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Game 29 WPA: Bearded comeback. Nats 5, FF 3

The Nats get behind early for what seems like the zillionth time in 29 games, but then they hold the line. And they chip away. And chip away.

Even in the dark, the Beard has power.
Even in the dark, the Beard has power.
Mitchell Leff


Via Fangraphs (click to embiggen)

What do these graphs mean (this is a link)?

  • Wolf-bit: Stephen Strasburg (-5.3% pitching, +1.5% hitting) goes 6 IP with 5 Ks and 1 BB... and 3 R (0 ER) from a first-inning, two-out bomb that came 3 pitches after a dropped foul fly (-24.3%). He has a sac bunt and walk at the plate.
  • Junk-timer: Tyler Moore (+2.4%) hits a leadoff homer in the 3rd to get the Nats on the board (+8.3%).
  • Keeping it close: Jerry Blevins (+6.0%) juuuuust manages to earn a shutdown by getting the last two outs in the 7th after coming in with a runner on 2nd.
  • Small-baller: Denard Span (+15.2%) gets the Nats within one with an RBI groundout in the 5th (-1.5%), hits a leadoff double in the aeyth (+14.8%) then steals 3rd (+7.9%) to set up the tying run.
  • BeardbeardbeardGOATEE: Anthony Rendon () drives in Span for the tying RBI (+9.2%). Jayson Werth (+19.8%) follows THAT with a double (+9.9%), then Adam LaRoche (-1.8%) dutifully delivers the go-ahead RBI single (+16.5%). Ian Desmond () doubles in another run to put the Nats up by two (+10.6%).
  • Man of decision: Rafael Soriano (+8.9%) walks the first better, but gets a runner-interference double play to clean it up, followed by an easy foul pop for the shutdown.