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Game 65 WPA: Almost stole one. Nats lose 3-4.

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Gio was nearly good enough, the bats nearly scored enough, and the bullpen wasn't quite good enough.

Sorry, kid, you're the goat tonight.
Sorry, kid, you're the goat tonight.
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports


Source: FanGraphs

(What do these graphs mean?)

  • Uneven but serviceable: Gio Gonzalez (-10.2%) gives up 3 runs in 6.1 IP with 9 Ks, 4 walks, and a fair bit of contact.
  • RISP-shmisp: The Nats' first two runs come on negative-WPA plays worth -5.1%. That's not an easy recipe for success.
  • Regression is mean: Daniel Murphy (-23.8%) is 0-4 with 4 LOB.
  • High-impact: Jose Lobaton (+20.7%) doubles to put runners 2nd/3rd with no outs in the 7th (+19.5%). Wilson Ramos (-16.8%) pinch hits and strikes out on three pitches (-10.6%).
  • High-impact, part 2: Bryce Harper (+6.7%) walks to lead off the aeyth (+9.8%). Ryan Zimmerman (+11.5%) singles two batters later to put runners corners with one out (+18.2%). Anthony Rendon (+2.1%) finally manages to get positive WPA on a sac fly by tying the game with one on the next AB (+6.5%).
  • You're lucky Papelbon is "sore": Sammy Solis (-26.0%) throws a scoreless ayeth, but gives up the losing run in the 9th to earn a meltdown--after a needless leadoff walk.

Tonight's WPA brought to you even death metal is unbearably cute (and indescribably weird) in Japan: