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Wire Taps: Will The Washington Nationals' Adam Dunn Become A Free Agent?

The Nationals and Nats' slugger Adam Dunn have reportedly been in discussions about a contract extension since before the 2010 season began, but as of September 6th no agreement has been reached, and the soon-to-be 31-year-old left-handed hitting power bat, who hit his 34th HR of the year and the 350th of his career on Sunday, seems likely to enter the free agent market at the end of the 2010 campaign to see what he can command. That's not my opinion, but that of both MLB.com writer Ken Gumick and The Detroit News' Lynn Henning. 

MLB.com's Ken Gumick writes about the LA Dodgers' free agent targets in an article this past weekened entitled, "Elusive big bat key to big Dodgers offseason", including Dunn on a list of sluggers who, "...figure to be among the most potent hitters on the free-agent market," though Mr. Gumick quickly says the Nats' big middle-of-the-order bat is, "...likely to command the type of rich [contract] the Dodgers have shied away from." According to the Detroit News' Lynn Henning's article entitled, "Adam Dunn likely tops Tigers' 2011 wish list", Dunn is a perfect example of the sort of, "...big bat the Tigers ideally would love to place on either side of Miguel Cabrera as a Tigers team gunning for offense prepares to shop," this offseason. "Dunn, 30, could still sign an extension with the Washington Nationals," Mr. Henning writes, but at this point that, "seems beyond unlikely."

Star-divide

Just like last time Dunn was a free agent, however, his limited defensive skills could limit his options. Mr. Henning notes that though Dunn's transitioned to first, "He can play the outfield, technically speaking,":

"...but any team that pretends defense is important won't want Dunn in the outfield. It's known, as well, that Dunn isn't interested in becoming a designated hitter."

Dunn indirectly confirmed the fact that he didn't consider himself a DH yet in the days leading up to the 2010 Non-Waiver Trade Deadline when he told Washington Post writer Adam Kilgore (as reported via Twitter @AdamKilgoreWP) that, "...he would be comfortable becoming a DH for the rest of this year. "[Since] It's just two months," but that doesn't sound like someone who's ready to stop playing the field. No AL or NL team was willing to give Dunn the multi-year deal he wanted last time he was a free agent, so the slugger settled for a two-year deal with Washington. If he's unwilling to sign with an AL team which would most likely want him to transition once again to become a designated hitter, and limits himself to the National League, he'll still have suitors, with rumors of interest already having made the news in Chicago, but in spite of the fact that he's 4 HR's away from hitting over 38 for the seventh-straight season, Dunn might just find himself back at the table with the Nats.

Poll
What Will Happen To Adam Dunn?
• Signs For 1-2-years/$30M
52 votes
• Signed, 3-years/$40-$45M?
170 votes
• Signed, 4-years/$60M?
17 votes
• Walks, Nats Get Two Picks?
171 votes

410 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 16 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I doubt the Nats would do it

But I don’t think 4 for 60 is as bad a deal as some people think.
He’s only 31, has been the model of consistency, and has had his best 2 years the last 2. Plus there is something to be said for having one of the first non juicing players to make a run at 500 in several years on your team.

Aim for the head baby Jesus

by Doncosmic on Sep 6, 2010 9:54 AM EDT reply actions  

Got to believe they're not excited about extending him past the Zimmerman window of 2013.

Walks are down. Best WAR season was 2005, FWIW. I’m down for 3 years of Dunn at almost any price south of 52M, if he gets much beyond on the open market Dunn can go with god. Dunn may catch a whiff of what he’d get on the open market and where he’d go. (Cubs at 4 years 60M brook and Princess jazzy?) Nats may have an idea of what it would take to get Crawford. (6 years 110M?) and say twice as long of Crawford is better than 3 years of Dunn.

Certainly, we’ve got quite a bit of interest to follow in the host stove league.

On a desperate search for Sunshine at Nats Park. In Rizzo and Ramos we trust.

by souldrummer on Sep 6, 2010 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sign him already.

Honestly, I don’t know what’s the hold up. The Nats want him; he wants to stay with the Nats (presumedly). Can it be that hard to come to agreement?

Rob

"Ninety feet between home plate and first base may be the closest man has ever come to perfection." -- Red Smith

by RobBobS on Sep 6, 2010 9:55 AM EDT reply actions  

At this point, the holdup is Dunn camps.

I assume the Nats have offered him a market rate offer at this point, and he has declined it. I know you want Dunn, but he’s not worth an overpay in all likelihood.

You want us to sign Dunn. What’s your ceiling?

