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The Nats Utility Infielder Question

By definition, nobody is ever happy with their utility infielder except maybe the GM.  He's happy if the guy he has to pay almost nothing performs decently well.  The rest of us have to live with the fact that most likely at least one spot on the roster will be given to a replacement level player who is valued for his versatility and grit.

The Nationals have been using former Yankee Alberto "The Attorney General" Gonzales with his sweet glove, and they recently signed Jerry Hairston, Jr., another very versatile utility player.

The first question to ask (and answer) is what do the Nationals want from their utility infielders?

Utility infielders are known for doing four things: 

#1 - They fill in when infielders get injured.
#2 - They give infielders an extra day off here and there.
#3 - They come in as late inning defensive substitutes to help preserve a lead.
#4 - They pinch hit.

Gonzales did all of these things.  He played in 114 games in 2010.  He started in 37 of those to fill in for injured or resting players.  He played in another 77 games, including 44 pinch hit appearances.  In all, he spent the equivalent of about 43 games on the field, with a couple more games' worth of plate appearances tossed in.

[paragraph of useless statistics] Craig Stammen in 43 plate appearances had more RBIs than Gonzales did in 198.  Justin Maxwell contributed as much (0.4 fWAR) to the team as Gonzales did, with only two thirds of the playing time.  Pudge Rodriguez is more likely to walk than Gonzales is.  [/paragraph of useless statistics]

If one were to assume that it would be advantageous for the Nationals to have the best set of utility infielders available, it would be worth looking to see if there are any players on the market who might fit the needs of the Nationals even better than, for example, Gonzales.

Here is a chart with a number of such options, listing their defensive experience and their offensive lines as well:

Star-divide

Innings played are lifetime.  Offensive numbers are a two year average.

Inn 2nd
UZR/150 Inn SS
UZR/150 Inn 3rd UZR/150 AVG OBP SLG
Alberto Gonzales 511 0.8 554 -0.7 251 13.8 .258 .291 .331
Jerry Hairston, Jr. 4902 6.1 1023 2.1 428 -5.1 .247 .307 .373
Alex Cora 3701 3.3 4279 4.4 77 -78.4 .235 .299 .298
Willy Aybar 347 -6.3 18 83.0 1127 -1.8 .242 .321 .382
Bobby Crosby 127 16.1 5229 2.5 361 -21.7 .222 .295 .333
Julio Lugo 1160 -7.2 9159 -0.4 133 -17.5 .265 .327 .345
Mike Morse 453 -20.9 33 -26.2 .283 .342 .513

 

Morse was tossed in free of charge for being discussed at 3rd base.  Ignore him for now.

A few thoughts, in order of conception:

1st Thought - Of the options currently with the team, Jerry Hairston is the best, especially playing up the middle.

2nd Thought - Despite his reputation for a smooth glove, Alberto Gonzales is the weakest option at SS, and he also the fewest innings under his belt.

3rd Thought - Willy Aybar would be the best option to back up Zimmerman, combining an average but experienced glove with an excellent bat.

4th Thought - Alex Cora is Hairston Lite, and probably does not belong on the major league roster.

5th Thought - Julio Lugo has a very nice bat, but his only strength defensively is at SS, where the Nats don't need him.

6th Thought - Bobby Crosby is Gonzales with a defensive focus at 2nd instead of 3rd.

Having thought this through, it appears that replacing Alberto Gonzales with Willy Aybar, with Jerry Hairston taking most of the playing time at 2B and SS, would make the Nationals bench deeper offensively without giving much up too much defensively.

This brings up a new question: Who is Willy Aybar?

Willy Aybar (27 yo) played the past three years with the Rays, who used him at 3rd, 2nd, 1st and in the DH slot.  He was their starting 3rd baseman until Longoria got called up, and has filled a utility role ever since.  He was with the Rays for their drive to the World Series (.325/.333/.550 postseason), but struggled offensively in 2010 after dealing with a hamstring injury and the Rays declined his option($2.2 million) and non-tendered him.  He has a career line of .258/..341/.399 over five years.  He has had mixed luck offensively, with a BABIP no higher than .271 in the past three seasons. 

In 2010, he saw most of his at bats in the DH slot, and was also used thirty times as a pinch hitter.  He clearly has experience producing with his bat coming off the bench, making his bat that much more valuable.

Here is an article examining Aybar's 2011 value from the Mariners' perspective.

From the Rays perspective, an article on Aybar with a focus on his pinch hitting.

Way back in 2008, the NY Times did a piece on Aybar.

Is Rizzo willing to pay out money for this kind of bench upgrade gamble?

Alberto Gonzales costs $600k in 2011.  Hairston is being paid $2 million.  Aybar may come cheap this year, but he would certainly not be as cheap as Gonzales.  Would it be worth adding as much as $1 million to the payroll to add some pop to the bench at the expense of some defense at 3rd base when Zimmerman isn't playing?

In Rizzo We Trust(TM)

Comment 15 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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I would be happy to rework this if anyone throws more names at me.

