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It isn't ideal to have a series against a team 5.5 games ahead of you in the standings in a division you were supposed to challenge for. The good news is that the Washington Nationals have a lot of time left, and while players, managers and fans are frustrated at the results to date it is important not to panic. The Nationals have their top two starters from a year ago going for them in this series and aren't facing the Braves best although they will have to avoid their problems against left-handed pitching in the finale.
Probable Pitchers
Friday, 7:30 p.m.
WSH: Stephen Strasburg (3-5, 2.49 ERA)
ATL: Julio Teheran (3-1, 3.67 ERA)
Saturday, 7:15 p.m.
WSH: Gio Gonzalez (3-3, 3.90 ERA)
ATL: Tim Hudson (4-4, 5.37 ERA)
Sunday, 1:35 p.m.
WSH: Nathan Karns (0-0, 6.75 ERA)
ATL: Paul Maholm (6-4, 3.74 ERA)
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
ATLANTA BRAVES
Projected Lineup
SS Andrelton Simmons
RF Jason Heyward
LF Justin Upton
1B Freddie Freeman
C Brian McCann
2B Dan Uggla
3B Chris Johnson
CF B.J. Upton
Bench
C/1B/OF Evan Gattis
C Gerald Laird
IF Ramiro Pena
OF Reed Johnson
OF Jordan Schafer
Bullpen
RHP Craig Kimbrel
RHP Jordan Walden
LHP Luis Avilan
RHP Cory Gearrin
LHP Alex Wood
RHP Anthony Varvaro
RHP David Carpenter
Pitcher to Watch
Tim Hudson
Looking at Tim Hudson's numbers (4-4, 5.37 ERA), you would think he was struggling. Although, looking more closely at the numbers, he is struck by some bad luck. A sinkerball pitcher, Hudson is used to getting a low BABIP as ground balls are more likely to turn to outs. Last year it sat at .270. This year it is closer to the .300 average at .297. Hitters are making less contact off of Hudson this season, and swinging and missing more as well. The high ERA could be due to the fact that he is allowing more fly balls than at any other point of his career. He is also allowing more home runs per fly ball. A bad combination. Since this also tends to normalize, especially over a career as long as Hudson's, you can say he has been hit by some bad luck.
Hitter to Watch
B.J. Upton
Upton was rumored to be coming to Washington for most of the last season and off-season first as a trade target and secondly as a free agent before he finally chose the Atlanta Braves. To date, Upton has been struggling a lot more than his brother has since they both joined the Braves. Upton is hitting .146/.232/.247 this season. Upton has been hit with a pretty bad BABIP (.204, where the average tends to be .300. Last year he was at .294). But there are more signs that this could be a little more than just bad luck for Upton.
First of all, he is hitting a lot less line drives, which is used to quantify the contact he is getting. He has hit 12.4 per cent line drives this season as opposed to 18.6 last year. He has also seen his strike outs rise from 26.7 to 34.6. This isn't a case of trying to do too much as his swings outside of the strike zone have actually dropped. He has made contact on 7 per cent less of swings at stuff in the zone which is also troubling and finally, his infield fly percentage has skyrocketed from 9 per cent last year to 30 so far this season.