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Game 26 WPA: I was worried the whole time. Nats 1, Mets 0

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This was a nerve-wracking example of excellent, frustrating baseball. My word, the LOB in this game!

Doug, it would be easier if you'd hit better with RISP.
Doug, it would be easier if you'd hit better with RISP.
Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

150503-25 WPA

Via Fangraphs (click to embiggen)

(What do these graphs mean?)

  • Sinking (in a good way): Doug Fister (+30.8%) gets one out into the 7th with 3 Ks, no walks, and no runs allowed to make his one run stick.
  • It looked so easy at this point: Ryan Zimmerman (+4.3%) singles in a run with two out in the 1st (+12.0%). It ended up being all the Nats would get (or need).
  • Cleanup #1: Tanner Roark (+14.8%) comes on in the 7th to defuse a one-out, man-on-second situation and earn a shutdown.
  • Cleanup #2: Aaron Barrett (+16.7%) gets the final out of the 8th inning to earn a shutdown after coming in with runners 2nd/3rd (Thornton juuuuuust missed earning a meltdown getting into that fix).
  • Final dusting: Drew Storen (+16.2%) throws a 1-2-3 ninth to preserve the one-run lead, earn a shtudown, and get Big Doug a well-earned (albeit statistically questionable) win.
  • Sporting Gentlemen: Jayson Werth (-10.1%) is 0-4 with with 3 LOB. Doug Fister (-10.8% hitting) is 0-3 with 5 LOB. Bryce Harper (-9.0%) is 1-5 with 3 LOB.
  • Waking up: Ian Desmond (+9.4%) is 2-3 with a walk and a pair of doubles.

Today's WPA brought to you by some kind of unironic Aziz Ansari tribute luau:

Yes, I know I screwed up the tweet and said the Mets won 2-1.  What can I say, I was worried.