FanPost

Projecting the Nats After 1/3 of the Season



Well, kids, we've hit that magic number of 54 games, which is exactly 1/3 of the 162-game season.  By arithmetic similar to that of dc_roach at the 1/4 mark -- multiply all non-percentage numbers by 3 -- we can get some fairly interesting numbers.  Obviously, some of these numbers will be more plausible than others.  I hope that I successfully amuse you all.

My source is the official MLB Nationals website at http://washington.nationals.mlb.com

First, and most important, is the Nats record.  We currently stand at 23-31, which projects to a a final record of...69-93.  Exactly the same as last year.  Well, at least we're not getting worse!

Other interesting projections:

  • Danny Espinosa will play in every game this season.  He'll start in 153 of them.
  • Ryan Zimmerman will play in 24 games this season.
  • Matt Stairs will get 9 hits, 9 runs, 3 doubles, 0 RBIs, 12 walks, and 33 strikeouts this season.
  • Brian Bixler will be intentionally walked 6 times this season.

More specific projections after...

More specific offensive numbers:

  • Jayson Werth will score 84 runs on 150 hits, with 36 doubles, 24 homers, 63 RBIs, 75 walks, 150 strikeouts, 18 stolen bases, and 6 caught stealing.  He will play in 156 games this season.
  • Danny Espinosa will score 81 runs on 117 hits, with 18 doubles, 12 triples, 30 homers, 99 RBIs, 51 walks, 138 strikeouts, 12 stolen bases, and 3 caught stealing.  He will be hit by 27 pitches.
  • Ian Desmond will score 75 runs on 129 hits, with 33 doubles, 6 triples, 9 homers, 48 RBIs, 33 walks, 159 strikeouts, 48 stolen bases, and 6 caught stealing.
  • Jerry Hairston, Jr. will score 48 runs on 108 hits, with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 6 homers, 42 RBIs, 39 walks, 63 strikeouts, 3 stolen bases, and 6 caught stealing.
  • Michael Morse will score 39 runs on 120 hits, with 18 doubles, 21 homers, 72 RBIs, 15 walks, 102 strikeouts, 3 stolen bases, and 9 caught stealing.
  • Laynce Nix will score 54 runs on 108 hits, with 24 doubles, 24 homers, 66 RBIs, 15 walks, 102 strikeouts, 6 stolen bases, and 3 caught stealing.
  • Adam LaRoche (assuming his injury cancels out his "hot late half" trend) will score 45 runs on 78 hits, with 12 doubles, 9 homers, 45 RBIs, 75 walks, 111 strikeouts, and 3 stolen bases.
  • Alex Cora will score 15 runs on 63 hits, with 9 doubles, 15 RBIs, 18 walks, 36 strikeouts, and 3 stolen bases.
  • Wilson Ramos will score 54 runs on 90 hits, with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 9 homers, 33 RBIs, 45 walks, 72 strikeouts, and 6 caught stealing.  He will ground into 18 double plays -- more than Pudge.
  • Rick Ankiel will score 39 runs on 75 hits, with 12 doubles, 3 homers, 21 RBIs, 36 walks, 63 strikeouts, 18 stolen bases, and 3 caught stealing.
  • Pudge Rodriguez will score 33 runs on 51 hits, with 12 doubles, 6 homers, 45 RBIs, 15 walks, and 51 strikeouts.  Oh, and he will ground into 15 double plays.
  • Roger Bernadina will score 27 runs on 63 hits, with 12 doubles, 3 homers, 21 RBIs, 21 walks, 57 strikeouts, and 21 stolen bases.
  • Ryan Zimmerman, in the aforementioned 24 games, will score 15 runs on 30 hits, with 3 triples, 3 homers, 12 RBIs, 21 walks, and 15 strikeouts.
  • Livan Hernandez will score 3 runs on 12 hits, with 12 RBIs, 6 strikeouts, and 18 sacrifice bunts.
  • Jason Marquis will score 6 runs on 24 hits, with 3 doubles, 9 RBIs, and 15 strikeouts.
  • Cole Kimball will have 3 runs on 3 walks and 3 strikeouts.

