Tonight's post-game: Another memorable Nats win.
- Memorable debut: Tommy "The Bomber" Milone (-12.0% pitching, +7.0% hitting) throws three scoreless, but gives up 4 ER in the 4th and only gets one out in the 5th. However, he jacks a three-run bomb into the home bullpen in the 2nd to pad the early lead (+10.6%).
- Support the rookie: Ian Desmond (+6.5%) hits a solo shot for the early lead (+10.3%), while Roger Bernadina (+4.5%) hits one to pad the mid-game lead (+11.4%).
- Was the bullpen mad about being bombed? Tom Gorzelanny (-14.5%) gives up two runs to tie it, while Tyler Clippard (-15.0%) lets the go-behind run score in the 7th.
- Rally time: Jesus Flores (+30.2%) singles to start the bottom of the 9th (+11.3%), Brian Bixler (his PR) takes 2nd on a WP (+11.0%), and Ryan Zimmerman (+43.4%) hits a bases-loaded bloop that drops in for two runs and the walkoff (+47.0%).
Bonus WE fun after the jump! Is the "common wisdom" right?
Here are the last few plays of the game with the associated WE:
|Pitcher||Player||Outs||Base||Score||Inning - Bottom 9||LI||WE|
|B Parnell||R Zimmerman||1||123||8-7||Ryan Zimmerman singled to second (Fliner (Fly)). Brian Bixler scored. Jonny Gomes scored. Roger Bernadina advanced to 2B.||9.02||100.0 %|
|B Parnell||R Bernadina||1||_23||6-7||Roger Bernadina was intentionally walked.||5.92||53.0 %|
|B Parnell||I Desmond||0||12_||6-7||Ian Desmond sacrificed to pitcher (Bunt Grounder). Brian Bixler advanced to 3B. Jonny Gomes advanced to 2B.||6.18||53.4 %|
|B Parnell||J Gomes||0||_2_||6-7||Jonny Gomes walked.||4.37||50.9 %|
|B Parnell||B Bixler||0||1__||6-7||Brian Bixler advanced on a wild pitch to 2B.||5.40||43.4 %|
|B Parnell||J Flores||0||___||6-7||Jesus Flores singled to left (Fliner (Liner)).||3.39||32.4 %|
You know it drives me crazy when position players bunt, but in this case, Desmond's sac bunt increase the team's Win Expectancy (WE) from 50.9% to 53.4%, for +2.5% WPA. Moving a runner to 3rd with one out (while also removing the chance for a GDP) more than made up for giving away an out in this case. Walking Bernadina, although it did bring up Zim, actually slightly decreased the WE from 53.4% to 53.0%. Creating the chance for a GDP made up for putting an extra man on base.