Nationals Daily Evolutions 2/3/11
by David Huzzard on Feb 3, 2011 11:01 AM EST
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PrintBryce Harper might not have a chance to break camp with the big club after Spring Training, but that doesn't mean he won't be the center of attention. --Mark Zuckerman at csnwashington.com
Everyone's favorite racing president said, "To speak softly and carry a big stick," and so far Bryce Harper has half of that down. --nationalsenquirer.com
Justin Maxwell traded to the Yankees for Adam Olbrychowski*. --Dave Nichols from natsnewsnetwork.com
*I worried so much about spelling it correctly today that I actually didn't have to look it up.
Justin Maxwell will always look back fondly at his time with the Nationals, but is excited about joining the most storied franchise in baseball. --Byron Kerr at masnsports.com
The human good luck charm, Orlando Cabrera, is still unsigned, but the human cursed necklace, Felipe Lopez, is now a Tampa Bay Ray. --Ben Nicholson-Smith from mlbtraderumors.com
There are two storylines I have been rather dubious of this Winter. The first is that the Orioles had an amazing off-season that is much better than the Nats. --Harper from natsbaseball.com
And the second is that the Royals are poised to be contenders in a couple years. In 2006 the Marlins had four players finish in the top ten in ROY voting, in 2009 they had the ROY, and in 2010 they once again had multiple players in the top ten in a loaded year for rookies, and none of it has lead to anything, all because the owner still needs to spend money on veteran cogs to make the young player gears turn. The Royals payroll is set to be low this season, and that might be a good thing as it will give them financial flexibility to sign draft picks and those important veterans when the time is right. --Rob Neyer at sbnation.com
When Spring Training begins so will the battle for positions, and the Nationals have three guys that can catch in the major leagues. --Ben Goessling at masnsports.com
Derek Norris' future is tied in directly to how Ramos does. If Ramos succeeds as the Nats catcher then the choice is to trade Norris or move him to first base, but for now he is a catcher and until Ramos succeeds Norris will remain a catcher, but is catching really in his future. --William Yoder from thenatsblog.com
Why is it that every minor league deal always comes with a surprise? We heard about Cora a week or so ago, but not a peep about Cla Meredith and then when the Cora deal is made official Meredith is tacked on. --Bryan Hoch at nationals.com
Ryan Tatusko isn't just one of the players the Nats got for Cristian Guzman he might be a pitcher on the verge of breaking through. --mlbreports.com
The one thing that is certain about the Caribbean Series is that Alex Cora is an inspiration. --Jesse Sanchez at mlb.com
I have watched many a game and cursed the rookie strike zone, but there is also a veteran strike zone and Livan Hernandez benefits from it greatly. --J-Doug at beyondtheboxscore.com
It isn't very fun to think about, but Stephen Strasburg most likely would have had a dominating season in 2011. --William Yoder from thenatsblog.com
I don't think Nyjer regressed to the mean last season. What he regressed to was far, far below the mean, but Brett Gardner is a player that looks likely to be the 2011 Nyjer Morgan, but probably not. As a normal regression to the mean is expected and no temper tantrums in the outfield, and fights with Marlins. --Matt Klaassen at fangraphs.com
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Mischaracterized the Fangraphs article
If you read it through, it doesn’t say that Gardner “coud ver likely be” 2011’s Nyjer Morgan. The bottom line to the article is that, although he’s due for some regression (he was a >5WAR player last season), his regression is likely to be into the 3-4 WAR level. The article states that the reason that Gardner is unlikely to be the Nyjer Morgan of 2011 is his patience at the plate – despite having little power, his skill at fouling off pitches leads to him having the highest pitchers per plate appearance in the majors, and his walk rate is consistently high.
There is some hilarity in the comments as some note that Morgan has a much higher bat sh@t crazy level; if BSI were included in the stats Morgan would rate much higher!
+1 BSI is hilarious...
For the record though, i’ve never heard anyone with the Nats ever say a bad word aboot Morgan and several said the bat shiiiite antics were completely out of character…sure were a lot of incidents providing evidence to the contrary this year though…Here’s hoping he bounces back to his career marks at least, or they replace him right quick…
Maybe J-Max can take ove— oh that’s right.
