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Potential Trade Deadline Moves

Longtime reader, first time poster here at Federal Baseball.  I'm not using this post to try and push fantasy moves, but rather try and make real analysis on what this team could do this next week or so.

Everyday Players

1.  P Jason Marquis - The Nats plan on building their pitching staff around Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmerman, and Brad Peacock.  Zimmerman is arguably their best pitcher right now, Peacock should make his MLB debut later this year, and we have seen what Strasburg is able to do.  John Lannan and Livan Hernandez are proven veterans who eat innings and keep the team in games.  Marquis, who was terrible this year, has pitched very well this year.  He's only on a two year deal so he's probably walking anyways given what the Nats have coming up and back next year.  He's 8-4 and an ERA under 4.  A contending team looking for a back end starter to help bulk up their rotation would be interested.

Potential Teams:  Detroit Tigers, St. Louis Cardinals, New York Yankees.  Detroit has Justin Verlander, but needs more help behind him.  The Cardinals are on the brink right now if they are going to go all in at a run for the division or not.  The Yankees are in the thick of it in the AL and are actively looking for a starter.  They want Jimenez from Colorado, but its might be too much and Marquis could come much cheaper.

2. C Ivan Rodriguez - Something has to give at catcher.  With Wilson Ramos and Pudge in the bigs and Jesus Flores and Derek Norris in the minors, something has to give.  I personally don't want to see Pudge leave because I think the team should hire him as their manager next year, but that's just me.  Rodriguez still has some pop in his bat, and even for as long as he's played, he is a top-flight defensive catcher who can handle a staff from veterans to rookie phenoms.  He brings leadership and a championship experience.

Potential Teams:  San Fransisco Giants, Tampa Bay Rays, Pittsburgh Pirates.  Obviously, the loss of Buster Posey hurt the Giants, but they have stayed in first place.  Pudge would bring some old school meddle to this team, and could fit right in with their outstanding pitchers.  The Rays, much like the Cardinals, are going to have to decide whether they are in or out this year.  Pittsburgh is having a dream season and they have a very young team, and a veteran like Rodriguez could help guide this team as it makes its first division title run in a generation. 

3.  OF Rick Ankiel - The outfield is something that has been a crapshoot for the Nats.  Jayson Werth has been the only player to firmly set their feet in the outfield.  Ankiel, Roger Bernadina, Laynce Nix, and even Brian Bixler have spent time in the outfield.  Ankiel has shown very good defensive range, a strong arm, and a decent bat.  A contender looking for defensive help might take a look at Ankiel to add veteran depth.

Potential Teams:  Cleveland Indians, St. Louis Cardinals, Los Angeles Angels.  The Indians are dealing with injuries to Shin Soo Choo and Travis Hafner, adding Ankiel again brings depth to the outfield and some defensive skills.  The Redbirds haven't been happy with Colby Rasmus and lack depth in the outfield.  The Angels are going with a rookie in center field and a little depth could help.

4.  Laynce Nix - I think there are some American League teams that would be very interested in adding Nix's suddenly active bat this year.  He's got a good stat line for a bench player and a team close and needing some pop might take a run at Nix.

Potential Teams:  New York Yankees, San Fransisco Giants, Tampa Bay Rays.  The Yankees haven't received much from the DH position this year, with Jorge Posada's best days clearly behind him.  The Giants are seemingly always chronically short on power and they are thin in the outfield so Nix could be a nice fit there.  The Rays are similar too the Giants, but are again going to have to decide where they go this year.

Possible other names.

Ian Desmond:  With the drafting of Anthony Rendon, Desmond - who's bat has never caught up to the big leagues - could be expendable.

Roger Bernadina:  Speed kills, and with Bryce Harper looming the Shark might be expendable.

Livan Hernandez:  The guy is a big game pitcher who has been in the World Series twice (Marlins and Giants), knows every trick in the book, and pitched well enough this year where - like Marquis - he could have played himself onto the back end of a contender's staff. 

The Nationals are in a nice position.  They have core nucleus of strong talent:  R. Zimmerman, Espinosa, Morse, Storen, Clippard, and Ramos.  They have studs in the farm system.  They played well enough this year that these veterans have some real value and the Nats can start to build for next year. 

Thoughts?

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Todd Coffey

Reliever Todd Coffey is a free agent at the end of the season. Lots of teams need relievers. The Rangers, Diamondbacks, Reds have all been reported to have interest in him. He is not great, but has an affordable salary. The Nats won’t get much for him, but he still is a guy that is likely to be traded.

by HG_VA on Jul 20, 2011 10:49 PM EDT reply actions  

As I noted in the game thread, Coffey has been brutal for nearly two months

Splits BAA/OBP/SLG/ERA

May: .154/.170/.269/0.61, 0.614 WHIP (13 games)
June: .333/.400/.476/6.30, 2.000 WHIP (13 games)
July: .357/.438/.429/6.75, 2.100 WHIP (7 games – NOT COUNTING TODAY!).

That’s two months of severe sippage, right there. I wouldn’t count on getting anything for Baywatch.

by d_c_guy on Jul 20, 2011 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Welcome aboard! Congrats on your first post :-)

I would take the Yankees out of the Marquis sweepstakes, though. The Yankees just got Phil Hughes back, and that firms up their rotation. Sabathia has been a beast, Colon and Garcia have been remarkably effective, and even Burnett (who has been his usual Good AJ/Bad AJ self) has a higher ERA+ than Marquis. Well, even their de facto #6 starter (Ivan Nova) has a higher ERA+ (99) than Marquis (97).

I also sincerely doubt the Yankees would go after Laynce Nix as DH, because Posada has actually been effective, if not spectacular against RHP this season (.251/.335/.445).

by d_c_guy on Jul 20, 2011 11:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Good stuff, mason_beer.

A lot of food for thought in there. I can see who would want those players, as you lay out, but I wonder what quality of prospect any of them would bring?

"I don't believe in luck, but it was just one of those things where it wasn't really skill, either." --Jerry, jr.

by Doghouse on Jul 20, 2011 11:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Good stuff, thanks

However, I must point out, that if the Yankees successfully steal Jimenez from Colorado, the peasants will break out the pitchforks and torches.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Jul 21, 2011 12:06 AM EDT reply actions  

Most Yankee fans I know are fairly cool to Jimenez

They don’t want to give up Montero to get him, and certainly not more than one of the top three prospects (Montero/Banuelos/Betances). His record is far from consistent, and promising young pitchers that are successful in other markets have a pretty lousy track record in the Bronx (see: Whitson, Ed; Weaver, Jeff; Vazquez, Javier).

by d_c_guy on Jul 21, 2011 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Fine, bring up Whitson

The Yankees may actually be more of a market for Desmond, if the Nats decide he’s expendable (I disagree — as people forget, Rendon’s not yet signed, and Lombardozzi has similar MiL numbers as Desmond with inferior defense).

I’d quibble on a couple of these (Pudge managing w/o any experience?), but not enough to be worth commenting on what’s generally a nice and well-thought-out post.

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Can't see the Yankees being in the market for Desmond, either

They think they have Jeter’s heir apparent in Eduardo Nunez, and Jeter is still under contract for two more years.

by d_c_guy on Jul 21, 2011 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

I was thinking more short-term

with Rodriguez out, and their infield depth thin (there was a SB-BN post on this in the last few days), Desmond could be an attractive alternative.

I’m not advocating trading Desmond; just throwing it out there in the spirit of mason_beer’s post.

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Interestingly, they may be more likely to go for Hairston

The price would be much cheaper, and Hairston helped the Yankees win a ring in 2009.

by d_c_guy on Jul 21, 2011 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

And, he's more versatile

having experience at 5 different positions. Desmond, meanwhile, has a couple of games in RF in 2009, and has been reluctant to consider 2B.

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Jul 21, 2011 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

If I were the Yanks I would love to leverage Montero for a pitcher like Jimenez

Montero is a bat with no position, and DH will have to be held for A-Roids decaying corpse.

"I was a victim of a series of accidents. As are we all."
---Malachi Constant

by The Herndon Kid on Jul 21, 2011 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Other Teams looking for Pitchers

In addition to Detroit Tigers, St. Louis Cardinals, New York Yankees, I read that
Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Indians, Texas Rangers, Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds, and Arizona Diamondbacks are also in the market for starters.

by HG_VA on Jul 21, 2011 8:35 PM EDT reply actions  

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