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Game 33 WPA: Familiar but different. Nats 11, AZ 1

I feel like I watched this game a dozen times from the other side before 2011. I like this way better.

By Doghouse
¡Moore Escobar! (Sorry, sorry.)
¡Moore Escobar! (Sorry, sorry.)
Norm Hall/Getty Images

150512-33 WPA

Via Fangraphs (click to embiggen)

(What do these graphs mean?)

  • Good but unnecessary: Max Scherzer (+5.4% pitching, +2.3% hitting) could have thrown like Levale Speigner and won this game, but he gives up 1 run in 7 IP with 6Ks and 1 BB(which is sort of Speigner-y, for him). He's 2-4 at the plate with a run scored.
  • Instant turning point? Denard Span (+13.5%) hits a solo shot on the second pitch of the game for the early lead (+9.8%).
  • That escalated quickly: Ryan Zimmerman (+17.2%) cranks a three-run bomb a bit left of center four batters later to put the game away with one out in the first (+16.4%).
  • WPA doesn't care how much Escobar you have to give: Yunel Escobar (+5.2%) has his second 5-5 game in a week, but all the WPA was pretty much gone by the start of the 2nd.
  • Stat-padder: Wilson Ramos (+1.3%) hits a three-run double in the 2nd, and the WPA needle barely moves (+2.1%).

This morning's WPA brought to you by shots in the dark:

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