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Feb 3, 2011 11:59 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
'tis enough, 'twill serve
I might have worded it something like “Fangraphs takes a look at whether Brett Gardner – another speedy leadoff guy with no power – is at risk of being 2011’s Nyjer Morgan.” But that’s largely stylistic :-)
The Orioles suck
They are going to suck again next year too. I’d be surprised if they win 70 games; I wouldn’t be surprised if they lost 100.
Skins rule
They could improve a ton and still be dead last in the AL East.
That division is just brutal this year.
"I was a victim of a series of accidents. As are we all."
---Malachi Constant
by The Herndon Kid on Feb 3, 2011 1:01 PM EST up reply actions
They
supposedly had a good off-season last year as well. We saw how that turned out.
Of course, the “Showalter factor”…
at least they have major leaguers in their infield now
but it still boils down, just like the Nats, to starting pitching.
Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com
"Nobody’s got a monopoly on good writing, or the facts. If you can come up with one or the other or (ideally) both, you’re in the club." --Rob Neyer, Feb. 2, 2011
by Dave at District Sports Page on Feb 3, 2011 1:24 PM EST up reply actions
The Orioles will stink beyond belief
And I shall ride Matusz to FANTASY VICTORY!!!
John Carlson: A real American hero taking names and settling scores.
Souldrummer: A regular guy trying to join Adam Dunn, Jordan Zimmermann, and Garrett Mock as one of RobBobS' guys.
Interesting Article on Tatusko.
I’d like to see him grab a couple of starts this season.
Roger Bernadina For LF!
It just tickles me that we got not one, but TWO pitchers for Guzman
And that both have actually been a pleasant surprise. Way to go, Guzzy!
Olbrychowski
any evaluations? I clicked the link but the text section was all black.
by William.Hatheway on Feb 3, 2011 2:18 PM EST reply actions
Works for me although
sometimes Dave’s site does take a bit long to load when my computer is tired. But here is the discussion from yesterday
by David Huzzard on Feb 3, 2011 2:20 PM EST up reply actions
bottom line on Olbrychowski
He’s a failed starter that has been resigned to mop-up duty two years straight in single-A. hard thrower with decent (but not elite) K/9 rate, but exceptionally high BB/9 rate.
and i’m working on my formatting issues. sorry for the inconvenience.
Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com
"Nobody’s got a monopoly on good writing, or the facts. If you can come up with one or the other or (ideally) both, you’re in the club." --Rob Neyer, Feb. 2, 2011
by Dave at District Sports Page on Feb 3, 2011 2:43 PM EST up reply actions
Baseball Prospectus
Did anyone see that BP is getting ready to post its Pecota projections for 2011? I get the annual every year and love it and it has helped me almost dead on in predictions. Not so much for number of wins, but for place in the standings or whether or not a team is a playoff team…
Anyway, Colin Wyers today has a preview and says that pre-injury, Strasburg was projected for 5.1 WAR. Pretty impressive considering it was for only 23 starts!!!
If he were to come back in July and give 2.5 WAR, that would be amazing.
I've bought the book the last two years and bring it to games all the time
Really good stuff. Not splurging for subscription surfaces yet.
John Carlson: A real American hero taking names and settling scores.
Souldrummer: A regular guy trying to join Adam Dunn, Jordan Zimmermann, and Garrett Mock as one of RobBobS' guys.
wow
That book is a good boat anchor, cant believe you would take it to games with you.
I just try to memorize the whole thing.
When you don't have a smartphone.
You have to go old school, I guess. I started taking it two games in 2009 and it was just so much more fun for me to read all of the snapshots on guys that I didn’t know well. It’s largely responsible for why I know the NL better than the AL. I’ve pretty much read many of the profiles of guys who play the Nats and don’t pay but so much attention to guys outside of the NL.
John Carlson: A real American hero taking names and settling scores.
Souldrummer: A regular guy trying to join Adam Dunn, Jordan Zimmermann, and Garrett Mock as one of RobBobS' guys.
NPUT by Huzzard.
I’m a gonna put this in that thread.
John Carlson: A real American hero taking names and settling scores.
Souldrummer: A regular guy trying to join Adam Dunn, Jordan Zimmermann, and Garrett Mock as one of RobBobS' guys.
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