The Washington Nationals Continue To Search For A Center Fielder.
Both MASNSports.com's Phil Wood and MLB.com's Bill Ladson wrote recently about the Washington Nationals' search for a center fielder, pointing to Arizona D-Backs' outfielder Gerardo Parra as a potential target. MASN's Mr. Wood, in his article entitled, "Another outfield possibility?", entertains the idea of Arizona dealing the third-year major leaguer, noting that the Diamondbacks' decision to sign Jason Kubel to play left pushed the 24-year-old Parra down the depth chart to a role as a fourth outfielder a year after the left-handed hitter won a Gold Glove in left field and put up a .292/.357/.427 line with 20 doubles, eight triples, eight home runs, 15 stolen bases and a .993 fld% in 141 games and 493 plate appearances over which he was worth +2.8 fWAR.
Parra was also signed as an international free agent out of Venezuela when current D.C. GM Mike Rizzo was the D-Backs' Director of Scouting, a connection MLB.com's Mr. Ladson pointed to when reporting this weekend in an article entitled, "Nationals interested in outfielder Gerardo Parra", that a baseball source told him the D-Backs' outfielder is on the Nats' radar as they continue to search for a long-term solution in center field.
The problem, of course, is that at least publicly, the Diamondbacks are saying they have no interest in dealing Parra. The D-Backs signed Kubel on December 19th. Arizona's GM Kevin Towers told AZCentral.com's Nick Piecoro in early January that though he'd, "... fielded phone calls from teams curious about outfielder Gerardo Parra's availability," he saw Parra as an important part of the team's outfield depth. "I'm not really motivated to move him," the general manager told Mr. Piecoro.
The AZCentral.com D-Backs beat reporter spoke to a "Diamondbacks source" after MLB.com's Mr. Ladson's report, in an article this weekend entitled, "Diamondbacks: No trade discussion involving Gerardo Parra", who told him, "the clubs are not currently discussing a trade." D-Backs' skipper Kirk Gibson dismissed the rumors in the article, telling AZCentral.com's Mr. Piecoro, "'There's a lot of reports. It's amusing.'"
Boston Globe baseball writer Nick Cafardo, who's mentioned this sort of thing before, once again reported on Sunday that LA Angels' outfielder Peter Bourjos, "... is still prominent on the Nationals’ wish list for center fielders." The problem, which Mr. Cafardo acknowledged on Sunday after others had made the point following his previous reports on what sources told him about the Nats' interest in the 24-year-old '05 10th Round pick, is that there's little motivation for Los Angeles to trade the center fielder unless they're overwhelmed with an offer.
Bourjos, who'll be entering his third MLB season in 2012, finished his first full season in 2011 with a .271/.327/.438 line, 26 doubles, 11 triples and 12 HR's in 147 games and 552 plate appearances over which he had a .989 fld%, a +8.1 UZR/150 and was worth +4.3 fWAR. The Angels, Mr. Cafardo writes, "... want big value back if they’re trading him." Their outfield may be crowded now with top prospect Mike Trout knocking at the door, but 36-year-old Torii Hunter is, "... in the final year of his contract, [and] there is room to keep both Bourjos and Trout."
Though Parra and Bourjos might not be available, D.C. GM Mike Rizzo told MLB Network Radio hosts Jim Bowden and Jeff Rickard on Sunday that the Nats will continue to search for a center fielder. "We're in the market for a long-term answer in center field," Rizzo said yesterday, but as he's reiterated all winter, the Nats' GM said, "... we're certainly not going to make a knee-jerk reaction and force ourselves to go get one. We feel that we have in-house options that can play center field and handle the position. Certainly defensively, we have several players that can handle the position. [Rick] Ankiel is coming off a great defensive season for us. We know Jayson Werth will be a solid, average center fielder for us defensively this season and we've got three real good, what we feel are going to be answers down the road. Eury Perez, Michael Taylor [and Brian] Goodwin we feel all have a real good chance of being that every day type of player for us, but that's down the road."
"If we can make a deal with some of our surplus to get an answer in center field we will certainly look into that," Rizzo said, "But we're not going to rush anything and we're going to make moves and trades and acquisitions that make sense for us. We're going to be patient, we're not going to do anything to win 'now' in lieu of the future. We're always open for business like a lot of guys say, but we're not going to put ourselves in a corner and have anything that we must do."
Nats' skipper Davey Johnson thinks the talent is already there for the Nationals to compete in 2012, telling reporters recently that the roster Washington's assembled could rival what the New York Mets put together in 1983-84 before the 1986 Mets were able to win a World Series. Asked about Johnson's comments in yesterday's interview, the Nats' GM said, "Davey's Davey, he says what he thinks, and Mike Rizzo's not going to filter him. Jim Bowden couldn't do it, Mike Rizzo's not going to do it. He says it like he feels. He's one of the best baseball guys I've ever been around and when he says stuff like that I'm thrilled that he thinks that because he's such a great baseball mind and I hope he's right."
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I think Parra is currently over rated, though not without reason.
You can see some AZ fans reaction to the Nationals interest in Parra here. Needless to say, they find the idea of trading Parra for anything less than major contributor to be stupid. Looking at the numbers given above, it is easy to see why: he won a Gold Glove in left field and put up a .292/.357/.427 line and he was worth +2.8 fWAR. However, Parra’s two biggest strengths are his OBP and his defense, both of which are deceivingly high, which is part of the reason his bWAR is only 1.9.
The first issue is knowing whether first-rate corner defense will translate to CF. If it does, then Parra is worth a good deal more. If it doesn’t then he is Brett Gardner, without the amazing plus, plus defense.
The next problem is Parra’s hitting. People focus on Parra’s shiny 2011 (.292/.357/.427) but seem to ignore his rather shabby 2010 (.261/.308/.371). Parra’s OBP in 2011 was very good, but a large part of that was due to hitting in the 8 slot, where he was able to draw 16 IBB, whereas Wilson Ramos, the Nationals most common 8 hitter, drew 8 IBB. Assuming that Parra joined the Nationals, he would ideally be moved to the top of the line-up, where he would more likely draw <4 IBBs. Removing those IBB’s his OBP drops to .324 or slightly above league average .320 OBP. Obviously, Parra would reach base some if he was pitched to instead of walked though, so giving him 6 more times of reaching base would give us an OBP of .336, which is good, but hardly an elite stat. Factor in further that Parra’s BABIP was .342, which seems unsustainable. Parra will likely have a higher BABIP than many due to his speed, but he would likely see a small amount of slipping in his AVG, and thus OBP.
The final problem for acquiring Parra is that he’s young, and cost controlled for a number of years. I think it would be easier for the Diamondbacks to part with Chris Young, who is no longer cheap ($15.5 over 2 years), and will be a free agent in 2013 or 2014 depending on the use of his $11M team option ($1.5M buyout). The Diamondbacks don’t have to shed salary, but they might need the room to sign SS Stephen Drew and C Miguel Montero or their replacements this winter. The Diamondbacks also have AJ Pollock, who hit .309/.359/.445 in AA at 23; he missed 2010 with elbow injuries. Scouting reports suggest that Pollock would likely end up as a 4th OF, with enough defense to play center and a high contact bat. The real question is whether he be able to hit enough to be an MLB regular.
#extendZim
by chubias on Feb 27, 2012 5:15 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
Would the Real Parra Please Stand Up......
Does he improve the team? Is he better than any current alternative to lead off? I am not in any means on a bandwagon to acquire the guy, but I tend to disagree that he is overrated, though not with much reason. However, I see two seasons of him batting .290 sandwiched around the one with the .260. Was that a sophomore slump in his second season? That is what we would say about one of our own, especially considering he came out of it smelling like a rose. He did average a .314 average and a .375 OBP throughout MiLB play, so I would lean a little more towards the .290 at the MLB level. I don’t think it matters anyway, because I doubt the Snakes will give him up for anything that the Nats would be willing to give; however, I do think he would be a nice compliment to our club, and a better alternative that what we have available (considering Harper will most likely see Syracuse for a month or so). Heck, even with Harper here, I think Parra would still be a nice compliment…..especially if Morse is at 1B.
Oh, I think that he would be a fine addition to the club.
As you said though, the Diamondbacks are unlikely to trade him, short of a major overpay. I think it is reasonable to believe that Parra could be a .290/.350/.400, but I think there is a decent question of whether he could produce anything like that in the leadoff slot. Likewise, I think there is a decent question as to whether Parra can translate to CF. However, it seems like these questions are rarely raised when discussing Parra, thus he is in my estimation over-rated.
