Yes, I know it's early, but we're only a couple of weeks from spring training, and MOST of the pre-season wheeling and dealing is through. So I feel it's time for me to post my eyeball-based projections for which teams will make the playoffs. I'm NOT going to predict how the playoffs go from there, though.
I'm assuming a two Wild Card format, but if it is a one WC format, the second Wild Card team is (obviously) just first loser. I'm also going to post percentage guesstimates about how confident I am about each playoff berth's winner.
AL Wild Card #1 Winner: Tampa Bay Rays 62%, Los Angeles Angels 14%, Texas Rangers 15%, New York Yankees 3%, Other 1%
AL Wild Card #2 Winner: Texas Rangers 32%, Los Angeles Angels 30%, Tampa Bay Rays 25%, New York Yankees 5%, Other 8%
NL East Winner: Philadelphia Phillies 95%, Other 5%
NL West Winner: Arizona Diamondbacks 95%, Other 5%
NL Wild Card # 1 Winner: Atlanta Braves 75%, St. Louis Cardinals 10%, Milwaukee Brewers 10%, Other 5%