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Game 143 WPA: Should it be easier? Nats win.

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NN doesn't need a big payday, but Werth has things to prove. Also, Doug Fister with a save.

"Just tell me I don't have to talk to Kolko later." (Not an actual quote.)
"Just tell me I don't have to talk to Kolko later." (Not an actual quote.)
Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports


Source: FanGraphs

(What do these graphs mean?)

  • Fewer FA dollaz every start: Jordan Zimmermann (-45.6%) can't hold a 4-run lead for one inning as part of his 6-run, 6-inning appearance with 8 Ks, a walk, and a HBP.
  • Mighty Ant: Anthony Rendon (+31.5%) is 4-6 with a leadoff homer to put the Nats ahead early (+11.0%).
  • Almost expected: Bryce Harper (+16.4%) is 2-4 with a walk and a go-ahead solo shot with two outs in the 3rd (+13.5%).
  • Howl: Jayson Werth (+51.7%) blasts a two-out grand slam to left to put the Nats (briefly) up by 4 (+37.4%).
  • Shutdowns: Rafael Martin (+7.2%) gets the last out in the 7th to keep it tied, while Blake Treinen (+9.6%) throws a 1-2-3 ayeth, and Casey Janssen (+9.0%) gets two scoreless Ks in the 9th.
  • Stylish: Ian Desmond (-8.9%) is 1-5 with 4 Ks and 2 LOB.
  • HOWL!! Werth blasts another bomb to deep left, this one a solo shot, to put the Nats ahead in the 10th (+39.8%).
  • Boo this man! Jonathon Papelbon (-32.8%) melts down in the 10th, giving up a game-tying solo shot (-44.9%).
  • The buildup is everything: Danny Espinosa has a pinch-hit walk to start the 11th (+8.2%), takes 2nd on a passed ball (+9.3%) and third on a Rendon single (+14.7%). The go-ahead run scoring on a Yunel Escobar (+4.5%) FC is practically an anti-climax, WPA-wise (+8.7%).
  • The closer is the guy who closes, getting the saves in the save situations: Doug Fister (+17.2%) walks one, fans two, and gets through the 11th with the lead intact for a shutdown.

Tonight's WPA brought to you by trendy Wendies: