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Game 19 WPA: Ugly, but I'll take it. Nats 3, SCA 2

Oh, the LOB. Heavens above, THE LOB!!

He's doing pretty well so far this season.
He's doing pretty well so far this season.
Greg Fiume


Via Fangraphs (click to embiggen)

What do these graphs mean (this is a link)?

  • Almost not enough: Stephen Strasburg (+1.9%) strikes out 9 and walks 1 over 6 IP, giving up 2 ER on a run-scoring GDP and a double to the opposing pitcher. (Yes, another double to an opposing pitcher!)
  • Rally killer: Adam LaRoche (-12.7%) strikes out to end the 3rd with the bases loaded. He has 5 LOB on the day.
  • Rally! Killed! Zach Walters reaches on error/FC to load the bases in the 6th (+10.0%). Denard Span (+0.7%) hits into a force a home (-11.8%), and Bryce Harper (-7.9%) grounds out to leave 'em loaded (-11.7%). Span and Harper each have 4 LOB.
  • Rally!! Rally!!! KILLED!!! Ian Desmond (+8.1%) singles in a run to get the Nats on the board and put runners corners in the 7th (+22.0%). Danny Espinosa (+23.4%) follows up with a game-tying RBI single (+14.9%) as part of his 3-4 with a walk. Then Kevin Frandsen grounds out to snuff the rally (-9.7%).
  • Big night: Jose Lobaton (+20.7%) is 3-5 with a ninth-inning single to put runners corners with one out.
  • Redemption: Span atones for his many LOB with a walkoff sac fly (+17.1%).
  • Also, shutdowns: Jerry Blevins (+10.1%) allows a pair of singles over the course of a scoreless aeyth with 2 Ks, while Rafael Soriano (+12.3%) throw an unexpected but welcome 1-2-3 9th.

Now is the time on FBb when we DANCE!

(Too soon?)