Will The Washington Nationals Bring Todd Coffey Back To The Nation's Capital?
In a recent interview with MLB Network Radio host Mike Ferrin, D.C. GM Mike Rizzo said he thought that in addition to finding that elusive center fielder/leadoff bat, the one other thing the Nationals' brass would still like to do this winter was add a veteran arm to the bullpen. "We'd like to supplement our bullpen a little bit. Get a little veteran presence in there," Rizzo said, though he didn't elaborate on what sort of bullpen arm the Nats were after. Todd Coffey, 31, could fill that role again as he did in D.C. in 2011. ESPN.com's Buster Olney, in the "Moves deals and decisions" section of his daily post this morning, reported that the Nats are still searching. "The Washington Nationals continue to look for another relief pitcher," Mr. Olney wrote, "whether it be Todd Coffey or someone who could do for them what Coffey did last year."
What did Coffey do last year? In his first season in the nation's capital after three-plus years with the Cincinnati Reds who drafted him and two-plus with the Milwaukee Brewers who claimed the 6'4'', 240lb right-hander off waivers in 2008, was to post a 3.62 ERA, 3.41 FIP, 6.94 K/9 and 3.02 BB/9 in 69 games and 59.2 IP as part of the Nationals' bullpen. The sprinting right-hander, in an article entitled, "Coffey unsure if he'll return to Nationals", told MLB.com writer Bill Ladson during the Winter Meetings in early December, "... he is not sure where he will pitch next year."
"'In my heart of hearts, if it's the right contract,'" Coffey told the MLB.com Nats beat writer, "'I would look to definitely come back to the Nationals.'"
Even without Coffey, (Would the Nats be better off with a veteran left-hander?) ESPN.com's Mr. Olney had the Nationals ranked eighth overall in the majors on a list of the Top 10 Bullpens in baseball recently, putting them behind only the Braves, Yankees, Giants, Indians, D-Backs and Brewers. The D.C. bullpen had a combined 3.20 team ERA, which the ESPN writer points out was the 5th best in the majors, they had 27-year-old right-hander Tyler Clippard, "... who had an 0.84 WHIP and held opponents to a .535 OPS," and, Mr. Olney wrote, had the, "... lowest BABIP among relievers with at least 60 innings last season." The Nats had closer Drew Storen too, who saved 43 games in 2011, the sixth-highest save total in the majors in 2011, and together Clippard and Storen give the Nationals, "... good anchors for what should be a good bullpen," in his opinion.
Do the Nationals have enough bullpen arms to choose from in Storen, Clippard, recently-acquired right-hander Ryan Perry (whose remaining option made him a better fit than Collin Balester), Ryan Mattheus, Yunesky Maya, Craig Stammen and left-handers Sean Burnett, Atahualpa Severino and Tom Gorzelanny? Will Rafael Martin get a look in 2012? Will Cole Kimball return and contribute? Rizzo said they could use a veteran presence and (if Mr. Olney's correct) they're still searching for a bullpen arm, so apparently the Nationals are still looking for the right fit. Is Todd Coffey it?
MLB.com's Bill Ladson (@washingnats) wrote on Twitter recently, that the Nats weren't the only team Coffey's pitched for that's expressed interest. "The Brewers still have interest in RHP Todd Coffey," Mr. Ladson wrote, "There is a 50-50 chance he goes back to the #Nats." Which bullpen will Coffey be working out of next season? According to Coffey (who's also on Twitter @ToddCoffey60) wherever he pitches the sprinting will continue.
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I wouldn't mind a Baywatch encore
although it probably means a couple of the youngsters go back to Syracuse.
Storen — closer
Clippard — 8th inning
Rodriguez — 7th inning/matchups
Burnett (L) — 7th inning/matchups
Gorzelanny/Detwiler/Lannan (LH) — long relief/swing
Stammen® — long relief/swing
Coffey — 6th/7th inning/matchups
if you go with an 8-man pen (4-man bench), you add Mattheus or Severino (L).
While I’d prefer a longer bench (assuming Rizzo signs one), I could easily live with either. This assumes that either the Nats sign Gorzo and option Lannan, or don’t and the loser of the 5th starting spot takes LH long relief/swing.
Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, ... wait, ... no, ... never mind"
this makes Severino said...
I kid, I kid
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Jan 10, 2012 6:08 PM EST up reply actions
Madson and Reds talks getting serious according to reports...
Vivian Jaffe: "Have you ever transcended space and time?"
Albert Markovski: "Yes. No. Uh, time, not space... No, I don't know what you're talking about."
by Patrick Reddington on Jan 10, 2012 6:24 PM EST reply actions
Probably playing Madson and Coco against each other,
and using the Sean Marshall acquisition as leverage against both of them.
Aim for the head baby Jesus
not a bad option
if you manage his appearances and figure on the inevitable DL stay…
Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, ... wait, ... no, ... never mind"
Doesn't seem necessary
The Nats are already trying to figure out how to manage their over-crowded bullpen, aren’t they?
Rob
--"Well my days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle." -- Mal Reynolds
Coffey is so telegenic!
Nats should consider bringing him back on that basis alone. If he can contribute more or less what he did in ’11, that would be just dandy too.
I loves me some Todd Coffey
cam luvz him too. He’s ours.
"I can go to my left or right, I am amphibious." - Charles Shackelford
Coffey got lucky a lot last year
BABIP was .279, his lowest ever in MLB. That’s bound to go up this year (Bill James predicts .314).
I’m not a stat head, but I know what I saw last year, and that was a lot of well-hit balls off of Coffey that fortunately found mitts.
If we have him next year, be prepared for some regression. I won’t mind if he’s a Nat, but also won’t mind if he’s not.
If you don't eat your meat, you can't have any pudding! How can you have any pudding if you don't eat your meat?!
.279 is not particularly "lucky"
For a pitcher who allows 177 balls in play, the margin of error for BABIP is about 70 points either way. Being 25 points from the “magical .300” is not a big deal. And, by the way, it only represents an extra 3 or 4 hits all season.
Rob
--"Well my days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle." -- Mal Reynolds
It is rather lower than his career BaBIP of .321
And that’s not exactly a SSS
Again, it's not that big a deal
Three or four hits a season. The more important issue for him has been his home runs allowed, but the last few seasons he’s managed to hold the jacks way down (about a third of the rate he was giving them up earlier in his career), this despite the fact that he’s giving up more fly balls (a bit of an oddity, really).
Rob
--"Well my days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle." -- Mal Reynolds
.279 is lucky when it could just as easily have been .379, with the number of hard-hit
fly balls hit off of him.
If you don't eat your meat, you can't have any pudding! How can you have any pudding if you don't eat your meat?!
I'm sure that's how you remember things happening
but there’s really not much in the way of quantifiable evidence that supports the notion. His fly ball percentage was up, but his home run percentage was way down, and his line drive percentage was less than 20%, only marginally higher than it’s been through his career.
Rob
--"Well my days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle." -- Mal Reynolds
question:
how are “line drives” determined in the stat you provide? I specifically recall a some very well hit balls to the deep outfield. If it goes almost to the track, I’m thinking it’s probably not going to be called a “line drive,” even when it’s been crushed.
If you don't eat your meat, you can't have any pudding! How can you have any pudding if you don't eat your meat?!
I'm not sure.
I believe it’s based on the trajectory and speed, but I don’t know whether there’s a clear and/or scientific definition. I did look at ESPN’s Home Run Tracker, and note that they say three of the four homers he gave up were hit just hard enough, and one was a “no-doubter”. This is only marginally relevant evidence that he wasn’t really giving up rockets — but I’m not saying one way or another ‘cause I just don’t know.
Rob
--"Well my days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle." -- Mal Reynolds
Forgot the link
In case anyone’s interested.
Rob
--"Well my days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle." -- Mal Reynolds
Coffey is practically a ROOGY in my book
He is really tough on right handed batters, but not very good against lefties. Nationals fans think that he’s better than he is because he was very successful early last year. Up to June 1, he was lights-out. Opponents hit under .200 on him (largely driven by BaBIP; .222 in April and just .200 in May). Zimmermann, Coffey and Nix largely held the Nationals up in the early going.
But he landed hard in May and June, and we up and down the rest of year. overall he was very mediocre, even though he was arguably lucky (as ricksnats points out, his BaBIP was .279; his career BaBIP is .321). But he is fairly effective against RH batters (.265/.314/.411 for his career, and a remarkable .193/.250/.290 last year). LH batters tattoo him (.317/.388/.470 career, .338/.404/.463 last year). Although I would expect both of those splits to regress towards his career averages (a bit worse against RH batters, a bit better against LH), I’d consider signing him if you think the team needs a RH specialist. But as jpb noted at the top of the thread, there’s really not much room in the bullpen.
And then there's the safety issue
If the Nationals sign Coffey and Fielder, they’ll have to make sure they don’t sit together on the team plane.
Who spilled Fielder in my Coffey?
This was a nice, no Prince thread there for a while.
And to think, Fielder is listed at 5 in. shorter and 35 lbs heavier than our favorite short distance sprinter…
Coffee weighs 245? Ha! I’d say he’s closer to 3 bills than that. I’m not a big fan, but seeing him run in from the bullpen can be worth the price of admission.
He has not seen 245 since AA
nor .245 either
"I can go to my left or right, I am amphibious." - Charles Shackelford
245 was the last number he saw on the scale before the belly got in the way...
If you don't eat your meat, you can't have any pudding! How can you have any pudding if you don't eat your meat?!
(Not that there's anything wrong with that! Jus' sayin')
If you don't eat your meat, you can't have any pudding! How can you have any pudding if you don't eat your meat?!
Grande Americano
Coffey actually doubles as Teddy half way through the fourth inning…
Quoting Ladson
can be bad for one’s credibility.
Rob
--"Well my days of not taking you seriously are certainly coming to a middle." -- Mal Reynolds
It's only bad for your credibility
If you’re citing it as support for the truth of the matter asserted in the quote. If quoted for mockery purposes, or as a limited fact (Ladson did tweet the information, after all) then it is OK. I think that anything that Ladson posts carries its own inherent caveat.

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