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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Washington Nationals Drop Second Straight To Los Angeles Angels, 11-5.

What's it going to take for Jayson Werth to start to hit like he's a Phillie again? Can Davey Johnson help the Nats' outfielder turn things around. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

• Tonight's Late Night Top 5: 

5. Can Davey Fix Werth?: How a hitter who's hit little in the last few games managed to reach down to connect with the 1-2 slider Angels' starter Joel Pineiro dropped off the plate outside who knows...Jayson Werth got down there to get it and pushed it to right, hustling out of the box and taking second on Torii Hunter's arm. A wild pitch by Joel Pineiro allowed Werth to take third, and an RBI single to center by Ryan Zimmerman drove the beleaguered Nats' outfielder in for a 1-0 Nationals' lead in the first. Nationals' right-hander Jason Marquis gave up a one-out walk in the Angels' first, and one-out later an error on a routine grounder to Danny Espinosa extended the inning, but Marquis struck Howard Kendrick out for a scoreless bottom of the first in which he threw 24 pitches. The Washington Nationals end the first two innings at the plate with double plays, Michael Morse with a 5-4-3 after one-out singles by Ryan Zimmerman and Laynce Nix in the first and Ian Desmond with a 6-4-3 after a one-out walk by Wilson Ramos and a single by Matt Stairs in the second... 

Star-divide

4. Two-Out Issues For Marquis: Jason Marquis gives up a two-out walk to Angels' catcher Hank Conger, and a two-out single by Peter Bourjos puts two on with two out. Danny Espinosa gets down and stays down til Erick Aybar's grounder's in his glove, no error this time, and Marquis finishes his second scoreless. There's more trouble in the third for the Nationals' starter, with Bobby Abreu lining to center and Vernon Wells doubling on a sharp grounder off Ryan Zimmerman at third. Marquis walks Howard Kendrick to load the bases, but Alberto Callaspo's first-pitch swinging after a walk and he grounds into an inning-ending 4-6-3. Marquis' third scoreless gives him eleven-straight scoreless stretching back through three tonight and eight scoreless against Seattle in his last start... 

3. Streak Over: Marquis' scoreless inning-streak ends in the Angels' fourth. Mark Trumbo sends one back up the middle that Danny Espinosa gets to but pockets. Two outs later, with Trumbo on second following a sac bunt by Hank Conger and a swinging K by Peter Bourjos, Marquis gives up an RBI double by Erick Aybar, who drills a first pitch slider up and inside to right by a lunging Morse at first to Werth down the line in the right field corner. Trumbo scores from second and it's tied, 1-1 after 4.0 innings in LA...

2. Ump Or Wild?: Marquis is not happy with the strike zone, and struggling with control. Wilson Ramos is taking a beating behind the plate. The Angels gets back-to-back singles by Vernon Wells and Howard Kendrick on 1-0 sliders from Marquis, and he gets behind Alberto Callaspo and walks him to load the bases with one down in the 5th. Mark Trumbo takes an unexpected swing at a 3-0 pitch, however, and grounds into a double pla---Desmond misses it. ian Desmond's thinking of tossing it before the grounder's in his glove and he misses and lets it roll into center. Two runs score as Marquis angrily cuts the throw home. 3-1 Angels after five...

1. NIX!!!: Laynce Nix's solo HR in the sixth could have been a two-run blast if not for a missed/blown call at first on a Ryan Zimmerman grounder to Erick Aybar at short. Zim appeared to have beaten the throw, and it was close enough for Nats' Skipper Davey Johnson to come out and have his first heated discussion with an ump in over a decade. The Angels' starter, Joel Pineiro gives up a one-out single by Michael Morse and a two-out single by Wilson Ramos, and Pineiro's replacement gives up the third straight hit by the Nats. Matt Stairs stays in to face Hisanori Takahashi, and Stairs shocks all of NatsTown with a single and his first RBI in 56 plate appearances this season. 3-2 game when Stairs drives in Morse in. Takahashi walks Ian Desmond to load the bases, but he's out of the innin--- error on Mark Trumbo!! The Angels' first baseman misplays a sharp grounder by Roger Bernadina, two runs scores, 5-3 Nats after five and a half. 

0. Longest Inning Ever: After a 4-run sixth that gives the Nats a 5-3 lead, Jason Marquis throws three straight balls to Erick Aybar to start the Angels' sixth, and surrenders a solo HR on a full-count fastball to the LA SS, 5-4 Nats. Collin Balester takes over for Washington, and gives up a single by Torii Hunter. Balester drops an old school 2-2 curve on Bobby Abreu for the first out of the 6th, but the Nats' reliever gets behind Vernon Wells, and serves up a 2-0 fastball that the Angels' outfielder sends screaming out to left for a two-run blast. 6-5 Angels. Balester gets a grounder to third for what should be out no. 2, but Zimmerman throws wide of first. A wild pitch, a pick attempt that ends up in center and a one-out walk later, Collin Balester's out, and Todd Coffey gets the final two outs of the sixth, but the Nats lose the lead in a sixth inning that lasts close to an hour. 

-1. 5 Errors, 11 Runs: No score in the seventh, or the top of the eighth, but things get real ugly in the home half of the frame. Todd Coffey, in his third inning on the mound after taking over for Balester in the sixth, surrenders three straight one-out singles before he's lifted, the third one an RBI single that ends the Nats' reliever's night with the score 7-5 LA. Ryan Mattheus gives up a two-run double to Mark Trumbo, 9-5 and a two-run HR to Hank Conger, 11-5 LA, and Ian Desmond commits an error on a Peter Bourjos grounder, that's 5 E's total for the Nats on the night. The Nationals surrender 11 runs, all but one of them earned, 15 hits, (31 total in two games in LA) and commit 5 E's on the evening. One more with LA at 7:00 on Wednes...tonight. 

• Miss The Game? The DC Faithful Were Watching...

Num Name - Comments
1 Doghouse - 154
2 Whupass - 113
3 MissB - 106
4 RepConsul - 95
5 cookielover - 94
6 Brotato - 88
7 Jefft T - 75
8 G8RB8 - 72
9 hscer - 59
10 d_c_guy - 45

 

• Doghouse's Post Game WPA Graph: "Game 80: All this AND 5 errors":

20110628_nationals_angels_0_2011062904238_lbig__medium

via www.fangraphs.com

  • Bad pitching: Jason Marquis (-31.6%) gives up 4 R in 5 IP with 4 walks and 5 Ks.  Collin Balester (-44.8%) gets only one out while blowing a one-run lead.
  • Rally killing: Wilson Ramos (-24.8%) GDPs to end the inning with the bases loaded when the Nats were only down by 1 (-28.9%).  Michael Morse (-14.5%) GDPs with runners on the corners to waste an early chance to pad a one-run lead (-10.3%).
  • Heroes: Laynce Nix (+30.7%) is 4-4 with a HR. Roger Bernadina (+18.3%) has a two-run ROE to (briefly) put the Nats ahead (+26.9%). Matt Stairs (+14.9%--yes, Matt Stairs) is 2-4 with a game-tying RBI (+17.7%).

Nationals now 40-40.

Comment 34 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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11-5?????

YIKES! Glad I went to bed when I did!

by Dan Shields on Jun 29, 2011 8:43 AM EDT reply actions  

You're the third person around here to say that this morning...

It was a brutal AL style game in LA…

All those hits, all those errors. Get back to the NL…

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Jun 29, 2011 8:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Fourth

Yikes, I can’t turn my back on these guys for a minute. Not liking the Davey Johnson era so far!

I blame Matt Stairs. His single threw off the equilibrium of the whole team!

by d_c_guy on Jun 29, 2011 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'll take the fifth

If I’d of stayed up I’m sure I’d have wanted a fifth

by PerryMason on Jun 29, 2011 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Count me in as a early sleeper.

Went to bed @ 5-3 Nats…was bummed big time this morning.

by Berndaddy on Jun 29, 2011 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

#faintpraise

made me chuckle through the tears…

"Another K for Werth. Tosses the bat and the helmet. Staggering." - A. Kilgore

by cat daddy3000 on Jun 29, 2011 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'd shed a tear, but I'm too tired to cry after the last two nights...

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Jun 29, 2011 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

It would be nice...........

If Werth or Zimm would man up and get hot instead of just mailing it in………..NIGHT AFTER NIGHT

Also are we making a deal for a righthanded OF or what?………… I’m getting tired of see Hairston playing 4 times a week……………….

Also………..Ballestor is just not going to cut it………Its just starting to hit me.

by artistfork on Jun 29, 2011 9:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Balester

To paraphrase John Lennon, he’s a big teaser.
Help!

by PerryMason on Jun 29, 2011 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

maybe Hero Hairston should have got a shot against Pineiro......

Jerry Hairston 8-16, 2 doubles, 3RBIs …..500/.529/.625/1.154

"Another K for Werth. Tosses the bat and the helmet. Staggering." - A. Kilgore

by cat daddy3000 on Jun 29, 2011 9:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

colin balester is AWFUL

he’s never been able to show consistent good performance, and has had more than enough chances to do so

it’s time to maxwell him

by JordanH on Jun 29, 2011 10:59 AM EDT reply actions  

Davey's wore out

The man looks like he’s 68 going on 90. He has had a very rough couple of years – both physically and emotionally – and it shows.

Also, Davey spent time with this team in spring training – when, for example, Stares and Balester were going good – and one gets the impression that he hasn’t seen a game since.

Hope I’m wrong, but I fear that Rizzo has stepped in it.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jun 29, 2011 11:05 AM EDT reply actions  

Disagree

I like the Davey Johnson move, because Davey Johnson is one of the few managers I think can actually influence a game. I know Stairs has not looked good this year, but maybe, just maybe it’s the way he’s been used. He was an excellent pinch-hitter the last couple of years, but some of those type of guys require consistent AB’s every once and while, what better time to get him those AB’s and find out if there’s anything left in the tank than during interleague play? It’s possible that the plan is to give Stairs the start three days in a row and if he produces he stays and if he doesn’t he goes. Sure Davey Johnson is old, but he ain’t dead.

by Pig.Pen on Jun 29, 2011 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Regarding DJ, let's hope you are right, and I'm wrong. Seriously.

Regarding Stares, the evidence is in, and the solution is not more Stares. Sorry folks, he ain’t getting any better: prognosis terminal.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jun 29, 2011 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed. There is NO reason to keep Stairs on the team as a player.

If the guys like his ’tude, then find him a coaching job.

No reason at all as a player. None. Zip. Nada.

by ricksnats on Jun 29, 2011 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Based on ~55 ABs?

No, wait, you had already pronounced him terminal after 20.

I personally don’t believe so. I don’t think Adam Dunn is either. People don’t just completely fall apart that badly that quickly.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jun 29, 2011 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Re a younger guy like Dunn, I agree

But Stairs is in a different age bracket entirely, and he ain’t exactly a poster boy for Fitness Today. Crash can come pretty quickly.

by ricksnats on Jun 29, 2011 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Again, not that quickly.

He posted an OPS of .781 last year playing in the worst pitcher’s park in the league. He was 42.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jun 29, 2011 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kind of proving my point that the crash has come pretty quickly for him

Anyway, I sure hope you’re right in your faith that he’ll turn it around, because it doesn’t seem like Rizzo is ready to give up on him either….

by ricksnats on Jun 29, 2011 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't see how this proves the point

The 55 or so ABs Stairs has right now is nothing but SSS. Using them to predict his future performance while disregarding his performance even from the previous year or two is risky.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jun 29, 2011 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

He's a pinch hitter, for goodness sake

He only had 99 AB in SD last year (and 103 the year before)! It seems to me that this would make his 2009 and 2010 numbers ALSO SSS, by your logic.

As a pinch hitter, by definition you don’t get too many ABs. He’s had enough for me to make my own assessment. Understand you feel differently.

by ricksnats on Jun 29, 2011 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Few ABs, but highly leveraged ABs

and that’s the worst part. Late innings, game on the line, RISP…it’s fail after fail. Stares is hurting the team way out of proportion to his sheer number of ABs. I have been arguing this point since his 20th or so AB, and I re-argue at his 50th.

And as you say, at 43 out of shape years of age, he ain’t turning things around any time soon.

So let’s all get together again to discuss the “small sample” – and oh yeah, what he did last year – when Stares approaches 8 fer 100.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jun 29, 2011 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course they were leveraged ABs

but the successes and failures in highly leveraged ABs balance each other out just like they do in non-leveraged situations.

My main point is this: lots of people spend lots of time and effort thinking about player trends and projecting production declines due to aging. The Nationals know how old he is, and they knew how old he was last year when he put up a reasonable line (again, in high-leverage situations). I understand that he most likely over-performed last year, so while he put up a ~.5 WARP in San Diego, he was projected to have put up a 0.3 WARP (which is OK for a part-time player). This year, Baseball Prospectus projected a .219/.310/.382 slash line and a 0.2 WARP for him. He is currently posting a -0.3 WARP, which is well below expectation given his career path. Due to a few other factors indicating that he may have been victimized by some bad luck (low BABIP, for example) tells me that while he won’t set the world on fire (bench players rarely do) there’s still a reasonable chance that he’ll be able to contribute a bit towards the Nats’ success.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jun 29, 2011 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

One advantage: our opponents also believe he's still dangerous

You are not alone. Against all empirical evidence, other teams play him deep (one of his three hits dropped in that way), shift on him (see third hit last night), they pitch him cautiously, and they walk him a lot. When they finally realize that all they gotta’ do is blow three heaters by him, things’ll really drop off (Hang on – it gets worse? I can’t wait).

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jun 29, 2011 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Davey just needs to get fresh, pure water to replenish his precious bodily fluids.

I’m not sure what that last part means.

#thisguyloveskubrick

+1 rec.

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Jun 29, 2011 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Group Capt. Lionel Mandrake: Do I look all rancid and clotted? You look at me, Jack. Eh? Look, eh? And I drink a lot of water, you know. I’m what you might call a water man, Jack – that’s what I am. And I can swear to you, my boy, swear to you, that there’s nothing wrong with my bodily fluids. Not a thing, Jackie.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jun 29, 2011 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Classic Story

Guy has trouble finding the strike zone, walks a few batters gets into bad counts, players start playing on their heals and they make a few errors.

Sorry Marquis but that’s the way it goes…

Tough game, 6-5 when I went to bed.

You guys. You lollygag the ball around the infield. You lollygag your way down to first. You lollygag in and out of the dugout. You know what that makes you? Larry!

by Bsullivan on Jun 29, 2011 2:25 PM EDT reply actions  

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