Projecting the Nats After 1/3 of the Season

Well, kids, we've hit that magic number of 54 games, which is exactly 1/3 of the 162-game season.  By arithmetic similar to that of dc_roach at the 1/4 mark -- multiply all non-percentage numbers by 3 -- we can get some fairly interesting numbers.  Obviously, some of these numbers will be more plausible than others.  I hope that I successfully amuse you all.

My source is the official MLB Nationals website at http://washington.nationals.mlb.com

First, and most important, is the Nats record.  We currently stand at 23-31, which projects to a a final record of...69-93.  Exactly the same as last year.  Well, at least we're not getting worse!

Other interesting projections:

• Danny Espinosa will play in every game this season.  He'll start in 153 of them.
  
• Ryan Zimmerman will play in 24 games this season.
• Matt Stairs will get 9 hits, 9 runs, 3 doubles, 0 RBIs, 12 walks, and 33 strikeouts this season.
• Brian Bixler will be intentionally walked 6 times this season.

More specific projections after...

More specific offensive numbers:

• Jayson Werth will score 84 runs on 150 hits, with 36 doubles, 24 homers, 63 RBIs, 75 walks, 150 strikeouts, 18 stolen bases, and 6 caught stealing.  He will play in 156 games this season.
  
• Danny Espinosa will score 81 runs on 117 hits, with 18 doubles, 12 triples, 30 homers, 99 RBIs, 51 walks, 138 strikeouts, 12 stolen bases, and 3 caught stealing.  He will be hit by 27 pitches.
  
• Ian Desmond will score 75 runs on 129 hits, with 33 doubles, 6 triples, 9 homers, 48 RBIs, 33 walks, 159 strikeouts, 48 stolen bases, and 6 caught stealing.
• Jerry Hairston, Jr. will score 48 runs on 108 hits, with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 6 homers, 42 RBIs, 39 walks, 63 strikeouts, 3 stolen bases, and 6 caught stealing.
  
• Michael Morse will score 39 runs on 120 hits, with 18 doubles, 21 homers, 72 RBIs, 15 walks, 102 strikeouts, 3 stolen bases, and 9 caught stealing.
• Laynce Nix will score 54 runs on 108 hits, with 24 doubles, 24 homers, 66 RBIs, 15 walks, 102 strikeouts, 6 stolen bases, and 3 caught stealing.
• Adam LaRoche (assuming his injury cancels out his "hot late half" trend) will score 45 runs on 78 hits, with 12 doubles, 9 homers, 45 RBIs, 75 walks, 111 strikeouts, and 3 stolen bases.
• Alex Cora will score 15 runs on 63 hits, with 9 doubles, 15 RBIs, 18 walks, 36 strikeouts, and 3 stolen bases.
• Wilson Ramos will score 54 runs on 90 hits, with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 9 homers, 33 RBIs, 45 walks, 72 strikeouts, and 6 caught stealing.  He will ground into 18 double plays -- more than Pudge.
  
• Rick Ankiel will score 39 runs on 75 hits, with 12 doubles, 3 homers, 21 RBIs, 36 walks, 63 strikeouts, 18 stolen bases, and 3 caught stealing.
• Pudge Rodriguez will score 33 runs on 51 hits, with 12 doubles, 6 homers, 45 RBIs, 15 walks, and 51 strikeouts.  Oh, and he will ground into 15 double plays.
  
• Roger Bernadina will score 27 runs on 63 hits, with 12 doubles, 3 homers, 21 RBIs, 21 walks, 57 strikeouts, and 21 stolen bases.
• Ryan Zimmerman, in the aforementioned 24 games, will score 15 runs on 30 hits, with 3 triples, 3 homers, 12 RBIs, 21 walks, and 15 strikeouts.
  
• Livan Hernandez will score 3 runs on 12 hits, with 12 RBIs, 6 strikeouts, and 18 sacrifice bunts.
• Jason Marquis will score 6 runs on 24 hits, with 3 doubles, 9 RBIs, and 15 strikeouts.
• Cole Kimball will have 3 runs on 3 walks and 3 strikeouts.

Starting Pitching Projections:

• Livo will go 9-18 in 36 starts and 230 IP, allowing 111 runs (99 earned) on 249 hits, 24 homers, 69 walks, and 3 hit batters, and will strike out 132 batters.
• Marquis will go 18-6 in 33 starts and 209 IP, allowing 105 runs (96 earned) on 237 hits, 18 homers, 51 walks, and 6 hit batters, and will strike out 114 batters.  He will have 3 complete game shutouts.
  
• John Lannan will go 6-15 in 33 starts and 184 IP, allowing 93 runs (90 earned) on 198 hits, 15 homers, 75 walks, and 9 hit batters, and will strike out 111 batters.
• Jordan Zimmermann will go 6-18 in 30 starts and 181 IP, allowing 90 runs (78 earned) on 171 hits, 9 homers, and 39 walks, and will strike out 132 batters.
• Tom Gorzelanny will go 6-12 in 27 starts and 159 IP, allowing 78 runs (75 earned) on 135 hits, 33 homers, 60 walks, and 12 hit batters, and will strike out 144 batters.
• Yunesky Maya will go 0-0 in 3 starts and 20 IP, allowing 12 earned runs on 18 hits and 6 walks, and will strike out 9 batters.

Relief Pitching Projections

• Tyler Clippard will go 0-0 in 72 games and 91 IP, allowing 21 earned runs on 60 hits, 12 homers, and 33 walks, and will strike out 108 batters.  He will record 0 saves in 3 opportunities.
  
• Drew Storen will go 4-2 in 72 games and 80 IP, allowing 21 runs (18 earned) on 54 hits, 6 homers, 18 walks, and 3 hit batters, and will strike out 72 batters.  He will record 27 saves in 30 opportunities.
• Todd Coffey will go 3-0 in 60 games and 63 IP, allowing 15 runs (12 earned) on 36 hits, 3 homers, and 18 walks, and will strike out 63 batters.
• Sean Burnett will go 0-6 in 75 games and 58 IP, allowing 36 earned runs on 57 hits, 3 homers, 15 walks, and 6 hit batters, and will strike out 30 batters.  He will record 12 saves in 24 opportunities.
• Henry Rodriguez will go 3-3 in 33 games and 38 IP, allowing 9 earned runs on 27 hits, 27 walks, and 3 hit batters, and will strike out 51 batters.  He will record 0 saves in 3 opportunities.  He will also be issued 3 balks and throw 12 wild pitches.
  
• Doug Slaten will go 0-3 in 63 games and 36 IP, allowing 12 runs (9 earned) on 51 hits, 6 homers, and 24 walks, and will strike out 24 batters.
• Cole Kimball will go 3-0 in 24 games and 25 IP, allowing 9 earned runs on 18 hits and 24 walks, and will strike out 18 batters.  He will record 0 saves in 3 opportunities.

Fielding Projections

• Ramos will start 96 games at catcher.  Pudge will start 66.
• LaRoche will start 126 games at first.  Morse will start 33, and Stairs will start 3.
• Of the 9 games Espinosa doesn't start, Cora will get 6 starts at second and Hairston will get 3.
• Jerry Hairston will get 96 starts at third.  Zim will get 24, Cora 33, and Bixler 9.
• Desmond will start 141 games at short.  Cora will start the remaining 21.
• Stairs will DH 6 times.  Ramos will DH 3.
• In the outfield, Werth will get 156 starts, Ankiel 87, Nix 81, Morse 72, Bernadina 60, Hairston 21, and Bixler 9.
• Desmond will make 24 errors.  Hairston will make 15 at third and 3 in the outfield. Espinosa will make 12, Pudge and Werth will each make 9, Nix and Ramos will each make 6, and Cora, Gorzelanny, and Ryan Zimmerman will each make 3.
• Pudge will pass 6 balls, allow 24 stolen bases, and catch 15 stealing.  Ramos will pass 0 balls, allow 30 stolen bases, and catch 24 stealing.
• Jordan Zimmermann will pick off 6 baserunners.