On a desperate search for Sunshine at Nats Park. In Rizzo and Ramos we trust.

by souldrummer on Sep 6, 2010 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Without Dunn's money,

it looks like the Nats’ payroll drops about 6 million (to ~60M). I’m making some assumptions here: Willingham gets 2 mil raise in arbitration, Lannon jumps a half-mill, Wang’s money doesn’t change much, Harris, Batista and Nieves becomes FAs. On the other hand, Zim is due a big raise in each of the next three years, and pretty soon will be making big-boy dollars (which may be a big concern in the FO now).

In my world, the Nats have plenty of starting pitching. Without Dunn’s services, they will need another bat — either an everyday type or at least a left-handed threat off the bench if they insist on playing Morse at first every day (a dubious proposition, IMO).

Now, I have claimed that the Nats will probably go mid-70’s next year, to the low 80’s in 2012, and probably near 90M in 2013. If they follow this path, they have about $14M available for resigning Dunn next year (and a bit more in 2012 and 13), plus a bit of “walking around money” to do things like sign a replacement for Harris, pick up another mop-up guy, things like that.

Somewhere in the rambling post is the answer to your question…

Rob

"Ninety feet between home plate and first base may be the closest man has ever come to perfection." -- Red Smith

by RobBobS on Sep 6, 2010 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

So basically that's 4 year 60M for the rest of us who aren't too good at math?

Number please! Dunn may be holding out for more than that based on whispers to his agent. Like I said, I think the hold up is Dunn’s camp at this point and htat’ entirely justified given the possibility of other suitable destinations at greater than Nats prices.

You’re gripe may be with the Lerners and Rizzo for not getting this done well before the trading deadline.

My gripe will be with the Lerners if they passed on a valuable Dan Hudson for Dunn walking.

On a desperate search for Sunshine at Nats Park. In Rizzo and Ramos we trust.

by souldrummer on Sep 6, 2010 10:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I was purposely avoiding discussing that fourth year

I’d go 3 years at 15M per — maybe a mutual option for year 4? I think that Nats can afford it if there’s a deal anywhere in this area. Once again, it’s easy to spend other people’s money.

Rob

"Ninety feet between home plate and first base may be the closest man has ever come to perfection." -- Red Smith

by RobBobS on Sep 6, 2010 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

That means Dunn's camp wants to go to free agency you realize, I hope?

“Sign Dunn already” ain’t but so appropriate if it’s 3 years 45. He believes he can get his 4 years 60M and he’s earned the right to find out.

On a desperate search for Sunshine at Nats Park. In Rizzo and Ramos we trust.

by souldrummer on Sep 6, 2010 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

FWIW, I think your logic's pretty sound.

Unless Rizzo’s been lying to us since July the Nats have probably done their part to keep Dunn on board and his side wants to see what he can get on the outside.

by Dan Shields on Sep 7, 2010 9:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Lineups from Ladson: Morgan-CF, Kennedy-2B, Zimmerman-3B, Dunn-1B, Bernadina-LF, Pudge-C, Harris-RF, Espinosa-SS, Zimmermann-P

Interesting lineup today with Desi out and Spinner at short. The General may be managing his troops from the dugout with Nieves as his right hand man from here on out.

On a desperate search for Sunshine at Nats Park. In Rizzo and Ramos we trust.

by souldrummer on Sep 6, 2010 10:20 AM EDT reply actions  

The competition for SS begins...

…let’s see how the new new kid’s arm is.

"And everybody lived happily ever after. Except the Phillies and the Mets. The End." --Sasskuash
Friend of Dukes and Desmond #3

by Doghouse on Sep 6, 2010 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

There’s talk on the street; it sounds so familiar
Great expectations, everybody’s watching you

by PerryMason on Sep 6, 2010 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Heading up to the Red Loft around 12ish if anyone's at the game...

Was planning on posting a not with another post, but the site I did an interview with sent me a dead link and ruined my plan…

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Sep 6, 2010 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

ah, the remote office.

i just sold your computer.

Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com

by Dave at District Sports Page on Sep 6, 2010 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't want no stinkin' draft picks

Sign Dunn, I voted 3 years $40-45 million. I’d be ok with 4 years and somewhat satisified with 2 years. Either way, screw the draft picks, some money has to go to guys in the big leagues darn it.

by Andrew Davidson on Sep 6, 2010 10:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Didn't Dunn's last contract go-around...

Teach his camp anything? I suspect he either needs to seriously consider DHing or lower his demands. He should stay away from the Dodgers, the McCourt divorce is probably going to impact the club and not in good way. Cubs? Not at the money he wants, Ricketts is shortening Hendry’s pursestrings for next year.

Re-sign with Nationals and be done with it!

"Pinky, are you pondering what I'm pondering?"--The Brain

by brook on Sep 6, 2010 11:05 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

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