#extendZim
Unfortunately, he has had very limited opportunities to lead-off, and only batted .267 in the lead-off role in his three year MLB career….but that is a very small sampling. However, he did have many more opportunities at #2 (where he has had the second most ABs) and averaged .291, so I think he would do well at lead-off if given the opportunity on a regular basis. I do see the concern for playing CF, but then again, he has had limited opportunities at the MLB level, by only playing 14% of his games in CF, with 80% of those in his first season. However, he played 41% of his games at CF in the minors, so maybe it is not that big of a deal for him to make that transition. At any rate, you make great points, but I still cannot agree with the “overrated” comment. He is what he is…..a fantastic LF defensive player who can put up really nice numbers in either the #2 or #8 slots, who may/may not be able to duplicate those same numbers where “we” need them (Lead-Off CF). That does not make him overrated, it just makes him “maybe” not a great “fit” for our team; however, what if he could duplicate that effort where we need it? Again….I’m not on that bandwagon, but I do find the player to be intriguing.
Even great players can be overrated.
All that I meant by the comment was that the fans in the post that I linked to and some that I have seen on Federal Baseball, have made Parra out to be an all-star MLB player, and the clear solution for the Nationals. In reality, Parra is a very good LF and pretty good at the plate. That makes him an above average major leaguer, not something that you trade major talent to acquire.
i'd prefer we start bernadine at center until bryce is call up...
next year plug in eury perez….the kid is a base stealing machine that can bat for average
Enduring the pain of wizards basketball....one game at a time
Perez is almost off the prospect list
Twenty-two walks and just 12 XBH in nearly 500 plate appearances at High-A ball, with no indications of injury. Starting him in the bigs next year? Well, let’s just say it’s not going to happen barring an incredible 2012 campaign.
Rob
--"Ten percent of nuthin' is...let me do the math here...nuthin' into nuthin'...carry the nuthin'..." -- Jayne Cobb
Sadly,
My initial impression of Goodwin isn’t a whole lot better than what I thought of Perez.
Here’s hoping I’m wrong.
Rob
--"Ten percent of nuthin' is...let me do the math here...nuthin' into nuthin'...carry the nuthin'..." -- Jayne Cobb
Interesting parallel
What makes you think of them the same way? Their backgrounds couldn’t be more different, with Perez an international FA and Goodwin coming out of JuCo ball. Goodwin gets higher praise from scouts than Perez ever really did.
I don't think of them as similar players
I’ve seen Goodwin in person, and he doesn’t strike me as a guy who could hit for much power; his CF defense isn’t particularly highly regarded; and we shouldn’t ignore whatever problem he had at UNC that got him booted for a year. For a guy with the already-alarming “toolsy” brand, I’ve got to wonder whether he can offer much as a guy who only excels at maybe one or two aspects of the game.
Again, I’m hoping I’m wrong.
Rob
--"Ten percent of nuthin' is...let me do the math here...nuthin' into nuthin'...carry the nuthin'..." -- Jayne Cobb
That's the stat that floored me recently
All that speed, and only 9 2B and 2 3B (plus 1 HR). That resulted in a slash line of .283/.319/.321 (yes, a SLG only .002 higher than OBP). Even ignoring the SLG that makes Juan Pierre and Ben Revere look like Barry Bonds, an OBP of .319 at high-A does not translate to a MLB leadoff hitter.
Let’s just say I’m not contributing to any crowding on that bandwagon…
Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, ... wait, ... no, ... never mind"
For clarity: the Eury Perez bandwagon
OBP of .319, and an OPS of .640. Blech.
In fairness to Perez, I believe scouts tend to see more upside in a guy with good contact skills and a poor walk rate, than the other way around.
We’ll se if he develops further though.
#extendZim
Sigh
My (original) post was in response to RobBobS’. IE (at work) went bonkers on me, and when I got back to the page, I didn’t notice the post was now detached from the root.
Brain: "Pinky, are you pondering what i'm pondering?"
Pinky: "Yes, ... wait, ... no, ... never mind"
Not a problem,
I think we all picked up on your intent. ;-)
Rob
--"Ten percent of nuthin' is...let me do the math here...nuthin' into nuthin'...carry the nuthin'..." -- Jayne Cobb

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