans wondering why he wasn’t signed when he could have been extended for a much cheaper price. He must be extended.

by sullyzz on Mar 24, 2010 8:25 AM EDT reply actions  

Extended means no trade

If the Nationals extend Adam Dunn they won’t go out and trade him. Even if he continues to suck at defense. They may say No One really knows how bad he is. I’ll stick with Fangraphs.

Also the extension will likely be for too much money. It’s clear Dunn doesn’t have a lot of trade value now and that is because he makes 12M a year. The extension will come with a similar problem except Dunn will be older. He will have even less value being older. No other team would give him 2/20 a year ago so why would a team give him more than that for seasons where he is older?

Its true he will have value even if his defense ends up being bad at 1st. But that value will be low an a poor way to spend money and the first base position.

by HobbsNY9 on Mar 24, 2010 8:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

What will the contract look like?

When you say you want Adam Dunn, what is the contract you envision?

2/20 again?
3/36?

Maybe the team can get a steal but I doubt it. I’ll take a 1 year 10M dollar deal but no more.

by HobbsNY9 on Mar 24, 2010 8:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Fangraphs.....

Simply cannot predict his capabilities at 1B….they have no true past performance to build a true statistical background. Sporadic playing time at a position that was un-natural to him in the past is an unfair analysis of his performance level at that position. Given a full Spring Training, as a follow-up from his experience late last season, he should improve….if not, then I agree with the fact that he needs to move to the AL. BTW….you never answered my question yesterday; how many days have you spent at Nationals Park? Or down in Florida, watching him play the position in person? Like I said yesterday, what I have seen in person, does not match what your geek-stat sites say about him on paper.

by sullyzz on Mar 24, 2010 8:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

A couple things

1.He has more than a 1400 Innings at first for a UZR/150 of -17.9. – This is more than a full season but the playing time has been sporadic.

2.Then in the OF he has over 9000 Innings and has a UZR of -14.4.

3.The time in the OF is predictive of how he will perform at 1st. So are the 1400 innings.

4.Let’s not forget his age and the fact that defenders peak at a young age

5. I haven’t been to Nationals park in over two years. I watch many games online. But actually none of that really matters. The idea of defensive metrics is that when you watch the game there are things that fool the common eye. Someone dives for a ball that the other guy gets to routinely. The diving stop looks like a good play but really they are the same ball. Remember there are other factors that effect our subjective defensive assessments

6. It sounds like you do trust UZR just not on Dunn at 1st going forward. I hope he improves. But if you are going to eventually judge him on UZR, I think a lot of the answers are there now. His 1400Inn at -17.9 or his time in the OF at -14.4 that proves he stinks. I hope he improves but I don’t see how someone projects him at better than -8 in 2010.

7. Lannan, Marquis, Wang, Strasburg are all extreme ground ball pitchers. It will be extra important to have a good defensive 1st baseman with all of those chances.

by HobbsNY9 on Mar 24, 2010 8:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

"Judge him on UZR"

This is exactly what I’ve been arguing against. I think it’s a very bad idea to judge a player based on one stat, especially one as unstable as UZR.

Case in point: we all had a lot of time to argue and discuss Orlando Hudson this offseason, and more than a few times his UZR was tossed around. Trouble is that his UZR/150’s have been all over the place: -3.2, 2.9, 16.1, 9.1, -0.7, 0.5, -7.6, -3.7…. how does one project from this series? How about Derek Jeter? He never posted a positive UZR/150 in his career until last season’s 8.4, at a time well after his young age, when “defenders peak”. How about Nick-The-Slick Johnson? His UZR/150s have gone 18, -6.8, 1.4, 12.5, 2.9, 11.4, -6.6. If one assumes that defense is a relati, that line is complete garbage as an estimator of defense. Great? Terrible? Average?

Rob

"Man may penetrate the outer reaches of the universe, he may solve the very secret of eternity itself, but for me, the ultimate human experience is to witness the flawless execution of a hit-and-run." -- Branch Rickey

by RobBobS on Mar 24, 2010 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

oops

“relatively stable with a predictable long-term trend”, is what I meant to say.

Rob

"Man may penetrate the outer reaches of the universe, he may solve the very secret of eternity itself, but for me, the ultimate human experience is to witness the flawless execution of a hit-and-run." -- Branch Rickey

by RobBobS on Mar 24, 2010 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Defense is hard to measure.

I think most stat-heads generally agree that UZR is the best of a flawed set of stats. I think it gets thrown around a bit too authoritatively (I’m guilty of this) because it translates directly into wins. As you rightly point out, it bounces around alot—we already know that even well-defined hitting stats like batting average don’t coverage to a stable value over an entire season of PA, and defense stats are worse. We can say what a player did during a season with UZR, but it’s difficult to turn that into a true measure of player skill, especially if we further want to predict. Of course, it’s always going to be fun to argue about…

"And everybody lived happily ever after. Except the Phillies and the Mets. The End." --Sasskuash
Friend of Dukes and Desmond #3

by Doghouse on Mar 24, 2010 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Adam Dunn did a spit take when you said "Sprint Training"...

But they calmed him down and explained…(sorry, please don’t point out all my spelling errors…)

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 24, 2010 9:35 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Just Caught That! :-)

How funny is that! Regardless of how well he plays defense, “sprinting” would be a scary thought. I am still LMAO! Old fingers on the keyboard sometimes do make comical errors!

by sullyzz on Mar 24, 2010 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Riggleman Question.....

I thought Valentine was the shoe-in candidate, but am excited to see what Riggleman can do with a full season….especially at a time when the Nats are not expected to do very well.

by sullyzz on Mar 24, 2010 8:27 AM EDT reply actions  

I think Valentine wanted more-than-manager powers...

Which probably didn’t jibe with the Kasten/Rizzo rebuild…

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 24, 2010 10:01 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Strasburg Question

I totally expect to see Strasburg pitching that game, and am excited that I already have my tickets to see it! BTW…YES, YES, YES; he SHOULD be pitching that game. Give the kid the opportunity as a reward for a fantastic Spring Training, and TREAT the fans to a wonderful day of baseball watching their future phenom! Strasburg, against the Red Sox, will guarantee a pre-season sell-out! Plus….we get to see what he can do against a World Series level squad.

by sullyzz on Mar 24, 2010 8:30 AM EDT reply actions  

If he's good enough to pitch in that game

He’s good enough to make the roster and we shouldn’t be playing contractual games. Strasburg didn’t want to throw out the first pitch in DC when he visited after signing because he wanted his first pitch off that mound to matter. I say no sideshow and stick to the minor league plan if that’s your plan.

I believe part of this is posturing to make sure fans buy tickets out of hope. Some people in Potomac probably bought season tickets expecting Strasburg. Some people will buy tickets to this game expecting Strasburg. But Harrisburg and their stadium renovations and appropriate level of play for Rizzo is what Strasburg will get.

erskine has scored...now i can die in peace

by souldrummer on Mar 24, 2010 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would rather have Strasburg for all of 2016

…than have Strasburg for April/May of 2010, if I had to make a choice.

Rob

"Man may penetrate the outer reaches of the universe, he may solve the very secret of eternity itself, but for me, the ultimate human experience is to witness the flawless execution of a hit-and-run." -- Branch Rickey

by RobBobS on Mar 24, 2010 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

I go back and forth over this

If I felt any confidence that Boras would do a sign early kind of deal like Zimmerman or Langoria, I’d want him up early. If I felt any kind of hope that bringing him up early would build goodwill for a hometown discount I’d bring him up now. I think that resigning him will be a bear, though, so I’m very conflicted and am resigning myself that Rizzo will make a sensible decision regardless. The WaPo article on this kind of turned me to the keep him down camp.

erskine has scored...now i can die in peace

by souldrummer on Mar 24, 2010 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Its not just a contractual game, its something every single team in baseball does, its just common sense

Aim for the head baby Jesus

by Doncosmic on Mar 24, 2010 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

I wants my Strasburg through 2016.

"And everybody lived happily ever after. Except the Phillies and the Mets. The End." --Sasskuash
Friend of Dukes and Desmond #3

by Doghouse on Mar 24, 2010 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now that the Nats are short a right fielder

Do they move Dunn back to OF and trade for 1B? Dunn’s been kicking it around at 1B during spring training. Is he less of a liability back in OF?

Relax, all right? Don't try to strike everybody out. Strikeouts are boring! Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.

by natsstats on Mar 24, 2010 10:51 AM EDT reply actions  

No. No. No.

Willingham was horrible in right as was Dunn. See if his defense is passable at 1B during his contract year and if it is renew him. RF should be addressed via trade with excess pitching inventory. Sadly, Scott Olsen is not doing his part to be part of that excess pitching inventory. You’d like to see a guy like Wang or Marquis or Olsen become tradeable through performances during a period where you giving Willie Harris/Morse platoon a chance to show viability.

erskine has scored...now i can die in peace

by souldrummer on Mar 24, 2010 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Harris/Morse or Harris/Maxwell?

I think J-Max might hang around cause Morse is the only backup 1B on the roster…Bruntlett?

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 24, 2010 11:00 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Maxwell has done little to show he deserves regular ABs this spring

I don’t know who the answer is but Maxwell is looking like he isn’t it until he shows some average over at least 30 to 40 games at the start of the season at Syracuse.

erskine has scored...now i can die in peace

by souldrummer on Mar 24, 2010 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Dunn's days in the outfield are over...

Unless Riggles gets creative again…please no. Much as I worry aboot Dunn at first, I think he’ll cause far less damage as a 1B…

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 24, 2010 10:58 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

my two cents

Dunn: No. no extension. trade at deadline for whatever he’s worth. that should have been the plan all along whenthey signed him. extending him WILL turn out to be a bad deal for the Nats.
Riggleman: No. he runs his team into too many outs, has no idea (and has admitted such) about pitching, and is too reactionary to streaks/slumps.
Stras v Boston: No. No freaking way. It’s not a dog and pony show. That day needs to go to whoever “wins” the No. 5 slot.

Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com

by Dave at District Sports Page on Mar 24, 2010 11:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Wow

Amazingly enough, I disagree with you on all three points. Resign Dunn; Riggleman’s good for the Nationals today; Give the people a taste of what’s to come!

Rob

"Man may penetrate the outer reaches of the universe, he may solve the very secret of eternity itself, but for me, the ultimate human experience is to witness the flawless execution of a hit-and-run." -- Branch Rickey

by RobBobS on Mar 24, 2010 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I guess you two will have to (ahem) agree to disagree...

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 24, 2010 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

i don't have a problem with differing opinion

as long as it’s based on knowledge, research or fact.

believing something because you want it to be true is a completely different story, not that i’m accusing RBS of doing that.

Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com

by Dave at District Sports Page on Mar 24, 2010 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just hate the phrase "agree to disagree"...

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Mar 24, 2010 3:11 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

We have a LOT of young talent but we have major

holes that need fixing through Free Agency

Our lineup has little to no consistency
Our RP is suspect most of the time
Our SP is extremely good yet extremely young and the SP’s right now outside of Wang really can’t be counted on for anything but MAYBE a .500 record

by Alious on Mar 24, 2010 8:24 PM EDT reply actions  

And I thought......

there were negative folks on nationals.com! Some of you guys take the cake!!

by sullyzz on Mar 24, 2010 10:19 PM EDT reply actions  

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