I was merely working with a few names I picked off mlbtraderumors and such. That is to say – a small, unscientific sample.

by dc Roach on Mar 6, 2011 7:58 PM EST reply actions  

This will be an interesting development and thanks for your helpful post.

A couple of thoughts:
1) We are blessed this year to have a 2B who may very well be the best defensive shortstop on the team. In other words, backup skills at short don’t seem to me as big a deal this year as when you only had Past a Standing Guzman and The General as defensive options.
2) Hairston’s on this team because he can play everywhere. He’s not only a backup infielder. He’s a guy who can be one of the few potential right handed outfield backups. He’s likely on this team.
3) Aybar’s 2 year stats may look positive but he fell off of a cliff last year. bWAR has him subreplacement last year and his OPS was .654 If he’s going to want significantly more money than The General for equal odds of being around replacement I’ll take a pass.

We’re starting to get into Guess the 25-man territory here. Some of this really depends on what they plan to do with Hairston, I guess. Let’s assume they keep 5 position players for the bench. 1 of those will be the backup catcher, Ramos or Flores. So basically we’re left with 4 remaining spots. One of those four remaining slots is Morse. The other is likely Ankiel. You’ve also got to figure Hairston is one. Then you’ve basically got to see what they do with that last slot. A pinch hitting outfielder? MLBdepthcharts.com has Nix as the fourth guy. Or another infielder?

Personally I think they look at Morse/Bernadina as a PH, Ankiel as their backup outfielder left hand version, and Hairston as IF/right field platoon option. I think they will go with an infielder for that fourth slot. I hope it’s not Cora, but it might be. If Gonzales doesn’t pout, I’d rather have him than Aybar. We’re talking about replacement level guys. Use your 1M or 500K or whatever it is and sign somebody in the Dominican or go overslot with some guy or whatever else you feel is beneficial.

I think this issue will work itself out and I feel that no option is dramatically better or worse than the others. I wish there was another right handed outfielder amongst our options who could play defense. In that case, we wouldn’t be married to Ankiel and then I’d be confident using Hairston as your utility guy while stashing Cora or somebody of that ilk in the minors.

Great post and rec’d. Very impressed by your diligence and effort in these Fanposts.

"Derek Norris walks." - Gameday. 'Nuff said.
Friend of Nationalsprospects.com
Souldrummer twitters at @souldrummer25
Souldrummer is all in for Derek Norris.

by souldrummer on Mar 7, 2011 12:40 AM EST reply actions  

Thanks, and your comments deserve a thought-out reply, which I hope to find time for tonight. I like what you’re thinking about the outfield. The outfield situation, of course, is asking for its own post, but until Rizzo decides what to do with Nyjer it’s all conjecture. I don’t like to conjecture all that much, but it may be worth quantifying our depth out there a little. I’ll look into it.

by dc Roach on Mar 7, 2011 9:42 AM EST up reply actions  

A thought-out reply

On your thoughts:
1) Our glut of SS players is the reason I seriously looked around for players like Aybar who are not that valuable up the middle. If Desi gets injured for a great length of time, we have two players who can handle SS and should be fine. If Desi and Espinosa get hurt at the same time, who fills in won’t be our biggest concern.
2) The more I looked at the numbers, the more I realized how lucky we are to get a player like Hairston on our team, even at his age. Hairston has been filling the utility role for a number of years with various teams, has experience playing six positions and has a negative UZR/150 at only one (3B). All that plus he can contribute with a .300+ OBP. Hairston is on the team for sure, and in my opinion is worth the $2 million he is being paid.
3) Aybar is indeed a gamble, but at his worst he is better offensively than Gonzo. His drop in production last year is equaled by Gonzo’s, so if I were to gamble on one of them to regress to the mean, I’d gamble on the one who has a career OBP of .341. The only reason Gonzo had a positive WAR last year was because of his glove. I expect Hairston to take most of that defensive playing time away in 2011, leaving the emphasis on the bat. Btw, prior to 2010, Gonzo has only once put up a positive defensive WAR (0.1 in 2007; B-R.com).

Current starting bench is (my take) Catcher, Hairston, Morse, Ankiel/Nyjer and Gonzo/Stairs.

If Morse can pick up 3rd base defense well enough to survive, he may be able get more playing time when Zim needs time off, and opening up a bench spot for a dedicated pinch hitter like Stairs. Since Cora is signed on a minor league contract, if he stays he provides depth in case we need it, but that shouldn’t be a reason to put up with mediocrity on the major league team.

The outfield situation is complicated and I’m sure will work itself out, but I see Hairston as an infield utility player who will occasionally get playing time in the outfield. Don’t look at him as an outfield platoon option. Offensively, he was worse than Nyjer last year. We can survive with those numbers at SS, but I’m confident we have the pieces to do better in the OF consistently.

If I was in Rizzo’s chair I’d be seriously looking to see if there was more talent outside the organization to take a gamble on before I settled a roster spot on a dedicated pinch hitter in decline (awesome as he may be) or a unneeded infielder with no future on the team.

by dc Roach on Mar 7, 2011 8:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Agree with much of this

Except I don’t want to see Stairs on the roster. It feels like a veteran “grit” kind of move that is likely to have 2012-2013 impact. Just like I felt that we needed to give Maxwell a fair platoon trial last year, there’s got to be some younger option inside or outside of the option who we can give 100ABs to and have as a potential future option as well.

Souldrummer twitters at @souldrummer25
"Derek Norris walks." - Gameday. 'Nuff said. Souldrummer is all in for Derek Norris. Friend of Nationalsprospects.com

by souldrummer on Mar 8, 2011 10:49 AM EST up reply actions  

2010 wOBA = .336

That’s better than most of our regulars. I’d rather have a young player with upside too, but I respect this guy too much to not want him on the roster just because of his age. I don’t see any young talent he’d be blocking, so barring a trade or signing from the outside, I’d be happy to see him on the roster.

by dc Roach on Mar 8, 2011 11:23 AM EST up reply actions  

I like the Canadian!

Rob

"Sometimes you're the Louisville Slugger; Sometimes you're the ball" -- Mark Knopfler, Dire Straits' "The Bug"

by RobBobS on Mar 9, 2011 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Who should be the Utility infielder for the Nationals?

In my honest opinion I think Hairston Jr. is the best option. He provides veteran experience up the middle and can play the OF as well if I’m not mistaken. Someone who’s a bit under the radar that could provide some 1b/3b backup is Morse who played a little bit of 3B in a ST game if I’m not mistaken, and played 1B for the Nationals a couple times last year.

I like to think of Hairston Jr. as a slightly upgraded Willie Harris

by LUW on Mar 8, 2011 12:17 AM EST reply actions  

1B option

On the subject of 1B, I should point out that Matt Stairs has played over 2,000 innings at that position, albeit with Dunn-like defensive ability.

As long as all regulars are healthy, Hairston should be able to handle backup duties just fine by himself at the other three positions, I agree.

by dc Roach on Mar 8, 2011 7:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I think Morse and Hairston give the Nats a lot of short term (in game) flexibility

It’s that flexibility that makes Stairs even a possible option, given his inability to play the field at this stage of his career. But I’m not sure that the Nationals are so locked in that they can afford to have a full time PH (DH in the road interleague games) . At the end of the road I’d want to see who the Nats are keeping off the roster to make room for Stairs. I think Stairs is signed to a minor league deal, so having him on the team would require cutting someone from the 40 man roster.

As much as we make fun of Gonzalez, I can’t see keeping Cora over him at this stage of Cora’s career.

by d_c_guy on Mar 8, 2011 11:32 AM EST up reply actions  

unless Cora, being on a minor league contract, doesn’t need to be taking up room on the 40 man like Gonzo does?

by dc Roach on Mar 8, 2011 11:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Cora would have to be given a major league contract before he's put on the 25 man final roster

To play in the majors, you need a major league contract. So that’s another reason for keeping Gonzo over Cora – you wouldn’t have to drop someone from the 40 man roster to make room for him.

by d_c_guy on Mar 8, 2011 1:09 PM EST up reply actions  

What I’m wondering is if he’d be willing to hang out in the minors for a little and brought up if he’s needed. If he’s not needed, the spot can be given to someone with a bat. No need to kick anyone from teh 40 man just yet.

by dc Roach on Mar 8, 2011 4:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Gonzo's a damn good utility infielder

Wants to play every day, but what ballplayer worth a scratch doesn’t? What he mayn’t realize is that he ain’t riding the pines behind stiffs no more. This team’s on the rapid improve, with an infield that’s tough to crack.

'An exceedingly well-informed report,' said the General. 'You have given yourself the trouble to go into matters thoroughly, I see. That is one of the secrets of success in life.'

Anthony Powell

by Whupass on Mar 14, 2011 1:06 AM EDT reply actions  

He's been fine in my opinion

Replacement guys on the back end of the roster aren’t but worth but so much fighting over in my opinion. Part of the reason I feel that he (was) griping is because he doesn’t have options and he sees that he has zero upside in this organization. It’s one thing to be part time. It’s another thing to be part time and have not too much hope of getting an extended trial to prove yourself. He’s not just a utility infielder, he’s a utility infielder who doesn’t have hope of playing every day if somebody gets injured. If somebody gets injured early this season, it’s Hairston who is going to get the at bats because he can play everywhere. Last year, when Zimmerman got injured early, he got a chance to play everyday and he played well.

Hopefully, he had a plan and his agent felt there were opportunities for him if he got DFAed during the offseason and he wasn’t just mouthing off. Otherwise, I have no issues with Alberto Gonzalez and I’d rather see him make the club than Cora, who might be willing to take a stint in Syracuse. But if he doesn’t make it, I’ll be rooting for him to catch on somewhere else and I hope that he takes advantage of his next shot. He’s certainly better than guys like Anderson Hernandez was and he’s been professional during the seasons.

Souldrummer twitters at @souldrummer25
"Derek Norris walks." - Gameday. 'Nuff said. Souldrummer is all in for Derek Norris. Friend of Nationalsprospects.com

by souldrummer on Mar 14, 2011 7:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

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