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Game 1 WPA: For the Record. Nats win 4-3.

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I didn't agree with everything Dusty did, but it all worked. Harper is a cliche in the best way, and Rizzo might sprain a muscle in his hand pointing to his head over Murphy.

I think Chris Pratt would play Daniel Murphy in the movie, although he'd have to learn to play 2nd.
I think Chris Pratt would play Daniel Murphy in the movie, although he'd have to learn to play 2nd.
Scott Cunningham/Getty Images

160404-1 WPA

Via Fangraphs (don't bother clicking, it doesn't embiggen)

(What do these graphs mean?)

  • For the record, I was against him batting in the 7th: Max Scherzer (+17.3%) ekes out a no-decision, giving up 2 runs in 7 IP with 7 Ks and 2 walks (and a scoreless 7th for +8.4%).
  • Same ol' same ol': Bryce Harper (+10.9%) is 1-3 with pair of walks and a two-out solo shot in the 2nd to get things going (+10.8%).
  • Not a bright spark(y): Anthony Rendon (-23.1%) is 1-5, getting picked off in the first in front of Harp's dinger and flying out to strand two runners in scoring position with the game tied in the 9th (-14.0%).
  • Slaten'd: Shawn Kelley (-25.4%) melts down by walking in the go-behind run in the aeyth, but preserves his 0.00 ERA.
  • For the record, I wanted him to swing away: Danny Espinosa (+10.5%) lays down a perfect back-spin, pop bunt for a bases-loading single with no out in the 9th to set up the tying run (+20.8%).
  • Inauspicous: Stephen Drew (-18.9%) pinch-hit Ks with the bases loaded in the 9th.
  • For the record, I like this play more than WPA did: Michael A. Taylor (+2.1%) somehow drives in the tying run on a 9th-inning sac fly (+6.1%).
  • I was never worried: Blake Treinen (+12.8%) earns a shutdown with a scoreless 9th via walk, K, and double play.
  • Error-prone in a good way: Ryan Zimmerman (+11.1%) is 1-5 with a pair of ROEs, including a two-base error to setup the winning run in the 10th (+11.7%).
  • For the record, I was against these signings/trades: Daniel Murphy (+40.2%) is 2-3 with a pair of walks, a go-ahead solo shot to lead off the 4th (+13.2%) and the game-winning RBI double in the 10th (+30.3%). Jonathan Papelbon (+18.5%) closes it out with a 1-2-3, shutdown 10th.

Tonight's WPA brought to you by calm down and learn the dance early (skip ahead to 0:45 for the music):