Game 44 WPA: Not encouraging. Nats 4, SD 13

Chris Brunskill

The Nats get beat like the proverbial rented mule, as a trickle of Nats runs scored can't match up to a torrent of runs allowed. H-Rod was the only pitcher not to give up a run!

Chart_1__medium

Via Fangraphs (click to embiggen)

  • Not building on recent success: Dan Haren (-33.5% -41.5%) strikes out 5 and walks 2 in 5 IP, but gives up 3 ER in the first, then 4 more in the 5th after the Nats threatened to catch up. Way to put it away!
  • Something good: Ryan Zimmerman (+12.0% +10.2%) is 2-4 with a two-run bomb to get the Nats within 1 in the 4th (+16.2%).
  • Okay, more good stuff: Adam LaRoche (+0.8%) extends his hit streak with a two-RBI hit to get the Nats within 2 in the 6th (+6.9%), while Steve Lombardozzi (+8.3% +7.3%) is 3-5 with a double and 2 runs scored.
  • Back to the horrible: Ryan Mattheus (-9.6% -4.7%) melts down to the tune of 5 ER in the 7th (with no Ks and 2 BBs), putting the game back out of reach.
  • To end on a positive note: Henry Rodriguez (-0.9% +0.4%) throws a scoreless 6th, working around a walk, an ROE, 3 SB allowed, and a WP! He still gets negative WPA for some reason, perhaps for pure baseball aesthetics. (It was a hiccup by the WPA hamsters--updated with corrected values.)
  • Nope, more bad: Danny Espinosa (-6.1% -7.0%) and Tyler Moore (-10.1% -7.5%) go 0-8 with 3 LOB. Drew Storen (-0.0%) gives up an HR and a HBP in his aeyth inning side session.

(Update: The WPA hamsters were apparently dazed by lack of pure baseball aesthetics in this game and spit out a bunch of incorrect numbers. Numbers and graph amended accordingly.)

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