Starting Pitching Projections:

  • Livo will go 9-18 in 36 starts and 230 IP, allowing 111 runs (99 earned) on 249 hits, 24 homers, 69 walks, and 3 hit batters, and will strike out 132 batters.
  • Marquis will go 18-6 in 33 starts and 209 IP, allowing 105 runs (96 earned) on 237 hits, 18 homers, 51 walks, and 6 hit batters, and will strike out 114 batters.  He will have 3 complete game shutouts.
  • John Lannan will go 6-15 in 33 starts and 184 IP, allowing 93 runs (90 earned) on 198 hits, 15 homers, 75 walks, and 9 hit batters, and will strike out 111 batters.
  • Jordan Zimmermann will go 6-18 in 30 starts and 181 IP, allowing 90 runs (78 earned) on 171 hits, 9 homers, and 39 walks, and will strike out 132 batters.
  • Tom Gorzelanny will go 6-12 in 27 starts and 159 IP, allowing 78 runs (75 earned) on 135 hits, 33 homers, 60 walks, and 12 hit batters, and will strike out 144 batters.
  • Yunesky Maya will go 0-0 in 3 starts and 20 IP, allowing 12 earned runs on 18 hits and 6 walks, and will strike out 9 batters.

Relief Pitching Projections

  • Tyler Clippard will go 0-0 in 72 games and 91 IP, allowing 21 earned runs on 60 hits, 12 homers, and 33 walks, and will strike out 108 batters.  He will record 0 saves in 3 opportunities.
  • Drew Storen will go 4-2 in 72 games and 80 IP, allowing 21 runs (18 earned) on 54 hits, 6 homers, 18 walks, and 3 hit batters, and will strike out 72 batters.  He will record 27 saves in 30 opportunities.
  • Todd Coffey will go 3-0 in 60 games and 63 IP, allowing 15 runs (12 earned) on 36 hits, 3 homers, and 18 walks, and will strike out 63 batters.
  • Sean Burnett will go 0-6 in 75 games and 58 IP, allowing 36 earned runs on 57 hits, 3 homers, 15 walks, and 6 hit batters, and will strike out 30 batters.  He will record 12 saves in 24 opportunities.
  • Henry Rodriguez will go 3-3 in 33 games and 38 IP, allowing 9 earned runs on 27 hits, 27 walks, and 3 hit batters, and will strike out 51 batters.  He will record 0 saves in 3 opportunities.  He will also be issued 3 balks and throw 12 wild pitches.
  • Doug Slaten will go 0-3 in 63 games and 36 IP, allowing 12 runs (9 earned) on 51 hits, 6 homers, and 24 walks, and will strike out 24 batters.
  • Cole Kimball will go 3-0 in 24 games and 25 IP, allowing 9 earned runs on 18 hits and 24 walks, and will strike out 18 batters.  He will record 0 saves in 3 opportunities.

Fielding Projections

  • Ramos will start 96 games at catcher.  Pudge will start 66.
  • LaRoche will start 126 games at first.  Morse will start 33, and Stairs will start 3.
  • Of the 9 games Espinosa doesn't start, Cora will get 6 starts at second and Hairston will get 3.
  • Jerry Hairston will get 96 starts at third.  Zim will get 24, Cora 33, and Bixler 9.
  • Desmond will start 141 games at short.  Cora will start the remaining 21.
  • Stairs will DH 6 times.  Ramos will DH 3.
  • In the outfield, Werth will get 156 starts, Ankiel 87, Nix 81, Morse 72, Bernadina 60, Hairston 21, and Bixler 9.
  • Desmond will make 24 errors.  Hairston will make 15 at third and 3 in the outfield. Espinosa will make 12, Pudge and Werth will each make 9, Nix and Ramos will each make 6, and Cora, Gorzelanny, and Ryan Zimmerman will each make 3.
  • Pudge will pass 6 balls, allow 24 stolen bases, and catch 15 stealing.  Ramos will pass 0 balls, allow 30 stolen bases, and catch 24 stealing.
  • Jordan Zimmermann will pick off 6 baserunners.
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Federal Baseball

You must be a member of Federal Baseball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Federal Baseball. You should read them.

Join Federal Baseball

You must be a member of Federal Baseball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Federal Baseball. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker