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NLDS Game 2 WPA: Into the wind. Nats win 5-2

Roark didn't eat so many innings, but the team picked him up with solid relief and activation of LOBATRON:[D1NG3R MODE]

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Source: FanGraphs

(What do these graphs mean?)

  • Pitcher wins are still dumb: Tanner Roark (-10.2%) gives up 2 runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched with a K and 3 walks. Maybe Dusty shouldn't have pushed him so hard at the end of the regular season.
  • From G04+ to H3r0 in the blink of eye (or two innings): Jose Lobaton (+18.7%) GDPs with the bases loaded to end the 2nd with the Nats behind by one (-16.8%). However, he atones by belting a two-out, three-run homer into the visiting bullpen to put Nats ahead from behind in 4th and drive in the winning runs (+36.5%).
  • Wharez teh POWARR?!?!?! Daniel Murphy (+22.7%) is 3-3 with a walk and two RBIs to pad his playoff stats.
  • Two true-outcome hitter: Danny Espinosa (+7.6%) is 0-2 with 2 Ks, 2 HBP, and a run scored.
  • Big time: Marc Rzepczynski (+13.1%) get four outs in the 5th and 6th, stranding two inherited runners to earn a shutdown--despite leaving with two of his own on base.
  • Platoon shmatoon: Blake Treinen (+8.9%) gets four straight outs in the 7th and aeyth innings for a shutdown of his own.

Apparently the high strike is a thing now

Look, I don't like to chirp about the zone when the Nats win, but Chris Guccione seems to have a different diagram of the strike zone in his copy of the rule book.

Guccy bad 1

Guccy bad 2

"Don't call strikes below the knees," should not be interpreted as, "call strikes at eye level." For once the problem is less inconsistency than it is a zone only marginally related to the location of the plate and the height of the batter.

Today's WPA brought to you by evening the score: