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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Houston Astros 3, Washington Nationals 2: Jayson Werth's Offensive Explosion Not Enough For Nats.

• Day Game In Houston: 

5. El Caballo Taketh And Giveth: Roger "The Shark" Bernadina takes the first four pitches Astros' starter Brett Myers throws in the series finale between Houston and Washington, and all of them miss. Four-pitch walk for Bernadina and then stolen base no. 16 in 18 attempts this season by the Nats' leadoff man. Danny Espinosa's infield pops fails to advance Bernadina, but Ryan Zimmerman's groundout does. Two outs, runner on third and Michael Morse crushes a 1-0 fastbal from Myers, right to El Caballo, Carlos Lee in left. No BABIP love for Morse there...Mr. National Himself Livan Hernandez gets the first two outs of the Astros' first on four pitches, but an 0-1 slider to Hunter Pence is smoked and it takes an odd hop off the left field scoreboard, evading Berndina and giving Houston's right fielder a stand-up triple. Carlos Lee was just standing there when he got the Astros out of trouble in the top of the frame but he actively helps them to a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the inning with a two-out single to center on a 2-1 slider from Livan Hernandez...

Star-divide

4. Not the Astros: The Astros haven't won a series since June 17-19th when they took two of three on the road from the Dodgers. Houston's lost 18 of 22 games since that series win and they've gone from 27-47 to 31-64 over that stretch before splitting the first two games of this series with Washington, giving themselves a chance to break the series-losing streak. The Astros have a 2-0 lead over the Nationals after three. Clint Barmes continues to kill the Nats, and the Houston shortstop is 3 for 5 with three runs scored in the last two games after he singles to right and scores from first on an RBI double by Humberto Quintero, 2-0 Astros after two innings. 

3.6/28-7/20: Jayson Werth doubles with one down in the Nats' fourth, Werth's 17th two-bagger of the year and first double since June 28th in Anaheim. Werth's stranded two outs later when Rick Ankiel flies to left and Jesus Flores grounds out to second. The Nats are 0 for 6 with RISP through four innings against Brett Myers. Livan Hernandez goes all DIY with a one-out single in the fifth for the Nats' fifth hit of the game, but he's forced out at second on a Bernadina groundout and after Danny Espinosa K's swinging the Nats trail 2-0 with Houston headed in to hit in the fifth.

2. Livan Holds'Em Back: After giving up two runs, one each (on four hits) in each of the first two innings, in which Livan Hernandez throws 30 pitches. Hernandez throws 30 more through two scoreless, allowing only a one-out walk to Hunter Pence in the third, and a leadoff single by Chris Johnson in the fourth, but nothing else. Still 2-0 Houston in the fifth, however, when oft-mentioned Nats' trade-target Michael Bourn bunts his way on. Bourn tags and advances to second on a deep fly to center by debuting Astros' infield Jose Altuve, but Bourn's stranded two outs later when El Caballo lines out to short. 2-0 Houston after five.  

1. 105 AB's?: One on, one out in the Nats' fifth. First-pitch fastball from Myers to Werth. CRUSHED!! Jayson Werth collected his first double since June 28th in the fourth, and he collects his first HR since he hit home runs in back-to-back games against the Cardinals on June 15th and 16th. The two-run blast after an infield single by Michael Morse ties it at 2-2. 105 at bats pass between HR's for Werth, who's 2 for 3 with a double today. 2-2 game in the 6th inning. Werth has his first double since 6/28 in Anaheim, first HR since 6/16 in D.C. and first game with two extra base hits since he homered twice in the Nats' 17-5 win over Baltimore on May 20th. 

0. Lightning In Houston: Livan Hernandez is hit for in the top of the seventh, but his pinch hitter, Matt Stairs, stares at a called strike three and the Nationals go down in order in what ends up being Brett Myers' last inning of work as well. Livan throws 86 pitches, 58 for strikes, allowing seven hits and two runs, both earned in 6.0 IP in which he walks one and strikes out two. Myers finishes his day with 100 pitches, 62 of them strikes over 6.0 IP in which he gives up eight hits and two earned runs. Henry Rodriguez takes over for Livan in the seventh, throwing a quick 11-pitch 1-2-3 frame, and Astros' right-hander Enerio Del Rosario follows with an 11-pitch frame of his own. Still 2-2 after seven. 

-1. Moar Lightning?: Henry Rodriguez starts his second inning of relief work by walking Hunter Pence when the flamethrowing Nats' right-hander misses with a 99 mph full-count fastball. Pence takes second on a wild pitch and Rodriguez walks El Caballo Carlos Lee when he bounces another full-count heater. Tyler Clippard gives up a sac bunt by Brett Wallace after he replaces Rodriguez, and an intentional walk to Chris Johnson. Bases loaded, one down. Clint Barmes pops out to the infield. Clippard gets up on Humberto Quintero and throws 1-2 93 mph heater by the Astros' catcher to leave the bases loaded. All-Star. Still 2-2 after eight. 

-2. 0 for 9 w/ RISP: Tyler Clippard strikes out the first two batters he faces in the Astros' ninth, but then rookie Astros' infielder Jose Altuve slows things down with a two-out single to right, his first in the Majors. Congrats. Clippard issues his first walk of the day when he puts Hunter Pence on, but a fly to center off Carlos Lee's bat sends this one to extras. No score in the 10th, Wilton Lopez and Ryan Mattheus with scoreless frames. The Astros' right-hander gives up a long fly ball to center by Jayson Werth in the 11th. Werth collects his second double of the game, but he's stranded two outs later. A fly ball to right falls in front of Werth in the Astros' 11th, and Humberto Quintero's on with a leadoff single. A sac bunt brings Michael Bourn up with a runner on second and one out. Bourn singles to center, but Quintero stops at third with Bernadina charging. First and third. Jason Michaels singles to center. Ballgame. 3-2 final.

• Miss The Game? The DC Faithful Were Watching...

Num Name - Comments
1 dc Roach - 211
2 MissB - 87
3 Joey Fox - 76
4 RobBobS - 63
5 rachel216 - 54
6 d_c_guy - 53
7 Nationalpastime9 - 44
8 jgb2772 - 35
9 HarmonK - 34
10 cat daddy3000 - 32

 

• Doghouse's Post Game WPA Graph: COMING SOON.

Nationals now 48-50.

Comment 32 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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It's all Stares' fault

Who’s the “Peanuts” kid who goes around with the perpetual dark cloud over his head? The embodiment of negative mental energy: Matt Stares. He’s killing us. To da stake wid’ his ass.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jul 20, 2011 6:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Stares' baleful countenance, hovering in the on-deck circle

…stands for all that is wrong with the world.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jul 21, 2011 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

If it marks the point when Werth turned it around, it could be a positive

Zimm is struggling too, but if he can get it started, then the combo of Zimm, Morse, Werth and Espinosa could be powerful.

I wouldn’t worry about this series too much. While Houston is not a good team, the Nats have been showing that they are just not a good road team in general. They’ve scuffled on the road all season long, unfortunately. So this series is nothing new. It’s disappointing but it doesn’t necessarily mark a decline. Just more of the same subpar play on the road.

If the offense wakes up, then maybe they can start winning more road games over the last two months.

-------------------------------------------------
"Save it. I'm goin' for a smoothie."
The Washington Nationals, the team of the 2010s!

by Potomac Fan on Jul 20, 2011 8:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

They should get a new hitting coach too

-------------------------------------------------
"Save it. I'm goin' for a smoothie."
The Washington Nationals, the team of the 2010s!

by Potomac Fan on Jul 20, 2011 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hopefully you're right, I just have that bad feeling.

"I was a victim of a series of accidents. As are we all."
---Malachi Constant

by The Herndon Kid on Jul 20, 2011 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

"If the offense wakes up..."

and iffa frog had wings, hewuddnbumphisassahoppin. Sorry, one hates to be negative, but it galls to see these guys who CAN hit doing nothing, game after game. You’re right about the hitting coach, of course, and we’ve experienced some managerial forehead-slappers that haven’t helped either (eg, Ramos sac-bunting, Espy at lead-off, Werth at lead-off, grandma at lead-off – Stares at lead-off? Hell, why not?).

The talent is here. We all know it is, because we’ve seen what they can do when they take a meteoric spell and do it – but the problem is bad spells. Long ones.

And the rough road is no excuse. Winning teams are road-warriors. Always.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jul 20, 2011 9:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't necessarily think the talent is there

Not to have a consistently winning team — not with any coach/manager.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jul 21, 2011 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

No talent?

Ramos, Morse, Espinosa, Desmond, Zimmerman, Nix, and Werth CANNOT hit; ie, are incapable of hitting, and thus could never be winners?

I say the offensive talent most definitely is here, and we should be hitting, and winning, more consistently – with the players we have.

By it’s nature, baseball is a streaky game; but winning teams have longer hot streaks, and shorter cold streaks – and they win on the road.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers." - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Jul 21, 2011 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think there are some good players

I just don’t think that the overall talent level is good enough to expect long winning streaks. For example, let’s consider the offense vs. the Phillies lineup (if the Nats can’t compete with them offensively, they have no chance of winning in the near future considering the state of the pitching staffs):

Ruiz/Ramos: I said at the beginning of the season that I thought that Ramos might develop into someone as good as Ruiz — a pesky guy with some occasional pop. Ramos has had a better year than Ruiz this year so far, but this is because Chooch has struggled mightily. Right now they are close.

Howard/Morse: As above, Morse is having a better year than Howard, but it’s not clear that this will last — Howard can generate all sorts of power, but Morse may be peaking right now and he hasn’t really made it all the way around the senior circuit. Next year will tell the tale. Still cautiously give edge to Howard.

Utley/Espinosa: I’m not ready to grant Danny the crown as best second baseman yet, though he has been better than anyone could have expected. Of course, he still will have to contend with the second-go-round, and those 93 strikeouts indicate to me that he does have holes that can be scouted/exploited. Utley, though aging and fighting through various injuries, is arguably still having a better year. Utley, though this could change soon.

Rollins/Desmond: Rollins is still a very good hitting shortstop. Desmond is not. The defense doesn’t make up the difference. Rollins.

Polanco/Zimmerman: Zimmerman is a better player all around. Not much to discuss here. Zim.

Ibanez/(Nix/Bernie): Rauuuuulll is old, but Nix/Bernie are both fourth outfielders. Neither team is impressive at this position, frankly, but I’ll give the slight nod to the Nats.

Victorino/(Ankiel/Bernie): Shane is a great player, I have to admit. Neither Bernie nor Ankiel make that claim. Victorino, easy.

Francisco/Werth: Both are having bad years, but at least Werth has the talent to get better. Werth.

Brown/Hairston: These represent the best the respective benches have to offer. I’m afraid that Brown will be a major thorn in the Nats’ side for years to come. Hairston won’t even be here for years to come. Phils.

In general, I’d say the Phillies still have a better offense than the Nats, but they are close. It’s reflected in the runs scored to date: Phils 415, Nats 379.

As I said above though, merely being almost as good as the Phils offensively is not going to be good enough to compete.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jul 21, 2011 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'd be real cautious giving that one to Howard

I’m pretty sure his career is on a permanent downhill trend at the moment.
I do think your analysis gives the Nats a good shot at playing with the Phillies.

Aim for the head baby Jesus

by Doncosmic on Jul 21, 2011 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Offensively they may be close

Pitching-wise, the Nats have miles to go.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jul 21, 2011 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

This season

But I’m not sure the phillies will keep the entire rotation together next year, and Strasburg will be back. Those 2 things narrow the gap a good bit, plus the Philles are old.

Aim for the head baby Jesus

by Doncosmic on Jul 22, 2011 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Strasburg and Zimmermann are good,

but not nearly as good as Halladay/Lee. They may be getting old, but there’s no sign they are slowing down.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jul 22, 2011 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oswalt is a free agent and is also threatening to retire

But even assuming that he won’t be back, the Phillies still have Cole Hamels in addition to Halladay and Lee. They will almost certainly still be a favorite to win the NL East in 2012.

by d_c_guy on Jul 22, 2011 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

last six games...........

Three against their over-rated rival, three against the worst team in the game proves to me that this team is still [years away]…….Wait wait wait, wait for what Harper?…….Absolutely no excuse for loosing these 4 games.

Bad karma continues: DUMBO finally has a great game and no one else can do anything………I’m still not happy moving ESPI for a game then what, is’nt he now 0-8 since…………..If you’re going to mess with ESPI then move him to SS. this team is now officially not making a play off run…………..

Johnson now what 10-14?……Half the people on this web site could coach the team to 10-14……ROB 11-13 LOL……………..

by artistfork on Jul 21, 2011 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Werth's HR actually worried me

Not because of anything Werth did of course, but because Carpenter sleepwalked through the call. you would think you’d get a little more emotion from the pbp guy out of a regular player’s first HR in 5 weeks.

Jayson Werth Triple Slash Watch: .211/.318/.351

Morspinosa HR Watch: Danny 17, Michael 17
(Figures accurate through 8:54 PM EDT 19 July)

by hscer on Jul 20, 2011 9:20 PM EDT reply actions  

didn't want to interupt the story he was telling for a mere run-scoring play...

"And, finally, enough of this stockpiling prospects stuff. The object of this game isn’t to get a nice review in Baseball America, or climb the rankings in Baseball Prospectus." - Mark, centerfieldgate.com

by cat daddy3000 on Jul 20, 2011 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Carpenter is

terrible.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jul 21, 2011 12:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes he is

I loved him calling a 92 MPH pitch the other day a change-up. Unless Strasburg is pitching, that’s no change-up. I do like F.P. so far though.

This is a game to be savored, not gulped. There's time to discuss everything between pitches or between innings. ~Bill Veeck

by timnanna on Jul 21, 2011 7:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

If Werth is better then

I declare that game a success!

Also, why didn’t we plunk anybody? Riggs would have. :)

by UsualLine on Jul 21, 2011 9:08 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

A couple of thoughts after sleeping on it (and listening to the extra innings while sitting on the Beltway)

1) for all the “bad Livo” comments (mine included), he settled down for a good game: 6.0IP , 7H, 2ER, 2R, 1BB, 3K, 86P. I’d take that from him anytime.
2) RISP was horrid.
3) the worst bullpen in the majors threw 4 innings of 1-hit ball.
4) much as I hate to admit it, Flores is not and may never be back to his pre-injury self.
5) Coffey may be sipping from Burnett’s cup of pitching hemlock; hopefully it’s a short hiccup.
6) Fingers crossed that Werth’s day was not an aberration, but a sign he’s working out of his first-half funk.

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011 10:39 AM EDT reply actions  

I have hopes for Werth.

It wasn’t just yesterday. He’d had several very good ABs since the break, but some bad luck. When the approach he settles on begins to work, he’ll perform well simply out of improved confidence.

I think.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jul 21, 2011 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

there’s been a lot fewer of the weak grounders/looking lost Ks, and more liners. Let’s ask Witch Doghouse for some charms for the trend to continue!

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

heh...

"Let’s ask Witch Doghouse for some charms for the trend to continue!" by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011

by cat daddy3000 on Jul 21, 2011 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Coffey's been sipping hemlock for several weeks now

So I think “short hiccup” isn’t really an option. I think he’s waiting until after the trade deadline to return to form, because he doesn’t want to risk leaving this up & coming team! :-)

by d_c_guy on Jul 21, 2011 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

true; I hadn't seen the post elsewhere listing just how bad he's been ovr the past month or so

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Flores is finished...........

Next up for Lincoln/Mercury duty…………

Chieng Ming Wang……….

by artistfork on Jul 21, 2011 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's really unknown territory regarding Flores' injury and recovery...

He would still be building strength or discovering he’s lost it in AAA right now if it wasn’t for Pudge. But I don’t think he’s finished.

"Let’s ask Witch Doghouse for some charms for the trend to continue!" by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011

by cat daddy3000 on Jul 21, 2011 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

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