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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Washington Nationals Drop 2-1 Decision To Cincinnati Reds. Ross Detwiler's Best Start, Meet Johnny Cueto.

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 17:  Ross Detwiler #48 of the Washington Nationals pitches against the Cincinnati Reds at Nationals Park on August 17, 2011 in Washington, DC.  (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)

• Nation's Capital Top 5: 

5. They Call Him Det: The Washington Nationals' '07 1st Round pick Ross Detwiler is dealing early, striking out the first two batters he faces tonight in Nats Park before surrendering a solo HR to Joey Votto, who crushes a 95 mph 3-1 fastball and sends it sailing out to left-center into the back of the visitor's bullpen. 1-0 Reds after one. Cincinnati starter Johnny Cueto strikes out the side on 16 pitches in the Nats' first, and the Nationals' lefty is back on the mound after a (too) brief break. Detwiler gives up a leadoff single to Miguel Cairo, but a strike'em-out-throw-em-out on a 2-2 sinker to Drew Stubbs gets him two outs on one pitch and a single later he records his fourth K in two innings pitched and he's at 31 pitches total, still down by one, 1-0...

Star-divide

4. The Arm, Disrespected: Michael Morse takes second on a throwing error by Miguel Cairo. Morse hits a sharp grounder to third that the official scorer rules would have been a single, apparently, because it's ruled a hit and an error, so the Nats have a runner on second to start the second. Three outs later, the Nationals strand Morse at third, and Cueto's up to 32 pitches after two scoreless frames. Brandon Phillips is on with a one-out single in the third, and he takes third when Reds' outfielder Dave Sappelt lines to left-center off Ross Detwiler. Rick Ankiel makes a strong throw in to second and has Sappelt dead to rights, but the ump's on the first base side of the bag and he misses the tag Danny Espinosa places on the runner's cleat before it reaches the base. Second and third with one out, and a walk to Joey Votto loads the bases before Ross Detwiler strikes out Jay Bruce and pops up Miguel Cairo to leave'em loaded. Still 1-0 Reds after two and a half. 

3. Cueto: "You are what you do. A man is defined by his actions, not his memory.": Johnny Cueto appeared to have tweaked something earlier in the game while at bat, and he's struggling, but still up 1-0 in the fourth when Rick Ankiel and Ryan Zimmerman hit back-to-back singles to start the frame. The Reds' right-hander looks like he's laboring out on the mound, but he gets a broken-bat swinging bunt toward third and a broken bat pop so short from Michael Morse and Jayson Werth, respectively, and a third broken bat, this time Danny Espinosa's, sends a liner out to second for out no. 3. Ankiel and Zim are stranded, still 1-0 Reds after four. 

2. Detwiler's Best: After recording a career-high in K's with his seventh in a scoreless fourth, Ross Detwiler gives up a two-out walk but nothing else in a thirteen-pitch fifth. A leadoff single in the sixth amounts to nothing for the Reds as the Nats' lefty retires the next three batters in order to complete six innings of work in which he's thrown 103 pitches tying a career high. 6.0 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 7 K's, 1 HR, 5/4 GO/FO. Detwiler puts runners on in each inning after surrendering the two-out HR in the first, but allows just the one run, dials his fastball up to 95-96 at times, and leaves the game with the Nats within reach of the win in what might be the best start he's made in the majors. 

1. Nats Get Cueto'd: Todd Coffey takes over for Detwiler in the seventh and retires the Reds in order on 11 pitches. Johnny Cueto, who K'd looking on three pitches in the top of the frame, (and was still moving awkwardly) is back on the mound with 77 pitches on his arm when he starts the seventh. 11 pitches later the Cincinnati right-hander has seven scoreless and he's allowed just four singles through 7.0 IP in which he's struck out four and induced ten groundouts.

0. Costly Run In Hindsight: Nats' lefty Sean Burnett gives up back-to-back singles in the Reds' eighth and with runners on first and third makes a nice play on a grounder by Miguel Cairo, catching the lead runner, Joey Votto, off third and getting the first out without a run scoring. A one-out walk loads the bases, however, and ends Burnett's night. Ryan Mattheus gets a grounder up the middle, but Danny Espinosa can't beat the runner to second, settling for the out at first, and a run scored, 2-0 Reds. Johnny Cueto comes back for the eighth, and gives up a broken bat single through short by Wilson Ramos. Laynce Nix K's swinging through a high 1-2 95 mph heater. Ian Desmond pops out foul of first. Two down. Rick Ankiel gets hold of one but flies out to center to end the eighth.

-1. What Was It The Kids Called Him?: Henry Rodriguez retires the Reds in order in the top of the ninth and one pitch into the bottom of the frame, Johnny Cueto's shutout and night are over. Ryan Zimmer--THE KIDS CALL HIM ZIM!! THE KIDS CALL HIM ZIM!!! HR to center on the first pitch of the ninth and it's 2-1 Reds with no one out. Franciso Cordero replaces Cueto with Michael Morse up next. Morse gets jammed and grounds out to third, one down. Jayson Werth works the count full and walks. Danny Espinosa drives a 1-0 fastball to right for a single. Werth takes second. Former Red Jonny Gomes grounds to short and the runners were moving before contact, so the Reds' shortstop Paul Janish is distracted and boots it. Bases loaded, one down. Wilson Ramos...swings at the first pitch and grounds into a double play. Ballgame. Reds win, 2-1 final. 

• Miss The Game? The D.C. Faithful Were Watching...

Num Name - Comments
1 dc Roach - 189
2 MissB - 76
3 jeff550 - 71
4 Whupass - 48
5 cat daddy3000 - 44
6 Brotato - 36
7 Jeff T - 33
8 jbg2772 - 28
9 RepConsul - 26
10 PerryMason - 23

 

• Doghouse's Post Game WPA Graph: COMING SOON.

Nationals now 58-63.

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mattpurke47:
@NationalsPR hey guys thanks for getting me out to all these awesome #nats fans look forward to working with you guys in the future

by dc Roach on Aug 17, 2011 11:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Trying to wiggle my way out of work to make it down for his presser tomorrow...

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Aug 17, 2011 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can I see some stats on Jayson Werth

I guarantee he leads the league in

1. Failing to get a runner from second to third when their are no outs, just hit the ball to the right side please.

2. Failing to get a runner home when the runner is at 3rd with less than two outs, get the ball out of the infield please.

Why not us? Why not now?

by Expos4 on Aug 17, 2011 11:08 PM EDT reply actions  

if you go to Baseball-Reference.com you could figure these things oot on your own.

Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com

"Nobody’s got a monopoly on good writing, or the facts. If you can come up with one or the other or (ideally) both, you’re in the club." --Rob Neyer, Feb. 2, 2011

by Dave at District Sports Page on Aug 17, 2011 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think either of these sorts are available via the play finder

Not that I think this really needs investigation, even if it’s true.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Aug 18, 2011 1:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

don't need play finder.

find raw stats here.

1) Werth has had 23 plate appearances with runner on 2nd and no outs. he advanced the runner eight times, for a success rate of 35%. his lifetime average is 47% in those situations. league average is 56%. so you can’t tell if he leads the league, but we can tell he is significantly below league average this season in this situation.

2) In plate appearances with runner on third and less than two outs, Werth is 15-for-37, 41% success. lifetime average is 48%, league average is 51%.

Interesting his LIFETIME averages in these situations are below Major League average.

Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com

"Nobody’s got a monopoly on good writing, or the facts. If you can come up with one or the other or (ideally) both, you’re in the club." --Rob Neyer, Feb. 2, 2011

by Dave at District Sports Page on Aug 18, 2011 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was only talking about how he ranks among NL players

Thing about these sorts of stats, they are wildly unstable, with very large margins of error. So, when I say I don’t think it needs investigation, I only mean that it’s almost certainly not a trait — if he happens to be at the bottom right now (I doubt it) this doesn’t mean we can expect him to be there in the future.

As an example, 15-37, 41%, has a margin or error of 32% !!. The most you can say about this is that his true average is likely somewhere between 9% and 73%. That’s not much of a statistic.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Aug 18, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

the muttering from Phillies fans this winter

was that he was not a good RISP hitter. However, RobBobS is right that this is extremely small sample size.

“Lies, damn lies, and statistics” – Mark Twain and others
"Everyone knows that you can use statistics to prove anything. 14% of all people know that." – Homer Simpson

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Aug 18, 2011 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

those poor umps

 I know its not as serious as muscular dystrophy or wounded warriors but blue needs help. The nats should really start a charity so that officiating crews can get the lasik they so greatly need

by TJL on Aug 17, 2011 11:10 PM EDT reply actions  

agree

i dont know if it would have affected the outcome of the game (cueto was nails) but there were several obvious blown calls and they all seemed to go against us tonight

bring back darvin ham

by jeffbenson on Aug 18, 2011 12:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

An anti-climatic finish for a very exciting 9th inning.

The momentum swung after Zims HR, and with Werth at 3b and the bases loaded with less then 2 outs, it all ends in less than a second. Uhhh, although Reds fans might view it differently. Hang in there Ramos, and no more double plays…

Skins rule

by Horcasitas4 on Aug 18, 2011 12:25 AM EDT reply actions  

I would like to point out that once again Burnett costs us a close game.

I really hope whatever is going on there gets worked out before next year because he has been wretched this year.

"I was a victim of a series of accidents. As are we all."
---Malachi Constant

by The Herndon Kid on Aug 18, 2011 6:30 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Wretched.

Rob

-- In baseball we trust.

by RobBobS on Aug 18, 2011 6:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Moar jaunty, less wretched

"I was a victim of a series of accidents. As are we all."
---Malachi Constant

by The Herndon Kid on Aug 18, 2011 7:12 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

LET SEVERINO PITCH

That is all

LET SEVERINO PITCH!

by jeff550 on Aug 18, 2011 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

FREE ATAHUALPA'S ARM!!!

Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."

by Patrick Reddington on Aug 18, 2011 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

ATAHUALPA AZTEC GOD OF ARM DEMANDS RELEASE !!!! OR ELSE

I will flood you ballpark with salsa? Or is that turn your bases into corn chips? I WILL DO SOMETHING !

by Berndaddy on Aug 18, 2011 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Or WORSE..He'll send Burnett and Matheus out to crush all hopes and dreams!

GAH, gah, gah…the bloom is definitely off the rose on Matheus for me. He had a couple of decent outings…and since then…definitely NOT a Firework. Can Burnett even be a LOOGY at this point?

"player development" should not be gladiator games. by cat daddy3000 on Aug 6, 2011

by MissB on Aug 18, 2011 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Help! We're trapped in italics.

Worse yet, we’re out of beer. How the hell do we get out of this?

"On my tombstone just write, 'The sorest loser that ever lived.'" - Earl Weaver

by Whupass on Aug 18, 2011 5:19 PM EDT reply actions  

First comes the beer, then, invariably, come the italics

In fact, pretty much everything seems slanted if the beer has run out (ground, especially!)

by ricksnats on Aug 19, 2011 2:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

I fear that was Homer

or, more accurately, me. mea culpa.

Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, but isn't a cucumber that small called a gherkin?"

by jbg2772 on Aug 18, 2011 5:36 PM EDT reply actions  

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