BBWAA: Milwaukee Brewers' Ryan Braun Wins 2011 NL MVP Award.
by Patrick Reddington on Nov 22, 2011 2:34 PM EST
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Print• Braun Takes Home NL MVP Award: The BBWAA announced this afternoon that 28-year-old Milwaukee Brewers' outfielder Ryan Braun was voted the 2011 National League MVP. In 150 games and 629 plate appearances in his fifth MLB season, Braun put up a .332/.397/.597 slash with a .433 wOBA, 166 OPS+, 38 2B, 33 HR's, 33 SB, a .350 BABIP, and 179 wRC+. Braun finished the year at 7.8 WAR, second overall in the National League behind the Los Angeles Dodgers' center fielder Matt Kemp (+8.7 WAR).
Braun finished second overall in the SB Nation's NL MVP voting. Kemp finished first in the SB Nation's voting for 2011 NL MVP, second overall in the BBWAA voting. The Dodgers' 27-year-old center fielder, who signed an 8-year/$160 million dollar contract last week, finished his sixth major league season with a .324/.399/.586 slash, 33 doubles, four triples and an NL-leading 39 HR's and 126 RBI's, a 171 OPS+, a .306 BABIP and 162 wRC+.
• The BBWAA Top 10 For 2011 NL MVP: 1. Ryan Braun, MIL 2. Matt Kemp, LAD 3. Prince Fielder, MIL 4. Justin Upton, AZ 5. Albert Pujols, StL. 6. Joey Votto, CIN 7. Lance Berkman, St.L 8. Troy Tulowitzki, COL 9. Roy Halladay, PHI 10. Ryan Howard, PHI.
(ed. note - "The results of the SB Nation's NL MVP voting went up during the Wilson Ramos kidnapping saga, and it seemed inappropriate to write about them at the time. Here are the results...")
• SBNation's Baseball Writers 2011 NL MVP Voting:
| Num | Name | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Kemp | 21 | 5 | 1 |   | 1 |   |   |   |   |   | 353 |
| 2 | Ryan Braun | 7 | 19 | 2 |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 285 |
| 3 | Joey Votto |   |   | 8 | 7 | 6 | 3 |   | 4 |   |   | 176 |
| 4 | Justin Upton |   | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 |   | 3 | 1 | 140 |
| 5 | Prince Fielder |   | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 119 |
| 6 | Troy Tulowitzki |   |   |   | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 91 |
| 7 | Jose Reyes |   |   |   | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 86 |
| 8 | Roy Halladay |   | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 |   | 1 | 1 | 1 |   | 85 |
| 9 | Clayton Kershaw |   |   | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |   | 56 |
| 10 | Albert Pujols |   |   |   | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Lance Berkman |   |   |   | 1 | 2 | 2 |   | 3 | 2 | 2 | 44 |
| 12 | Shane Victorino |   |   |   | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 41 |
| 13 | Cliff Lee |   |   |   |   | 3 | 1 | 1 |   | 3 |   | 33 |
| 14 | Andrew McCutchen |   |   |   |   | 1 |   | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 15 | Pablo Sandoval |   |   |   | 2 |   |   |   | 1 | 1 |   | 19 |
| 16 | Brandon Phillips |   |   |   |   |   | 2 |   | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
| 17 | Matt Holliday |   |   |   |   |   | 2 |   |   | 1 |   | 12 |
| 18 | Mike Morse |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 1 |   | 2 | 5 |
| 19 | Carlos Beltran |   |   |   |   |   |   | 1 |   |   |   | 4 |
| 20 | Mike Stanton |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 21 | Ryan Roberts |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 2 | 2 |
| 22 | Ian Kennedy |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Hunter Pence |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Raul Ibanez |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 1 | 1 |
• My Top 3:
1. Ryan Braun - .332/.397/.597, .433 wOBA, 38 2B, 33 HR's, 33 SB, .350 BABIP, 179 wRC+, 7.8 WAR.
2. Prince Fielder - .299/.415/.566, .408 wOBA, 36 2B, 38 HR's, .306 BABIP, 162 wRC+, 5.5 WAR.
3. Matt Kemp - .324/.399/.586, .419 wOBA, 33 2B, 39 HR's, .380 BABIP, 171 wRC+, 8.7 WAR.
• Tries to Justify Kemp Snub: Clearly I was watching too much Milwaukee baseball this season. I was one of seven SBN writers to give Ryan Braun the nod over Kemp, but one of only two to list Prince second. Kemp deserved the first place vote, but the second if not first, Prince Fielder just cast a spell on me at the time I guess. Something about a big power hitting first baseman who walks more than he K's appeals to me, but I figured Braun was clearly a notch above Fielder this season and deserved the first place vote. Would I change my vote in hindsight? Yes. To make Kemp second though. Still give the nod to Braun. The BBWAA had the same Top 3 with Kemp second, which again, he should have been on my ballot.
• Nationals' Note: Nats' 1B/OF Michael Morse finished 19th overall in NL MVP voting, receiving one 7th Place and one 10th Place vote in recognition of the 29-year-old outfielder's breakout season. Morse played 146 games and posted a .303/.360/.550 line with 36 doubles, 31 HR's, a .344 BABIP, 147 wRC+ and .387 wOBA, finishing the year at +3.4 WAR.
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Raul Ibanez?
Was that you, Patrick? Had to have been a Nats fan, the way that guy kills us.
If you don't eat your meat, you can't have any pudding! How can you have any pudding if you don't eat your meat?!
Heh, he just kills the Nats. But no...
It was a writer from the SBN’s Philly site.
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Nov 22, 2011 2:58 PM EST up reply actions
David Ortiz on an NL MVP ballot?
Strip that voters’ privelidge immediately.
"Things are going great, and they're only gettin' better..." Timbuk3
That's just an error. I have an updated list of results somewhere...
[searches through old emails…]
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Nov 22, 2011 3:48 PM EST up reply actions
It would sure be nice to see a true MVP candidate in Nats' red.
I wonder if that could ever happen. I wonder if there will ever be a situation in which the Nats are well positioned to acquire the services of a top-line player….? I would like to think that if such an opportunity ever DID present itself to the Nats, that they would not hesitate to act….
If such a day ever comes.
Rob
-- In baseball we trust.
Doubt it.
Much as I love FoF, he’s never really been close to being the MVP of the league.
Rob
-- In baseball we trust.
If he was healthy for the full 2010 season
and on a decent team he would have been. At the time he was hurt he lead the NL in Fangraph WAR.
Aim for the head baby Jesus
I just want to mention that Zimmerman is one of my favorite players!
The thing I really like is the looks he gives the crowd during home games along the first base line after dropping the bat. It is humorous.
Also, I like that he does this all the time!
I often think about how our two teams were so close to drafting each other’s 1st round pick in 2005 (Braun/Zim’). Although I would not want to change anything, I’m positive he would have been a beloved Brewer right away. Both our teams got such good players, and even in a strong drafting year, I’d like to think both Zimmerman and Braun stood out. I’ve been meaning to bring this up since I’d joined the site, but you were dealing with so many things.
If health is on his side, Zim’ looks like a HOF player. We could sure use some more 3rd basemen, there.
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Nov 23, 2011 12:20 AM EST up reply actions
$30M.
That would be too much.
Likely goes for $25M, too. $20M is not too much, depending on the time frame.
To me, the real question is how much is too much for a World Series ring? If I were the type to throw out complete SWAGs, I’d say that without Fielder, the current Nats have about a 0.5% chance of getting that ring. With Fielder, the number jumps to at least 5% and maybe higher. The Yankees and the Phillies and those big spending teams enjoy a chance closer to 20%. Five percent doesn’t make the Nats a favorite, but it does make them a contender.
Rob
-- In baseball we trust.
I actually love a lineup that includes Prince….and if that lineup also included a healthy Reyes, with a solid Desmond as a utility player, even better. But I’ve been flamed already for mentioning that, so I will back off of it….especially considering it won’t happen anyway.
"Integrity First, Service Before Self, Excellence In All We Do" - USAF Core Values
I'm agnostic on Fielder; just say no to Reyes tho
Reyes is my “most likely to sign an Alphonso Soriano-type albatross contract” player for 2011.
If I thought they’d get the 2011 Reyes I’d say yes in a heartbeat, injury risk & attitude & all. It could happen. But IMHO it’s a bad $100 million bet
by d_c_guy on Nov 22, 2011 6:33 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
After all my pleading, arguing, imploring
…the best I can get out of you is “agnostic”? Sighs. Mega-Sighs.
Rob
-- In baseball we trust.
by RobBobS on Nov 22, 2011 7:09 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Look at the similarities between Reyes and Crawford
Crawford up to his contract year of course. Everything is almost exactly the same including stats, playing styles, age except Reyes has the injury concerns that Crawford never had.
Whats the frequency, Kenneth?
That already happened, in 2009 & 2010
When the Nationals were ‘well-positioned’ enough to land Strasburg & Harper. The new CBA will effectively close that kind of windfall from ever happening again, imo.
"Things are going great, and they're only gettin' better..." Timbuk3
Harper and Strasburg
Luv ‘em. I bank the majority of my faith in the Nats on them. I am too close to accurately judge, though, the real likelihood that either of them wins a MVP or a CY. I think it’s a stretch, actually.
Still: point taken.
Rob
-- In baseball we trust.
by RobBobS on Nov 22, 2011 7:56 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Although, that would be an interesting piece of research
How many World Series-winning teams had either the MVP / Cy Young award winner from that year?
"Things are going great, and they're only gettin' better..." Timbuk3
Given the inherent randomness of the playoffs
I would prefer to examine MVPs/CYs on playoff-qualified teams.
While I argue for MVP material for the sake of the ring, obviously we know that you have to reach the playoffs first.
Rob
-- In baseball we trust.
by RobBobS on Nov 22, 2011 8:53 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I'd bet that the likelyhood of Strasburg winning at least one CY is at least 15%
Aim for the head baby Jesus
Incomplete dataset, but...
from 2000 to 2011, 30 of 48 award winners reached the playoffs, but only one was a member of a World series-winning team (Randy Johnson – Cy Young, 2001 Arizona Diamondbacks).
"Things are going great, and they're only gettin' better..." Timbuk3
OK, since 1994 (no playoffs, beginning of 3-division setup)...
45 of 68 (66.2%) of all major award winners have had their team reach the playoffs; Of those 45, only two (Greg Maddux, Cy Young 1995 & Randy Johnson, Cy Young 2001) have been part of that teams’ World Series champaigne party, a paltry 4% overall.
You’re probably right, there is inherent randomness due to the brevity of the deciding series. In that, it’s like hockey – The best players can carry you into the playoffs, but they don’t guarantee the trophy when it’s all said & done.
"Things are going great, and they're only gettin' better..." Timbuk3
66% seems reasonable.
The 4% is a bit of a shock. Even noting the maximum for that statistic is 50%, not 100%.
Rob
-- In baseball we trust.
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